After making it seven winners on the bounce in Sweden on Monday, Wednesday’s Football Bet of the Day sees me head back to the Brazilian top flight, and I’ve highlighted one team in particular that appeals to me to collect all three points.
⚽️ São Paulo vs Grêmio
🇧🇷 Serie A
⏰ Thursday 18 July, 00:00
Sixth-placed São Paulo will look to keep pace with the sides above them in the Brazilian Serie A table as they welcome struggling Gremio to the Estádio do Morumbi on Wednesday night/Thursday morning in a fixture that I’m keen to get the hosts on side.
São Paulo saw their four-match winning run come to an end last time out, as they fell to a 2-1 defeat away at Atlético Mineiro to land last Thursday's ‘Bet of the Day’.
Luis Zubeldía will be glad to see his side back on home turf despite failing to win each of their opening two home matches this campaign. The Tricolor Paulista have gone on to win five of their next six Serie A fixtures in front of their supporters, including each of their last three.
Grêmio began their league campaign winning two of their opening three contests but have since gone on to win just one of their next 11 (W1-D2-L8), with that victory coming at home to rock-bottom Fluminense.
Renato Gaúcho’s men have particularly struggled on their travels this season, with his side picking up a solitary point across their opening six road trips (W0-D1-L5), with that coming in a 1-1 draw with the side directly below them in the table, 19th-placed Atlético Go.
Bet of the Day
As already alluded to, São Paulo heads into this contest having won five of their last six Serie A matches on home soil, and I’m backing them to collect another maximum in front of their supporters against a Grêmio side that has W0-D1-L5 on their travels this season.
To nudge up the price, I’m happy to add in under five match goals. This selection has banked in 8/8 (100%) of São Paulo’s victories in the Brazilian top flight this term, whilst the same has also landed in 9/9 (100%) of Grêmio’s league defeats.
- São Paulo to Win & Under 4.5 Goals
- Pays 7/8 (Betway)
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Hi, I’m Greg MacLean and I’m a football tipster and betting analyst who has been writing on the Mr Fixit site for 3 years now, as well as having my own Private Telegram Channel. I’m a Rangers season ticket holder and watch plenty of football not only here in the UK, but all across Europe and over the world. To keep up to date on everything, feel free to follow me on Twitter/X.
In December 2020 we sadly 
Hey greg, what about São Paulo & over1.5 goals? What do you think?
Hey, sorry just seen this! Yeah something like a 2-0 wouldn’t surprise me!
🔵 São Paulo vs Grêmio – São Paulo to Win & Under 4.5 Goals (1-0 ⚽️)
🔵 Pays 7/8 ✅