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I think we were mightily unlucky not to see Bossman Jack go much closer in the opening race on day two.

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It could be pocket talk, but I thought he was coming with a winning run before walking through the final hurdle. That knocked the stuffing out of him, and all momentum went. Prior to that, he had run the most, as was wide throughout. I honestly believe he would've gone close to winning.

On the other hand, one of my worst decisions at a Cheltenham Festival was backing Romeo Coolio. I got caught up thinking his form was strong, and it still might be, but it was always a tough ask at his first attempt over three miles. In all fairness, we didn't get to see if he stayed, as he left his jumping shoes back in Ireland. For a 3 x Grade 1 winner this season, he jumped like a complete rookie.

Place De La Nation 22/1 (0.5pt EW, 4pl) – Cheltenham 1.20 (Ryanair Mares' Novices' Hurdle)

On paper, you'd like to think that Bambino Fever has the race all sewn up, and all she has to do is jump safely, and she'll win. That is definitely the most obvious case, and she could arguably be at a backable price, around EVS. She was beaten on her hurdling debut, but turns out the winner could be fairly useful, and she was also conceding race fitness.

After giving every horse a fair chance and studying the form equally, I found myself leaning towards Place De La Nation. She was also behind Oldschool Outlaw (in a different race), the same horse that beat Bambino Fever. That might make you question, why do you think she can reverse the form? Cheltenham is the answer.

On just her second run for Willie Mullins, Place De La Nation found herself in the Triumph Hurdle at odds of 100/1, under Danny Gilligan. She ended up finishing in fifth spot, putting in a much better performance than was expected. It turns out the level of horses in that race was actually quite good.

Poniros has been run well in Grade 1's this year, including a solid 3rd in February and 6th in the Champion Hurdle, both runs producing RPRs of 155. The runner-up (Lulamba) was third on day one's Arkle, and looks like he could be a very smart horse over fences when upped in trip. Too Bossy For Us (7th) was 6th in the Supreme on Tuesday. Mondo Man (9th) won the Imperial Cup last weekend.

I really like the angle of her being a second-season novice, and she has already run well in a Grade 1 at this track before. I think she is being massively overlooked and should be hitting the frame at the very least.

Ma Shantou 6/1 (1pt) – Cheltenham 3.20 (Stayers' Hurdle)

I put up Ma Shantou on the antepost article about a month ago, and he was 8/1 that day. Currently, he is 6/1, so if he stays this or goes off shorter, then we've found the value.

Despite already having him antepost, I'm going back in on him again. I've just got a feeling that we've not seen the best of this horse yet, and I think he can win Emma Lavelle another Stayers' Hurdle after Paisley Park delivered the goods a few years ago.

I don't think this horse hits the flat spots like Paisley did, but I think connections hold him in the same regard. He has taken a similar route to Paisley, shown by winning the Cleeve Hurdle. He didn't just win the Cleeve Hurdle, he battered the field that day by seven lengths. Stats aren't everything, but the last three horses to have won the Cleeve Hurdle by seven lengths or more have gone on to win this.

There are some big names in this race, and it looks like a cracking renewal. I don't think it's as strong as it looks. There are a lot of unknown stayers in this, and the ones who aren't unknown at the trip or Grade, are getting old and are prone to a younger horse.

9 Comments
  1. double carpet 2 months ago

    1.20 Echoing Silence Ew 4 places

    Bambino Fever is the most likely winner especially with the way Mullins has his yard purring but for a bit of value I’ve taken last years winning connections to hit the frame at least. Horse has had a similar campaign to last year’s winner running over further so stamina up the hill will come into play.

    2.00 Slade Steel Ew

    Hoping HDB has a good day and have gone for him again here with the former Supreme winner. Hasn’t taken too well to fences yet but I just get the feeling Henry will have him right for today.

    2.40 no bet

    Wodhooh has to be the selection but just can’t have Elliot string this week as they’re running awful.

    3.20 Ma Shantou Ew

    The up and commerin the field. Has done nothing but improve with each race. Not sure Kabral Du Mathan will stay but if he does will be a big danger

    4.00 Impaire Et Passe ew

    Taking on F2F as I think he should be in the Gold Cup. He’s 9 now so is not getting any faster and maybe this trip is now on the sharp side. Can’t see IEP out of the 3 so it’s a bet to nothing.

    4.40 Supremely West

    A Skelton plot job for sure. Mark been dropped 2lbs from last run so all gone to plan. Bold Endeavour is a danger.

    5.20 Jeriko Du Reponet

    Derek O Connor would have had the choice of the JP runners and it’s rumoured it’ll be his last ride at the festival so will want to go out on a high

    BOL

    5
  2. theplug 2 months ago

    DC
    Good to see you back .Have not been on much here myself . Where is everyone ,
    unfortunately i couldn’t post the last 2 days but had 5 winners including Saratoga could not believe he drifted to 10/1 also King Rasko Grey 11/1 yesterday. Another tough day today but one for tomorrow in the County Karbau i backed him at 14/1 now 4/1 very good word for him

    5
    • double carpet 2 months ago

      Yeah already on Karbau too with a saver on 6 1/2.
      Not been on for ages myself as I’ve been back on treatment and am still on it but have to make the effort for Cheltenham.
      Good luck today 👍

      7
  3. theplug 2 months ago

    Selections for today
    Bambino Fever 1/1 Cant wait to see this one bolt in
    Jordans Cross 4/1
    Wodhooh 5/6 should win
    Teeahupoo 7/2 if the rain comes in time , if not i will be backing last years winner Bob Olinger.
    Fact To File should win with a clear round
    Bold Endeavour 6/1 loves Cheltenham.
    Jeriko Du Reponet 4/1 Nap

    2
  4. CoreyForLuck 2 months ago

    2:00 – Jordan’s Cross
    2:40 – Feet Of A Dancer
    3:20 – Teahupoo
    5:20 – Jeriko Du Reponet

  5. theplug 2 months ago

    Hope all goes well for you DC

    1
  6. theplug 2 months ago

    Bambino 😒😒

    3
  7. theplug 2 months ago

    The less said about today the better ,

    • hammy730 2 months ago

      Don’t wanna sound shitty but won prob my best ever bet today on place de la nation 28/1, gold dancer 33/1 and home by the Lee 40/1, 450 off a 2 quid free bet mainly to place, annoyingly losing half the stake instantly🤣 😁 just followed racing post for best outsiders and worked out well! Tipsters not really doing me much luck so far so went outside the box lol

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