Racing tips: Best Of Lips will dethrone the 2021 Arc Winner at Baden-Baden

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Another difficult Saturday with a couple running well below par, one clattering the 3rd hurdle from home which resulted in him losing by 0.5L and the final selection got the gaps needed far too late in the race, but ultimately wasn't good enough.

Baden-Baden 3:30

 Trainer: Andreas Suborics

 Jockey: Martin Seidl

 Form: /131-2

This race sees the seasonal return of last year's Arc winner, Torquator Tasso who sprung a massive shock when winning at odds of 72/1, if he is ready for this then he could be difficult to stop but I think this will be a pipe opener and he'll need the run, so value can be found in this.

My play in this is BEST OF LIPS who ran well on season return just over a month ago at Cologne in a Listed race which was won by Mansour who is also in this race. Watching that race back, I think Best Of Lips would've come on plenty for that run and a reverse in form between those two is very possible. Mansour had the run of the race last time, getting an uncontested lead and had already ran once before that so had plenty in his favour. Best Of Lips came with a good looking run, but his efforts slowly faded in the final furlong in the shape of a horse who wasn't 100% match fit.

Last year's Arc winner seems to need bottomless ground to be at his best, and looking at the weather forecast the ground should remain on the good side of things, so that is another negative if you're a support of him.

Longchamp 1:33

 Trainer: F-H Graffard

 Jockey: Stephane Pasquier

Form: 112-10

I think it's worth chancing one of the 3yo's in this race, and I'm siding with the one with better form in MALAVATH. Of the older horses, you know their level and what to expect, whereas we don't know where the limit is for this daughter of Mehmas who looked impressive at stages of last year and made a good start to this campaign before looking like a non-stayer at Newmarket as well as not handling the track.

She was campaigned as a sprinter for most parts of last year, before running over the mile at the Breeders' Cup meeting where they went for the mile race. Del Mar is a very tight track and suits speedy horses, and if a horse is ever going to get a trip that they normally wouldn't, it would be over in America and at a track like Del Mar. She made a pleasing return at Deauville on heavy ground winning in good style, but the run at Newmarket looked laboured. She didn't look balanced entering the dip and looked tired leaving it. I think a steady tempo race like they normally are in France will suit as she has good cruising speed and turn of foot. The quick ground might appear to be a hindrance for her as she has looked impressive on testing ground, but her pedigree suggests she'll be fine on this ground.

She is current the favourite, which doesn't surprise me as punter's will have a similar view to mine. She gets the weight for age allowance which means she could be very tough to beat, IF getting a clear run, which can be a nightmare in France.

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