A very fascinating matchup will happen in the US Open semi-final, and we selected a few value picks for you based on what we’ve seen from both Aryna Sabalenka and Emma Navarro so far at the event.
Sabalenka has played like a true champion so far in New York. Since she’s been so good, it’s time for you to back some interesting picks regarding her likely winning yet another match in dominant fashion. Here are our US Open betting tips for today’s women’s semi-final.
Best US Open betting tips for day 11
Aryna Sabalenka has been absolutely amazing so far at the event. She dropped only one set, and it was against a player who is a very aggressive baseliner, which is how you generally give Sabalenka problems.
Navarro is not an aggressive baseliner, nor does she have the power to really trouble her opponent, so that’s why we’re going to back Sabalenka to win comfortably.
Sabalenka to win 2-0 @ 5/6
Aryna Sabalenka has been ridiculous in recent weeks, winning the Cincinnati Open trophy and then bringing that same level to the US Open. She’s beaten every opponent comfortably, and while she did drop one set, it was mostly a blip rather than a trend.
She’s dominating opponents both on serve and return, and there doesn’t seem to be much Navarro will be able to do to change that. The American is not the right profile to trouble Sabalenka generally, and she didn’t in their most recent match, losing 6-2, 6-3.
This one looks like yet another one of those straight-sets wins for the player who likely will win the trophy in the end.
Under 19.5 games @ 13/10
This is basically a variation of the 2-0 pick because if Sabalenka wins 2-0, she’s likely to do it in under 19.5 games. A 6-3, 6-4 win would do, and she’s cleared this mark the last time she played Navarro.
She’s cleared it in all but one of her matches, and it’s that one against Alexandrova which featured a really bizarre first set from Sabalenka. The odds are so juicy that this is a no-brainer bet, considering how dominating Sabalenka has been.
Under 8.5 games @ 3/2
The final pick is another variant of the Sabalenka will crush Navarro narrative but this one features the games of the opening set. Sabalenka has had very quick starts in most of her matches.
She likes to come out aggressive from the first ball and set the tone. It’s likely going to happen in this one as well, and with this line, the under is not a bad option to consider. Navarro not having the strongest serve certainly adds to the likelihood of this hitting. Sabalenka has been crushing the ball and will likely continue that.
While this may seem like the same bet over and over again, betting on a range of markets will offer a more conservative approach to what feels like a one-sided match.
Bren is our resident Kiwi, and has been playing or watching sports down under in New Zealand for the better part of three decades. With 12+ years experience as a professional writer, Bren loves to dive deep into all things sport to bring the best betting analysis and predictions here at Mr Fixits Tips.
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