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Yesterday's sole selection was terrible. I am actually baffled how she ran so poor. She was travelling really well, jumping with fluency and then all of a sudden she went from 100 to 0 and Harry Skelton was after her with a circuit to go. No surprise to see the late gambled on horse winning, but there has to be something amiss with the performance of Runwiththetide, as it was too bad to be true.

Down Royal 1:45

Today's racing should be good again, but I think the English races are far too competitive to get involved, so I've dodged that and have found one I like in the Grade 3 Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Novice Hurdle.

Willie Mullins has a good record in this race, winning it four times in the last ten years, so his runner of Purple Mountain has to be respected, but I don't think she is a world beater. Gordon Elliot loves running his horses at this track, and has a good strike rate here, but the price of Party Central is probably a little too short for what she achieved on hurdling debut, and her jumping would need to be seriously better to win this. A horse who might be overlooked in IMPERVIOUS, trained by Colm Murphy, who is obviously a much lesser known trainer, but this mare could be a flag-bearer for him for years to come.

She is two from two in her short career, and I think she could be a smart mare to follow. The wins have come over 2m 4f and 2m 3f, so on paper there is a slight concern that the drop in trip will not suit. However, the rain and soft ground which they already have at Down Royal will make it a stamina test over the 2m 1f, so you'd like to be with a horse who will stay the trip out, and potentially more, and Impervious fits the bill. She is a unknown on this ground, but based on breeding she should be fine, and the trainer seems to think she'll handle it too. Down Royal is a stiff track, so even more emphasis will be placed on the stamina, so even though she might be one of the first off the bridle, you'd like to think she'll be staying on strongly when coming down the hill and turning for home.

The form of her runs has worked out quite well, with the runner-up from both races winning in good style since.

It wouldn't be a surprise if she takes a walk in the market, as there are some of the biggest stables in this race.

Horse Racing Tips
Impervious
Down Royal - 1:45 pm

7/2 @ Bet365

55 Comments
  1. Avatar of Thebigflu
    Thebigflu 3 years ago

    With ya on that rizz ,elliott is on fire and Russell is his man,so gonna try theses babbys,,,,hollow games,,,zanahiyr,,,,game catch,,,,grand paradis,,,,,,espion du chenet,,,,the madiator,,, heres hoping G,L

    1
  2. Avatar of Gateacre Pete
    Gateacre Pete 3 years ago

    Tango Pete @ 33s ew. 3.58 Uttoxeter
    GL

    3
    • Avatar of Thebigflu
      Thebigflu 3 years ago

      Took it got 35s putting it in with plugs 3

      1
    • Avatar of Gateacre Pete
      Gateacre Pete 3 years ago

      Donkey 🐴

  3. Avatar of SPURS55
    spurs55 3 years ago

    Start my guesses with Ingra Tor first race

    Bol today

  4. Avatar of theplug
    theplug 3 years ago

    Zanahiyr 9/10
    Zanahiyr to win by 2 lengths or more 13/8
    Skyace back next week looking forward to see her run again

    1
    • Avatar of theplug
      theplug 3 years ago

      sorry everyone forget that bet with zanahiyr to win by 2 lengths or more read it wrong

    • Avatar of Double carpet
      double carpet 3 years ago

      Well done plug. Still hits those flat spots 2 out which will cost him when he faces better rivals.
      Still think he’ll go up in trip but won well.

  5. Avatar of Double carpet
    double carpet 3 years ago

    Really looking forward to racing over the next 2 days with some genuine grade 1 horses lining up particularly at Down Royal.
    This is a meeting Elliott usually targets for some of his big guns and he hasn’t disappointed this year either.
    Most of it will be a watch to see how they perform but there is 1 horse that I’ve taken a chance on.

    1.10 Hollow Games is not a bet for today at 1/3 but he’s currently 50/1 for the Supreme. He makes his debut over hurdles but was very impressive in his 2 bumper wins last season and the form couldn’t have worked out much better with many of the horses in behind him winning since including Eurotiep for WM who won his next start by 19L.
    A good performance today and that 50/1 could be very good value after the race.

    1.45 I was actually going to back Purple Mountain but is now a NR but I agree with rizzle about Party Central. He’ll need to improve a bit to win this and there’s plenty more to come from Impervious

    2.20 There’s talk that Elliott will be stepping Zanahiyr up in trip and if you look at the way he finished his races off last term you can understand that. He meets a race fit Cask Mate today and has to concede 5lbs and considering he’s only rated 7lbs better on official ratings I think it’s a tough task for him today.

    The 2.55 h’cap is an absolute minefield but Excelsior at 9/1 who makes his h’cap debut for Elliott off a mark of 100 catches the eye but again no bet.

    3.30 The one race I have had a bet in and I think it’s the race of the day.
    Beacon Edge is rated 158 over hurdles and was 4th in the World Hurdle. He was only beaten 3/4L by Honeysuckle over 20f last season and definitely sets the standard.
    Vanillier was a very impressive winner of the AB and I’m hoping he runs well today as I have him backed for the RSA but I think today’s distance might be a bit short for him.
    The one I’ve backed though is Grand Paradis at 5/2.
    I was hugely impressed with his 2 wins at the end of last season. He’s a big stocky horse that is crying out for a fence and Elliott hasn’t wasted any time putting him over them. Still only 5, it will be some performance to win today but I won’t be giving up on him if he doesn’t as there will be loads more to come.

    The rest of the card doesn’t have much appeal but also worth mentioning Portfolio who runs at Wetherby for Gary Moore. Currently 25/1 for the Triumph and Moore who was so unlucky with Goshen reckons he’s got a good one here.

    BOL

    3
    • Avatar of Thebigflu
      Thebigflu 3 years ago

      Nice write up d,c and good read , i was hoping for better this year from skeleton team,but twist Davis is doing better at the mo,and id say p,nicholls is doing better than both this yeah and hel prove it tomorrow,i think anyway , all eyes on nicholls tomorrow,GL

      1
    • Avatar of Thebigflu
      Thebigflu 3 years ago

      Hell he might even smash skeleton at uttoxeter today ill be watching

    • Avatar of Double carpet
      double carpet 3 years ago

      Apologies,
      Only read what I wrote now and obviously my phone auto corrected my spelling of Porticello

    • Avatar of Recoba
      recoba 3 years ago

      Great shout Rizzle rest in my Yankee were duff.

      USA… lots of NRs with rain at 2 main meetings so going with the tracker and a Yankee for what I can figure might be safe regarding the tracks etc.

      2x singles and a Canadian in Yankee land it makes sense!

      Keeneland -R8…Jester Calls Nojoy. 11/4(****)
      R9…Crazy Beautiful 7/1. Ew(**)
      Belmont-R9…Lil Commisisner. 11/8(*** main track now and means Flavious is NR so onto this)
      Santa Anita -R5…Sauls Call. 4/5
      R7…Harbor Bay. 6/4.

      All Bet365 but I’m SP with Harbour Bay and Lil Commissioner. Paddy Power

      Also got Ruling at Charles Town-R3 but it’s 1.37am at 7/4 so see how I go and no odds bar Bet365.

      GL yoll 🇺🇸🐎

  6. Avatar of Thebigflu
    Thebigflu 3 years ago

    Going give skelton one last try with unexpected party,,yantrni,,nothing to ask,,,, filistine,,,, my 22p Yankee first 4 across G,L

    1
  7. Avatar of Recoba
    recoba 3 years ago

    Yankee for today and take a single on Rizzles and other…

    Impervious…1.45. 11/4 (Rizzle n Mullins horse out too helps for me)
    Restandbethankful…2.40. 9/4 (was other possible single but can’t back em all)
    Royaume Uni…3.05. 5/2 (*** been on my tracker from last win over hurdles with a run on flat the race before doing the trick,hopefully going back to 2m flat brings up the same result)
    Beacon Edge…3.30. 13/8 (should win if takes to fences but no gimme if there’s such a thing In chasing)

    GL all today

    1
    • Avatar of Thebigflu
      Thebigflu 3 years ago

      Now after watching skelton will it be a party double ?G,L today

  8. Avatar of theplug
    theplug 3 years ago

    Zanahiyr 5/6 class horse of the race ,Elliott should have this one fit ,woud be disappointing if he gets beat
    Minella Drama 6/4 class horse of the race ,second to Mr Drago last season expect a big run from him today.
    Joly Maker 10/30 nap. only beaten a head lto and that horse that beat him have won twice since also down in class .

    2
  9. Avatar of Thebigflu
    Thebigflu 3 years ago

    Lol maybe harry has seen me having a dig at him because the last two days hes waking up now,maybe just maybe the champ is coming alive,, if he keeps this up ill take back everything i said lol

  10. Avatar of Thebigflu
    Thebigflu 3 years ago

    Someone put up whoshottheshriff yesterday looks good

    • Avatar of Thebigflu
      Thebigflu 3 years ago

      Found it 3’50 wetherby ,

  11. Avatar of Elvis Parsley
    elvis parsley 3 years ago

    Oceanline 3-15 wetherby 3-1

    1
  12. Avatar of Riaz Hussain
    riaz26 3 years ago

    Did anyone see the 13:30 race at wetherby. The favourite got robbed. Shit like that pisses you off as the other horse bumped the fav out the race otherwise the fav had the race in the bag.

    1
    • Avatar of Thebigflu
      Thebigflu 3 years ago

      Yeah true m8 joke

  13. Avatar of Thebigflu
    Thebigflu 3 years ago

    Well in rizz and well fuking called nice thanks

    3
  14. Avatar of David Creaner
    davc 3 years ago

    Nice tip Rizzel, well done. And great write up from Double Carpet.

    1
  15. Avatar of Thebigflu
    Thebigflu 3 years ago

    Who ever is best jockey today at wetherby between skelton ,and Davis,wins the last at that meeting might go with skelton but wel see how he gos

    • Avatar of Thebigflu
      Thebigflu 3 years ago

      Yeah thats it for me hes in form today ,,kinckerbockerglory last 4,55

  16. Avatar of SPURS55
    spurs55 3 years ago

    Red lacewing next @ NM

  17. Avatar of Sore point
    Sore point 3 years ago

    Cracking day yesterday with both bets coming in.

    Newmarket 4.50 THUNDER LILY 12/1 each way

    Good luck everyone

    2
  18. Avatar of Thebigflu
    Thebigflu 3 years ago

    White haven ‘3’05 murphy on it

    • Avatar of Thebigflu
      Thebigflu 3 years ago

      Its ok murphys on the drink again ,hes over the limit

  19. Avatar of Thebigflu
    Thebigflu 3 years ago

    Mustang kodi 8’30 Kempton might put in red zone @ 8’00

  20. Avatar of busstop.2018
    busstop.2018 3 years ago

    Afternoon All

    UTTOXETER

    15.23. .Joly Maker. .9/2

    15.58. .Dream In The Park. .11/4

    WETHEBY

    15.15. .Ocean Line. .11/4

    15.50. .Good Boy Bobby. .5/2

    16.24. .Casa Tall. .4/1

    GL ALL

    2
  21. Avatar of SPURS55
    spurs55 3 years ago

    Love Is Golden @ 10/1

    next guess

    newmarket

  22. Avatar of Thebigflu
    Thebigflu 3 years ago

    Just smashed down royal won a few quid ,lol stick that in your pipe and the rest is history

  23. Avatar of SPURS55
    spurs55 3 years ago

    Geminga

    newmarket

  24. Avatar of SPURS55
    spurs55 3 years ago

    Egypsyan Crackelli

    first kempton

  25. Avatar of SPURS55
    spurs55 3 years ago

    love the name

  26. Avatar of SPURS55
    spurs55 3 years ago

    Phantasy Mac @ 16/1

    kempton

    • Avatar of SPURS55
      spurs55 3 years ago

      Seascape Girl @ 9/4

      for the win though

  27. Avatar of SPURS55
    spurs55 3 years ago

    Big baby bull
    Dundalk

  28. Avatar of SPURS55
    spurs55 3 years ago

    Give in
    Can’t get the numbers right
    Be back later once I’ve seen a few results!!

    Bol

  29. Avatar of SPURS55
    spurs55 3 years ago

    trading point

    dundalk next

  30. Avatar of Recoba
    recoba 3 years ago

    No idea why this ended up at the top

    Great shout Rizzle rest in my Yankee were duff.

    USA… lots of NRs with rain at 2 main meetings so going with the tracker and a Yankee for what I can figure might be safe regarding the tracks etc.

    2x singles and a Canadian in Yankee land it makes sense!

    Keeneland -R8…Jester Calls Nojoy. 11/4(****)
    R9…Crazy Beautiful 7/1. Ew(**)
    Belmont-R9…Lil Commisisner. 11/8(*** main track now and means Flavious is NR so onto this)
    Santa Anita -R5…Sauls Call. 4/5
    R7…Harbor Bay. 6/4.

    All Bet365 but I’m SP with Harbour Bay and Lil Commissioner. Paddy Power

    Also got Ruling at Charles Town-R3 but it’s 1.37am at 7/4 so see how I go and no odds bar Bet365.

    GL yoll 🇺🇸🐎

    • Avatar of Thebigflu
      Thebigflu 3 years ago

      Sounds good to me cheers

    • Avatar of Recoba
      recoba 3 years ago

      🐎🇺🇸

      Weather!!
      Lil Commissioner NR and can’t edit $hit!

      Take Hagker in the next at Belmont instead 4/1.

      Tight fit time but there it is!

  31. Avatar of Elvis Parsley
    elvis parsley 3 years ago

    Corinthia knight 7-30 kempton.
    12-1 ew extra 4 places.

    1
  32. Avatar of theplug
    theplug 3 years ago

    Down royal tomorrow 2-15 Feelgood island 12/1 ew

    • Avatar of Thebigflu
      Thebigflu 3 years ago

      Just looking there they should rename it the Gordon elliott meeting

    • Avatar of Recoba
      recoba 3 years ago

      Elliots a twat!

  33. Avatar of Recoba
    recoba 3 years ago

    Pi$$ I can’t edit bet. There’s Hagler 4/1 won as well.least single on it from cash back with NR

    • Avatar of Thebigflu
      Thebigflu 3 years ago

      He might be but no denying hes one of the best in the game and thats why they all hate em ,,

  34. Avatar of Recoba
    recoba 3 years ago

    Yip but always thought he’s a twat?

    1
  35. Avatar of Thebigflu
    Thebigflu 3 years ago

    Whats been up with ya lately you lost your ying an your yang not like you all ,

    • Avatar of Recoba
      recoba 3 years ago

      Lol I’m cool as a fool I’m a swimming pool TheBigFlu.

      1

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