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A very busy racing day on Tuesday, with seven meetings happening in the UK and Ireland. We head to Ayr, Lingfield & Fakenham for our selections.
Ayr 1:15
ALQAMAR is an interesting recruit to jumps racing. This son of Dubawi has already raced once over hurdles, where he finished 2nd to a progressive horse called Word Has It, who has since won again, and is now rated 130.
That run was a good first run over timber, as it was his first run in over 800 days. He has not been seen since, which seems a little strange, but due to his time off the track I think James Moffatt wanted to look after him and find him a nice opportunity.
He was previously trained by Charlie Appleby, as part of their Godolphin team, and he was a decent horse on the flat, being as high as 93 rated. He stayed 2m on the flat, so the distance is not a worry, and the forecasted rain should not be an issue as he has run nice races on soft ground before.
Ayr 2:20
With question marks around a few of the horses in this race, I think BAFANA BLUE is a strong contender. Running off a mark of 118 makes him well handicapped on some of his old form, as he was rated as high as 130. He will not mind if the rain arrives, and he will stay the 3m trip, as proven again when staying on strongly in his recent win at Wetherby at the start of April.
Ayr 5:10
An interesting bumper race to conclude the day up at Ayr, with some potentially nice horses. My eye was immediately drawn to Stuart Crawford’s runner, KINGFISHER LANE. This horse only ran a few days ago in one of the bumpers at the Punchestown festival, and he was not disgraced in finishing 5th. It is up for debate about the form as no other horse in the race has raced since, but the fact it was at the Punchestown festival, I would like to think it was a hotly contested race. If he is not fatigued from that race, I would like to think he will be a major player in this race.
Lingfield 12:30
CRACK REGIMENT is a very interesting runner for the Henry Spiller stable. Since acquiring this horse from the French stable H-F Devin, Henry has campaigned this horse primarily in France. However, on his first start he was pitched into a race at Kempton, and I would advise watching that race back. On that day Crack Regiment was positioned towards the back, was travelling the best, but on multiple occasions had no where to go, ultimately finishing 6th. The form of that race has not worked out badly at all…
• 1st Pretty In Grey – Since won twice (now rated 92)
• 2nd Karabana – Since won twice (now rated 91)
• 4th Dashing Roger – Since won 3x (now rated 94)
He has not run badly in France as well, being placed 2x and winning a handicap over 1m 2f. The time off the track does not worry me that much as he often runs well when fresh.
Advised: Each Way
Fakenham 4:25
A competitive staying race, but I like the chances of FRIENDS DON’T ASK, in the Norfolk National. Martin Smith has clearly had this race in mind for some time, and this has been the target. He won a “Double Up Bonus Race” late last year at Fakenham, which coincides with this race, as this is also a bonus race. On that day he would easily and showed that he was a strong stayer at this trip. He is in good form, which he showed when winning at Fontwell at the back end of March.
Advised: Each Way
4:15 Lingfield- corofin 6/1
Flying west 12 30 annies prayer E W 1.15
Sad to see AT go, I don’t know the Ins and outs and it was advertised as ‘retiring’ from the post as such but I don’t believe it for a second.
He was either not paid enough, or was offered better elsewhere. He was consistent, won me thousands over the years. If he went on a bad run of 3 days he always smashed back with 3 winners etc in one day to pull you all back out.
No disrespect to this Rizzle lad, but he doesn’t come across as consistent to me. Smashing up 5 selections, most of which look fairly tight races is a silly way to approach this role in my own personally opinion.
If you are a punter who doesn’t know much about racing and you use this site to try make profit I’m fairly confident over the course of a month you’ll be out of pocket if you follow this guy.
Mate of mine has lumped big on mannochmore 4.05 at Ayr tomorrow, 3/1 now but he is expecting to come in to 6/4
Mannochmore is currently 7/2 with B365 best odds guaranteed.
AT has picked it and is also nap selection for ‘Man on the Spot’.
Doing AT’s Ayr selections in a L63 and a single on Mannochmore.
Admin can delete this if he/she feels it’s a case of tip theft on a grand scale but here are money thomsons tips.
He seems to post tips on all races at Scottish venues.
If they are deleted I’m sure regulars here know where he posts these.
Iif nothing else you can match his picks with your own thoughts and if they concur it’s a case of great minds think alike.
Put it this way, I trust his tips more than the goons who tip in the tabloids.
Templegate probably one of the worst, posts upwards of 40 tips a day then a headline the next day “TEMPLEGATE SMASHES THE BOOKIES WITH A 4-1 DOUBLE” forgetting about the 38+ other losers 😁.
AYR
ALQAMAR (1.15)
TICO TIMES (1.45)
BOOTLEGGER (2.20)
MANETTI (2.55)
MISS TARA MOSS (3.30)
MANNOCHMORE (4.05)
Think I’ll do a placepot on them for interest
Where does he post them Elvis?
MC bookie website
Elis where can I find alan ts Scottish tips please?
No need cairnzy.
It’s a thankless task trying to post winners for others to follow.
I’m not a statistical genius but you follow any tipster at level stakes say £1 a race over a month and there would be very few who would post a profit over a sustained period.
If we paid for the services of a tipster then maybe we could demand he ups his game as we would be following blindly.
But tips here are free so I just look at the headline tipster as one of us airing his thoughts.
Tommo over a sustained period is probably the most consistent I’ve seen here and I’ve been lurking here since a bloke called millsey headlined the thread (anyone remember him ?) Years ago.
Millsey was convinced he was god’s gift to tipping when he was piss poor in my opinion and I seem to Mr fixit politely asked him to leave after constant arguements with posters.
Some holes need to be dug I think 😂
Elvis your NAP and NB give us all extra profit on long run so if ask me best option is to fallow your tips. Your tips is constant and will give anyone good profit. Problem is only becous you post in diferent time so ppl need to be on forum msot time to cathc your NAP, but on long run very nice profit. If ask me bettar to give you space to post tips in my opinion.
I agree it’s rare to find somone who can produce consistent profit, I have to admit the one poster I miss is JB that guy was incredible in the big races spotting a young horse too Christ I made some money on them tips these days I find you dazza and postman throw up winners most regularly no disrespect to rizzle has he doing his best but 5 tips a couple e/w it’s not for me, but it’s an opinions game at the end of the day we all read the form different we all looking for that one big win ew thief probably has the right formular might not win a lot but when he does it will be huge and it will happen at some point but hey it’s all just fun best of luck everyone
There is no formula for long term gain.
Todays nap is that not one poster here will record profit over a 12 month period.
If someone says they can, then stick a theoretical £1 per pick on each one and your progress can be monitored if folk want to.
Some have a good run and we all have them, then the stats become less transparent as bad runs occur and the running totals fizzle out.
I hate all that points stuff, we should be bright enough to read everyone’s comments and decide for ourselves rather be spoonfed bets then blame tipsters when they lose.
I’m certainly no tipster, just someone who has followed jumps racing since the days of red rum, sea pigeon, night nurse, monksfield etc and likes to join a free racing club here where tips and chat can be exchanged.
Put it this way, I don’t rely on racing bets to make a living, if I did, I would be living in a cardboard box, drinking meths in the local park and going through the bins at the back of Tesco for food with the seasgulls 😁
Ah the good old days of drinking meth and sucking on a a can of lighter refill gas !
elvis parsley – Your NAP from this year 2021 ( 4 months) is 23 winners from 60 race with profit of 10.85 profit. NB is 13 winner from 27 with 18.82 profit make. Most interesting is doubles bets with NAP and NB if you have it on same day and it is 6 winner from 24 bets with profit of 26.61 pt. I traacking your post very seriusly and it is only bets when you set NAP and NB ( other bats not count at all), so this is very naic profit. And more immportant i didnt notice big variation in tiping, very constant tips. Ofc i am tracking you only 4 month every day what you post, but i think taht you are in profit on NAP on long run, becous you not post NAP every day, usualy you post realy good chance winner.
Elvis is the man to be fair especially with the jumps
Good Morning. My each way punt managed to claw a few coins back in the pocket but that was as good as it got.
12:30 Lingfield – Crack Regiment 10/3
1:00 Lingfield – Anmaat *** NAP *** 11/10
1:15 Ayr – Alqamar 11/10
1:30 Lingfield – Beau Jardine 6/4
2:30 Lingfield Swiss Pride 6/4
Some good looking Tennis in Madrid this afternoon and UAE vs Qatar in the Champions league tonight 😁
BOL and May the 4th be with you 👍
Not on postie 3-55 fakenham Mr postman ?.
—————————————
Just found this emoji on my phone 🧔.
Looks like that twat Peter Sutcliffe ❌
Crack Regiment ❌
Anmaat *** NAP *** ✅
Alqamar 11/10 ✅
Beau Jardine ✅
Swiss Pride ❌
I’m To Blame Ayr 2.20 17/2 from 14/1
Gl
Morning All
SOUTHWELL
16.45. . Huntsmans Jog. . 3/1
17.15. . Demon Daunou. . 4/1
18.50. . Heart Of A Lion. . 4/1
FAKENHAM
15.20. .Tossapenny. . 11/10
GL ALL
katelli 2.00 Swiss pride 2.30 g rex 4.30 barrier peaks 5.10 demon d aunou 5.15 Well done all winners yesterday
With all respect Elvis, I have every right to come on here and give my opinion..
If Rizzle can’t accept a bit of criticism then maybe shouldn’t be a main line tipper. You are correct these tips are free understandable but is Rizzle or was AT doing it for free? I’m pretty certain some sort of payment was made for his services.
It’s near impossible like you say to stay in profit if you are someone who tracks per day or month etc but I know with AT he fairly fairly went on a run of 3/4 days of loses. At a glance and from what I can gather with this guy Rizzle you’ll definitely be more out of pocket following him than you would with AT.
Some people on here only came on this site to follow his selections, I for one was one of them people and I’m sure a lot of others were too. If it was a money thing and they’ve decided to cut it due to that which is what it looks like as he’s still posting on mcbookie etc then it’s a lazy lazy approach and pretty disappointing.
I’m not going to continue to slander the new guy, I’m sure he knew before taking the post that he had massive boots to fill but from looking at his previous selections over the past months and even from taking over the post his selections and race picking looks ridiculous. Picking races were some horses are having their first run is a complete lottery, a few big EW calls isn’t for me.
I’ll be eating my words later if he lands 3 or 4 winners from his 5 but somehow I doubt it.
Good luck if you follow, I’ll be keeping my money safe to the wallet anyway..
Interesting read cairnzy.
Were all different, it’s what makes us human.
All with a common goal, beating those pesky bookies 👍
cairnzy1878, not that we need to justify ourselves but for clarity, Alan indicated to us two weeks ago that he wished to stop contributing at the end of April saying the workload was too much and the time was right now that things had settled down a bit following the passing of Mr Fixit, whom was a former colleague and friend of Alan’s.
In response, we recruited Rizzel, who did some previews for us at previous festivals and fared very well. He was the obvious choice.
In terms of Alan, he offered to extend his final date to help us out but we had already lined up Rizzel so there was no need.
We believe he’s offered the same assistance to the guys at McBookie hence why his tips are still there and he’ll continue to do Scottish tips for them until they find a replacement.
It’s fine to criticise the tips, even if they’re free, we’re all grown up.
However your comment; “If it was a money thing and they’ve decided to cut it due to that which is what it looks like as he’s still posting on mcbookie etc then it’s a lazy lazy approach and pretty disappointing.” as well as your earlier one, is out of line when you don’t have the full knowledge of the circumstances – despite us explaining in the post last week.
We’re all just here to try to beat the bookies. If you don’t agree with the tips the floor is yours to offer up alternatives, that’s what makes this thread great – not just the tips that Alan provided.
Here’s to us all beating the bookies. 👍
Tossapenny 3-20 fakenham 11-10 (bus stop tip).
Tully’s touch 4-55 fakenham 10-11.
Win double 3-1
5:05 ballinrobe
9) brides hill
2/1 most bookies
How did that get beat
Ardera cross 4-05 Ayr.
Won here 3 times this year and 4 times here in total.
Just 8 runners now maybe his course form can get him places.
100-30 top 3 @hills.
11-10 top 4.
And a few pennies ew 14-1 in case all the others fall 😁
3rd 🏇
Andrea Cross 30q put on it and 10q double andrea cross and international law
get in need international law for 1600 andrea cross thanks u
Alqamar and Anmaat got the day off to flyer with 2 singles but the wee treble with the favourite in the 4.05 Ayr falls at the last when definitely in about it.
Onwards…🇺🇸
Singles and a cheeky 4 fold as the Yankee ain’t worth it with the prices especially as there in the move already…
Will Rodgers Down -R3. Taruca. 11/10(***)
Finger Lakes-R8…Bastet(*****) 5/4
Philadelphia-R9…Singing Sammy B 10/11
Thistledowns-R6….Lady Mabee. 6/4
GL all and well done the winners today
*Philadelphia-R9. Star Mabee
JUST went NR anyway so an easy treble pays 7/1 Bet365.
GL in e slop 🐎🇺🇸
“His mother was a mudder,his father was a mudder…he’s a mudder! Loves the mud!”
Posted Amigos Affair at 9/4 there in the 1st a good 15mins before the off at Beltarras 1st race only for to see it saying “duplicate post@ then comeback in and I’m logged out and ZERO posts??
I hope star 5.50 ew
that should make up for the rest get in
One more pick for the day not the best price in the world
8:10 ballinrobe – miracle millions 11/4 bet 365 good luck 👍
If you want a bigger price winner here’s one
8:20 Southwell- Monash – 9/1
7-50 ballycrystal 9-4 top 3 @skybet.
8-20 Monash 11-4 top 3 @hills
Ballycrystal top 5 finish 20-21
Monash top 5 finish 11-10
Place Double
Your top 3 finish looks a good shout at that price sir 👍
Cape Fair
Next Southwell