NFL week 11 kicks off on Thursday night with Carolina Panthers facing a must-win fixture to keep their NFC play-off hopes alive.
The Panthers blew a 17-0 lead to crash 20-17 at home to Kansas City last time out and are 3-6 for the season ahead of tonight's visit of the 4-5 New Orleans Saints.
Carolina are 7-12 favourites at Marathonbet while the Saints are chalked up at 33-20 by William Hill and the any time touchdown scorer betting is dominated by Panthers players with Kelvin Benjamin 11-10 with BetVictor followed by Greg Olsen (5-4, Skybet), Jonathan Stewart (5-4, BetVictor) and Cam Newton (13-10, Betstars).
The ATP Tour finals in London are hotting up nicely and today's action sees Novak Djokovic take on Gael Monfils before Milos Raonic and Dominic Thiem go head to head.
There's plenty more sporting highlights including the likes of Test cricket, Northern Ireland Open snooker and NBA basketball so feel free to add your tips and thoughts.
Irving ends with 24 needing o24.5, my luck is laughable right now :D
Unlucky, keep your chins up pal
Morning everyone, it is your main man Max here. Week 10 is in the bag, and if like my followers, you were on last week, the money is in the bank, as per. A battle of the South takes place tonight and it looks like a shootout. Saints won 41-38 in the reverse and I see points tonight, on a short week I can see O46.5pts in this one at 1/2 Skybet.
All eyes will be on Brees and his WR’s who can cause the Panthers D problems and I would put anyone off those receivers covering their props or scoring. For me Jonathan Stewart who ran for 85yds and 2TDs in the previous match, I can see him making it into the endzone at 5/4 Hills.
Super Cam rushing yards is set at 36.5yds at 5/6 PP, in the previous game he was held to just 1 yard on two attempts. I do think however I think he can go Over tonight. Stewart hurt the saints on the ground last time they met, as did the 49ers. Cam has rushed and covered this line 3 of his 4 home games this season, rushing at least 6 times, in the gun he is dangerous and one decent run break could see him gobble up half this yardage, otherwise if he gets 6+ attempts he should go close.
Max’s TNF Tips
Saints v Panthers O46.5pts 1/2
Stewart to score 5/4
Newton O36.5yds 5/6
GL
Carmelo anthony (knicks) over 23.5 points 5/6 PP *LOSE*?22
James Harden (rockets) 1st quarter over 7.0 points 5/6 PP *LOSE*? 2
—–
My 20/1 long shot treble ??
Isiah Thomas 25+ points/Celtic win
Westbrook 30+ points /okc win
Curry 30+ points/gsw win
***WON***
Poor choices on the singles Carmelo Miss by 2 & harden just didn’t get going in the 1st ?.
But My night was saved thanks to the long shot phewwww-
well done to all the winners..
———————-
NBA season so far …
14 wins
19 losses.
Smashed it on the long shot, nice one man! ??
Thanks mate – well done on the double too great value on the ML for both teams..roll on tonight ?
GS Warriors ML
SA Spurs ML
Double @ Evens (Bet 365) – *WON*
No suprises here, was a good value double ?
Updated record.
Wins – 15
Lost – 11
Harlequins v Maori All Blacks
Harlequins +35
1.90 @ bet365
☆☆☆WINNER☆☆☆
Harlequins v Maori All Blacks
Harlequins +35
1.90 @ bet365
☆☆☆WINNER☆☆☆
Snooker bets:
Brecel win v White – Evs PP
Donaldson win v Ebdon – 6/4 WH
Lisowski +1.5 v Perry – 10/11 Coral
Baird win v G Wilson – 9/10 BV
Bingtao win v R Williams – 8/11 general
Darts bets:
Dobey win v Hughes – Evs general
Van de Pas most 180’s v Wade – 2/1 Sky bet. Cant understand this price!
Anderson/Noppert u8.5 180’s -5/6 PP
RVB most 180’s v Durrant – Evs Coral (NAP)
Grand Slam of Darts last 16:
Doubles:
Van Barneveld vs Durrant – over 15.5 legs
Anderson vs Noppert – Anderson most 180’s
21/20 **NAP** Bet365
Van Barneveld vs Durrant – Van Barneveld win
Anderson vs Noppert – Anderson win
20/21 Bet365
Singles:
Hughes vs Dobey – Hughes over 3.5 180’s 4/6 **NB** Coral
Van Barneveld vs Durrant – Van Barneveld highest checkout over 115.5 5/6 Coral
Good luck all
No luck with Bledsoe last night who despite logging big minutes only took four shots for the Suns. Tonight I’m on a Jazz player who should be taking on extra work with Favours out and Rodney Hood and George Hill both questionable. Both should play but Hayward will be the main man and his PR&A are a decent total for his usage.
Gordon Hayward (Utah Jazz) Over 32.5 PR&A @ 5/6 @ PP – 3.6 points
Filipino. Nice 20/1 mate. Good call on the double Raoul.
Thanks Jordan ?
TNF should be a good one with the NFC South still well up for grabs. The Panthers have o-line injuries which could cause problems but Center Ryan Kalil could start which is one positive. I like the total of Over 52 here. The last two games between these two have seen 41-38 victories for Carolina, so its safe to suggest Sean Payton has found his groove when it comes to playing the Panthers.
I’m taking a safer route though and going Over 51 total points @ 4/5. The Saints will get their points but Carolina will be angered in the way they lost last week and should win at home, but The Saints will push.
Player props are tough tonight but I fancy Willie Snead receiving yards of 50.5 @ PP/Ladbrokes to go over. Brees might not have too much time with the Panthers pass rush so Snead should get plenty of looks on short routes. He caught two TD’s last week against Denver (his first TD’s since week 2).
With o-lines not 100% and what could be shootout, sacks could be on the cards. Over 4.5 @ 365 seems like a decent total and I wouldn’t be shocked to see both contributing.
Saints/Panthers Over 51 Total Points @ 4/5 @ 365 – 5 points
grand slam of darts treble
wade 4/9
Anderson most 180s 1/2
barney win 8/13
2.50/1 @bet365
NBA daily picks
It was close yesterday 4 out of 5, but close is not enough. The worst team in NBA, the Sixers, managed to grab a win against the disappointing Wizards. It was a painful 45 euro loss, but we move forward with tonight’s games.
Minnesota – Philadelphia > **Pick over 211.5 @1.85**
(two teams that rank top 10 in opponent points per game)
Houston – Portland > **Pick over 219.5 @1.85**
(number 9 vs number 10 in points per game, Portland having one of the worst defenses in the league; Houston not that good either)
Washington – NY Knicks > **Pick X2 @1.92**
(Washington lost vs Philly last night, and even if this will be a tight game, I believe Knicks will grab a win)
Miami – Milwaukee > **Pick under 199.5 @1.9**
(a clash between two very good defensive teams that can’t score)
Utah – Chicago > **Pick X2 @2.04**
(Utah lost 2 in a row at home, while Chicago won 2 in a row; another close game, I give the the edge to the Bulls)
Five fold ~ @25.5 (bet 5.1 euros)
GL all!
November bets: 11
Won 3, Lost 8
Profit: 561 euros
One bet for snooker tonight:
White win v Dale – 4/5 Coral
Saturday Rugby Union Single
England v Fiji (2.30pm)
Fiji +39 point spread
2 point stake
I am amazed at the size of this spread. England are a force to be reckoned with now in world rugby but are no means the finished article. There was a big motivation for them to beat SA with the 10 year itch and general english speaking rivalry between such countries.
It was only last year that Fiji only lost to Wales by 10, Australia by 15 and England 24 in the World Cup. Fiji have half a team that plays in the Aviva Prem and others from top leagues around Europe. They recently lost to the Barbarians by 30 odd points but that was without some of their better players. Fiji are currently 10th in the world.
England have some injury issues going into this game and the line may change when the team is announced tomorrow. As much as this won’t change the result, it may make for a more disjointed performance and I’m sure Eddie Jones will want to see a few different faces now the SA game is done.
GL if you follow
Philadelphia 76er’s @ Minnesota Timberwolves.
Philly have lost their last 20 road games (including last season) and go into this match up on a b2b, after a somewhat surprising win against the Wizards last night.
Philly are one of the worst offensive teams ranked 27th averaging 96.8 ppg, and Minnesota are currently ranked 6th averaging 107 ppg, and 110ppg at home.
Minnesota have already blown out the Lakers by 26 points at home, Lakers were also on a b2b that night.
Pick – Minnesota Timberwolves -11.5 @ 1.90 (Bet 365).
Good luck.
I also love the Under on that game too.. lines opened at 215 points, now down to 210.
I really don’t think Philly will make over 100 points.
May have another bet or 2……….
NFL
Tennessee Titans 21+ Team Points
Detroit Lions ML
41/50 @ Skybet – 10 points
*Posted Yesterday*
NBA Bet For Tonight
5 Fold @ 4.46/1 (£10) LOST
Hawks -1.5
Celtics ML
Warriors -1.5
Clippers 1st half ML ✗
Spurs ML
November NBA
Bets 16
Win 2
Lost 14
-£24
King Kohli o33.5 1st innings – 9/10 Coral *winner*
151 and still going
Brecel win v White – Evs PP *loser*
Donaldson win v Ebdon – 6/4 WH *winner*
Lisowski +1.5 v Perry – 10/11 Coral *winner*
Baird win v G Wilson – 9/10 BV *loser*
Bingtao win v R Williams – 8/11 general *winner*
White win v Dale – 4/5 Coral *winner*
Went full circle on the snooker today. Brecel lost as Donaldson went 2-0 down. Then Donaldson comes back to win 4-2, Lisowski covers the handicap and Bingtao went 3-0 up. Then Bingtao pegged back to 3-3 and Baird goes 3-0 down. Bingtao wins decider and Baird gets it back to 3-3. Unfortunately lost decider though!
Dobey win v Hughes – Evs general *winner*
Van de Pas most 180’s v Wade – 2/1 Sky bet. Cant understand this price! *loser*
Anderson/Noppert u8.5 180’s -5/6 PP *loser*
RVB most 180’s v Durrant – Evs Coral (NAP) *loser*
Went from wondering how Dobey didn’t win to how he didn’t lose. Mad finish to game. Van de Pas turned up too late and lost 5-3 on 180’s. 10 180’s in Anderson/Noppert, didn’t expect so many from Noppert. RVB drew 5-5 in 180’s to end a bad night on the darts.
29 winners
21 losers
Profit: 6.96 pts
Another day of overall but small profit
@collie thanks for the tip on kohli, totally forgotten the test was even going to start. Just kept backing him in-play, gonna see if he gets pass the 1st half hour at the crease and back him in-play again
Grand Slam of Darts last 16:
Doubles:
Van Barneveld vs Durrant – over 15.5 legs
Anderson vs Noppert – Anderson most 180’s
21/20 **NAP** Bet365 LOST
Van Barneveld vs Durrant – Van Barneveld win
Anderson vs Noppert – Anderson win
20/21 Bet365 WON :)
Singles:
Hughes vs Dobey – Hughes over 3.5 180’s 4/6 **NB** Coral WON :)
Van Barneveld vs Durrant – Van Barneveld highest checkout over 115.5 5/6 Coral LOST
21 140’s from Anderson wasn’t helpful for the NAP but to be fair Noppert was on his A game today and was unlucky not win after going all the way to the last leg with Anderson.
NBA Bet For Tonight
4 Fold @ 5.37/1 (£10)
Bucks +8.5
Rockets +2
Timerwolves -13.5
Bulls +9.5