THE goal gods were smiling yesterday as my 1-1 NAP and 7-2 treble cruised in.
Plenty games to look at today and no surprise I will be focusing on the French and Dutch games.
Ajaccio v Nancy (7pm)
This is a really intriguing match and one in which I can't quite get my head around why the bookies have priced this up as they have (over 2.5 goals 7-5). Ajaccio are looking to make it 5 wins on the spin and at home they have been tremendous.
They’ve won 13 of their last 17 at home and scored two or more in 7 of their last 8. They have an outside chance of automatic promotion but need to keep clear of the chasing pack for that last play-off place.
Nancy are also involved in a fight, however theirs is to ensure they are playing in this league next season. They currently occupy the relegation play-off place and need points today.
Given Ajaccio’s promotion needs and impressive home form plus Nancy’s fight to stay up, this should be an open game – the bookies don’t often get it wrong but I feel they have here and we should see goals. Taking a bit of security though by going with the Asian handicap.
- Back over 2 goals Asian Handicap
- (4-5, bet365) (NAP) *stake back if exactly 2 goals*
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I said last week the French league tends to come alive as we hit the business end of the season, games are more open and we see more goals. That was the case last week with it seeing the most goals so far this season – posted it last week and taking it again tonight.
Skybet special
- 21+ goals to be scored in French Ligue Two
- (4-5, Skybet)
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The Dutch league has gone goals daft in recent weeks (more so than normal).
Dutch Goals Treble (7pm)
- Almere v PSV II
- Oss v De Graafschap
- Telstar v Utrecht II
- Over 2.5 goals treble
- (6-4, bet365)
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Heracles v AZ (7pm)
This game looks banker of the night over 2.5 goals, sadly the bookies know this hence why it's 4-11. The hosts have seen over 2.5 goals in 23 of their last 26 home games. AZ have seen over 2.5 in 9 of their last 10 games and absolutely love playing Heracles having won the last 9 meetings and lost only 4 of their last 29 games against them.
The last 8 meetings have ended 5-1 1-2 5-1 3-6 3-1 3-1 3-1 4-0 all to AZ.
Taking there to be more of the same tonight.
- Back over 3.5 goals
- (39-40, Unibet)
I'm a St Johnstone diehard and football tipster from Perth, now living in Glasgow. I've been writing football previews and tips for Mr Fixit since 2015, with in-depth knowledge of Scottish football and betting markets, particularly goals and corners markets. You’ll often find me conversing on Twitter @GregBrowning84.
