NFL week four gets into full swing today and here are Jordan's thoughts and tips for all the action.
He says: “The Sunday night primetime game sees an AFC showdown between two playoff hopefuls. The Chiefs head to Heinz Field to play the Steelers who will be looking to bounce back from their blowout in Philly last weekend where there could only get 250 yards of offense. They do have a huge boost with LeVeon Bell back and I expect him to get a big workload to make sure they get back to winning ways. The Chiefs will also be getting a superstar back in Jamaal Charles, but will likely ease him into the game as he’s coming off a knee injury rather than Bell coming from a ban.
“Chiefs kicker Cairo Santos hasvplayed the Saints in each of the last two seasons and has hit three or more field goals in both contests. The Eagles moved the ball with relative ease last week, and the Chiefs will be able to do the same with Kelce and Maclin. Charles will also give the Steelers D something to think of, as will Alex Smith running the ball himself. They’ll get their points and I’ll chance them to hit two field goals as TD’s are always tougher on the road with crowd noise etc.
The Bills vs Patriots (Ryan vs Belicheck) is always a funny one because Ryan likes to try and get under Belicheck's skin. Which is never usually a good thing because it almost always backfires. This week he hasn’t said much and it’s because he’s had to put his star wide receiver Sammy Watkins on IR, which is a massive loss. They handled Arizona well at home last week, and while the public pumped money into Arizona the sharps kept coming for Buffalo, but this will be different. The Patriots have now said Garappoli will start and Brissett is available, so all is fine at 3-0 with the return of Tom Brady next week. Never back against Belicheck, especially at home, and I’m not going to Sunday.
“The New Orleans Saints season is effectively over already. Going back to 1980, there have been 164 teams to start a season 0-3, with only five of them going on to make the playoffs. That’s 3%. Cue the Saints who are going to California on a short week after their division loss to Atlanta on Monday night. Originally I was going to have Drew Brees’ passing yards as a nap for this game, but PP have them at 319.5 right now. Still reachable but obviously there will be a bookie with a smaller total sometime tomorrow so look out for that. The Chargers and Saints are both hurting in the secondary so both QB’s should have decent numbers. Willie Snead is feeling good about playing Sunday so that’s another big threat back as he’s been one of Drew’s main targets and it will give Cooks some breathing room. Coby Fleener also combined well last week and both teams should get points.
Previously Posted
Jacksonville Jaguars/Indianapolis Colts Over 48.5 Total Points @ 5/6 @ 365– 3 points
Rest of Week 4 Tips
New England Patriots ML
Jaguars/Colts Over 41.5 Total Points
81-100 @ 888sport– 5 points
Add: Chargers/Saints Over 40.5 Total Points @ 7-6 @ 888sport– 3 points
Kansas City Chiefs Over 1.5 Field Goals @ 4-5 @ 365– 10 points
Will add some props tomorrow if I find some better total. Only really PPand 888sportat the moment with markets. Trying to limit myself too to reduce possible damage. Think these are well in with a chance though as I’ve only missed out by a point or two so far each week.
NFL Week 4 Player Props
Dwayne Washington (Detroit Lions) Over 46.5 Rushing Yards @ 11/13@ Bwin – 3.25 points – Line is low based on his averages so far this season. His only game with 10+ carries this season was last week against the Packers who through three games are the leagues best rush defence only giving up 1.8 yards per carry. Washington has a good match up in Chicago against a Bears defense who gave up 140 yards to Elliott last week.
Dennis Pitta (Baltimore Ravens) Over 49.5 Receiving Yards @ 5/6 @ PP – 3 points – Pitta should once again get targets a plenty at home to Oakland. The Raiders have given up 239 yards to Tight Ends in the last two weeks. Pitta has seen 20 targets in his last two games and should find space across the middle for Flacco.
Jaguars/Colts BTTS In Every Quarter @ 6/1 @ Skybet – Request A Bet – 1 point
The lowest total for Drew Brees’ pass yards is 316.5 @ Skybet. Still think it’ll go over but 300 is usually my limit for any QB to have a bet.
Morning all, its your main man Max here. I’ve been glued to the Ryder Cup the past few days, and haven’t posted any footy tips on here. The NFL continues, its week 4 and as always I am here to give you all a steer, Hopefully.
The Wembley game for me looks a tough one to call, Colts are hurting on Offence and their line doesn’t give Luck much time in the pocket. I can see points here, but I am going back to my old faithful market the FG’s and taking one of the best kickers in the league to land O1.5 at 5/6 Bet365. I may aswell stick with my favourite market and put up another team to cover the line and that’s the Brown’s who behind a old friend and of ours Crowell, can get them into position to cover the line at evens. I can see followers, following this FGs market D-)
Another old friend of ours is Melvin Gordon, who has landed winning tips for me this season, take on the Saints, and we saw they got blown away last week. Rivers doesn’t have the WR’s like Ryan, but their main guy Julio Jones was shut down. Gordon has delivered for me and my followers so far this season, and I trust him to do the same again. I am taking him to cover O75.5yds 17/20 Ladbrokes.
Cleveland v Washington wont be a game many watch even if the Ryder Cup wasn’t on, but there is a chance that facing a Skins team giving up 300yds per game through the air and the Brown’s averaging 18pts a game they could cover this line. I am on the FGs and if they get a score early with Td’s, I like the low line here. It is O17pts 5/6 Bet365.
The other team I like to cover their total team line is the Lions when they face the Bears in a NFC North collision. QB Stafford could have his way with this secondary, they put up 27pts on Green and 39pts in their opener against the Colts. The Bears have conceded 23pts, 29pts and 31pts and are virtually out of the NFC North already. I can see the Lions putting up the points here to cover O24.5 at 17/20 Betfair. Golden Tate as slipped of the radar since the emergence of Jones, but given the fact he as twice in 3 games gone O40yds I can see him covering his line of 50.5yds at 17/20 Ladbrokes in what may be his best game of the year with, the Bears secondary focusing on Jones. It may finally be Tate’s week to shine!
Max’s Sunday Tips
Colts O1.5fgs 5/6
Browns O1.5fgs 1/1
Gordon O75.5yds 17/20
Tate O50.5yds 17/20
Browns O17pts 5/6
Detroit O24.5pts 17/20.
GL
Mitre Cup
Auckland v Otago
Otago +7 spread
Evens @ Bet365
Mid Prem team plays top of the Championship team. Tough one to call but Aucklands form at home hasn’t been great, losing the lat two. Otago will be a bit fresher and with wet and windy weather, the game becomes more of a lottery. Fancy Otago ML but would like the comfort of 7 points.
GL if you follow
**MASSIVE LOSER**
Argentina v New Zealand
New Zealand -18.5 point spread
Defence is not a key attribute for Argentina and although they beat SA at home, SA were very poor. Would not expect the same from NZ. Reverse fixture difference was 35 points.
GL if you follow
Just made it by 1pt. 17-36
☆☆WINNER☆☆
NRL Final
Melbourne Storm v Cornulla Sharks
Melbourne Storm -2 points spread
2.20 @ Bet365
Best defence in the league plays the best attack in the league and defence usually wins out in these games. Storm have the more experienced players and have been to more finals. They haven’t one in 4 years so will be hungry for the silverware. Storm beat the Sharks by 20 points in their last encounter. Surprised the spread isn’t bigger.
GL if you follow
**POSTED YESTERDAY**
Euro Basketball Fourfold
Nymburk (Over 87.5 Team Points) **WON**
Le Mans (-4) **WON**
Baskonia (-5) **WON**
Ratiopharm Ulm (-2.5) **WON**
Fourfold @ 8/1, Skybet – 1pt staked. ***WINNER*** :)
Good luck!
**Note: Baskonia are also known as Laboral Kutxa**
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I doubt it will happen again but always nice to start of the season with three straight fourfolds including a 72/1. It made up for what would’ve been a poor day.
There was six tips from myself yesterday so I think it would be better to give a quick round-up instead of reposting them all.
It wasn’t a great day on the singles yesterday with only 2 from 5 landing, including a 17/20 and 15/8. My 2/1 shot Nancy lost in OT and on another night that would’ve made all the difference. After a poor start to the day my hopes rested on my fourfold which duely obliged for the third time in a row to give me a 5.76 profit for the day.
Well done to all winners and the best of luck for today.
Cheers Hunter – nice fourfold. Nancy missed a free throw with what was it, 14 seconds on the clock?! Also, if anyone was on Neptunas -3.5 1st half point spread with Skybet, they settled my bet as lost. I often don’t bother checking my settled bets as I keep a paper record, but I had to go onto Chat to sort it out. They resettled it as Won a few minutes later. This has happened once before with 365. @mr-fixit – or anyone else with an indepth knowledge of online bookies – am I being naive in not always checking whether winning bets have paid out correctly? I assumed it was done automatically, but is there some trader deciding if he or she can get away with short-changing a few customers?!
@hunter – You have some magic stuff ;) very very nice work !!!!
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Zaragoza – Valencia – Zaragoza (+8.5) @ 1.76 (NAP)
Fuenlabrada – Bilbao – over 163.5 @ 1.72 (NB)
Murcia – Joventud – Murcia (-9.5) @ 1.83
Phoenix Hagen – Jena – over 170.5 @ 1.88
==========================
Combo @ 3.62
– Zaragoza – Valencia – Zaragoza (+12.5) @ 1.40
– Fuenlabrada – Bilbao – over 163.5 @ 1.41
– Murcia – Joventud – Murcia (-5.5) @ 1.41
– Ludwigsburg – Bonn – Ludwigsburg to win @ 1.30
==========================
Unibet
GL
Funenlabrada combo over 158,5
Thanks Radu. Solid nap there – think Zaragoza could sneak a win! Was looking at the Bilbao game but can’t decide whether the pace will be high or low. Anyway, the best of luck!
SA vs Aus cricket and I’m taking SA to score over 313.5 runs at 5/6. Poor Aus bowling attack and the ground is known to be high scoring. Hopefully Quinton de Kock gets going again cause then even 350-400 is possible.
WON. SA racked up a mammoth 361 as expected. Having a small punt on Warner to score over 39.5 runs at 5/6
WON
Euro Basketball
Spanish ACB
Joventut @ Murcia (11:30GMT)
Not much time before tipoff so will keep this short. There’s not a huge deal to go on for this ACB opener but I was very impressed by Joventut in a recent friendly against Fenerbahce. The price is a bit skewed in my opinion so will take a chance at low stakes.
Result: Joventut (HT/FT) @ 6/1, Bet365 – 1pt staked.
Good luck!
NRL Final
Melbourne Storm v Cornulla Sharks
Melbourne Storm -2 points spread
2.20 @ Bet365
Best defence in the league plays the best attack in the league and defence usually wins out in these games. Storm have the more experienced players and have been to more finals. They haven’t one in 4 years so will be hungry for the silverware. Storm beat the Sharks by 20 points in their last encounter. Surprised the spread isn’t bigger.
GL if you follow
Fuff!! With 15 mins to go and a four point lead I didn’t see Cornulla getting another score. Storm turnover with 5 mins to go was a massive error.
Storm 12 – 14 Sharks
**LOSER**
Miami @ Georgia Tech (22:00) – Miami -3
Texas @ Oklahoma State (17:00) – Texas +9
San Jose State @ New Mexico (21:00) New Mexico -6
Treble pays 1.5/1 **Lost**
Miami -6
New Mexico -7
Tennessee @ Georgia (20:30) – Tennessee ML
Oklahoma @ TCU (22:00) – Oklahoma ML
4 Fold pays 4.6/1 **Won** (Became a treble as New Mexico won by 7)
Not the best of nights as I know people are more likely to have got on the treble than the riskier 4 fold. Texas downed the treble with a defense that tackled absolutely nothing. Whilst the 4 fold became a treble when New Mexico conceded 21 points in the 4th quarter.
365 and Ladbrokes have Washington’s rushing yards with Ladbrokes offering 45.5 @ 17/20.
Going to add Melvin Gordon (San Diego Chargers) Over 96.5 Rush and Receiving Yards @ 5/6 @ PP – 3 points
Euro Basketball Fourfold
Tenerife / G. Canaria (Under 168.5)
Newcastle Eagles (-3)
Milano / dOrlando (Under 153.5)
Prat Joventut (Money Line)
Fourfold @ 7/1, Bet365 – 1pt staked.
Good luck!
Afternoon Guys, well that didn’t take long, Colts FG tip up well before HT :-) Luck looks to be struggling behind that poor O line, here is what I said about the game, I couldn’t have tipped it any better
“The Wembley game for me looks a tough one to call, Colts are hurting on Offence and their line doesn’t give Luck much time in the pocket. I can see points here, but I am going back to my old faithful market the FG’s and taking one of the best kickers in the league to land O1.5 at 5/6 Bet365.”
Colts O1.5fgs 5/6 WON (Easy as you like)
Hi all nfl for tonight Atlanta v Carolina 0 43.5 Tampa v Denver o39.5 and san Francisco vdallas o 39.5 points 5/2 treble hills . Houston- 3.5 and Arizona -5.5 double 13/8 hills and acc if seattle+4.5 Denver ml Dallas +1.5 and Oakland +7.5 pays 9/2 all 1point gl all?
Early games
Atlanta +7.5
Cleveland +10.5
Detroit +1.5
treble pays 2.5/1
Baltimore +2
Jets +4.5
Patriots -5.5
Houston money line
Acca pays 4.5/1
Late games
Denver money line
Dallas money line
Saints +7.5
Rams +8.5
Acca pays 7/1
Early games anytime scorers
Ginn jnr (Carolina)
DE Shawn Jackson (Washington)
Margin Jones (Detroit)
Acca pays 12/1
Late games anytime scorers
Cj Anderson (Denver)
Beasley (Dallas)
Cooks (saints)
Gurley (rams)
Acca pays 16/1
Jordan nice one over points was on great 4th Quarter?