football spread betting tips

It's the final international break of the season and the main focus of this one is the UEFA Nations League with the top teams involved seeking a place in the semi-finals and final in the summer and the other teams in action all playing for promotion or to avoid relegation from their respective leagues.

The first legs of all Nations League matches took place on Thursday night and they will all reach their conclusion on Sunday. Ahead of what will be a hectic final day of action, check out our spread betting tips below.

Football spread betting tips this weekend: Our picks

Match
Market
Sell
Buy

Scotland vs Greece

Winning margin

0

✅0.2

France vs Croatia

Total goals

2.8

✅3

Portugal vs Denmark

Total Portugal goals

1.8

✅2

Germany vs Italy

Scrabbled shirts

58

✅62

Spain vs Netherlands

Shirt numbers

✅30

33

Winning margin: Scotland to finish the job

On Sunday night, it's Scotland vs Greece in the second leg of their Nations League playoff with a place in League A in the next edition of the tournament on the line.

The first leg finished with a 1-0 win for Scotland on Greek soil and we are backing them not only to get the job done but to record another win. Steve Clarke's side are typically a much better team on home soil which bodes well ahead of Sunday night. They have lost just one of their last five matches at Hampden Park and beat Croatia in their most recent home match.

Greece's record away from home isn't terrible, in fairness, and they did beat England at Wembley less than six months ago. However, prior to this Nations League campaign, they had lost four of their five last away matches.

Total goals: France need an open game

France will need to overturn a 2-0 deficit when they welcome Croatia to Paris after a dismal display in the first leg in Croatia and that game state should guarantee that this match is an open one. Croatia will unquestionably come to defend and with the attacking talent that Didier Deschamps has at his disposal, goals could flow.

Prior to their 2-0 defeat to Croatia on Thursday, three of France's four previous matches had produced more than two goals and that would be enough to secure profits at the buy price of 3 on total goals.

Total Portugal goals: Another Ruud awakening on the horizon

One of the most fascinating fixtures on Sunday is Portugal vs Denmark in the second leg of their UEFA Nations League quarter-final. Denmark came out on top 1-0 in the first leg which means Portugal will need to score at least twice on Sunday if they are to come through the match and make it through to the semi-finals.

Luckily for Portuguese supporters, Roberto Martinez's side are usually a far better team on home soil so getting the goals to qualify is still well within their reach. Portugal have scored a total of nine goals across their last three home matches at an average of three goals per game.

Not only should playing to that average see them qualify on Sunday night, but it would also result in an easy win on the buy price of two on total Portugal goals.

Scrabbled shirts: High-scorers in attacking areas in Dortmund

Germany and Italy will play the second leg of their Nations League quarter-final on Sunday night and the buy price of 62 on scrabbled shirts is too good to turn down. There are potential goalscorers with high-scoring names on both sides of the pitch which makes this a potential huge winner.

On Thursday night, the three goals scored were worth a total of 60 points and while that wouldn't result in a win on the buy price if repeated on Sunday, this felt like an underperformance given the names on each teamsheet.

Notable potential goalscorers for Germany include Jonathan Burkadt (32 points per goal) and Jamal Musiala (23 points per goal). Notable potential goalscorers for Italy include Giacomo Raspadori (24 points per goal) and Mattia Zaccagni (30 points per goal).

Shirt numbers: An international break banker

Backing the sell price on shirt numbers on any fixture during the international break is a no-brainer given the fact that international shirt numbers work like they used to decades ago where the starting XI line up in numbers 1-11.

What this means is three goals at a minimum need to be scored for this buy price of 33 for Spain vs Netherlands to be met and that's only if three number 11's score all three. Therefore, you're looking more at a situation where four or five goals need to go in and even then all the goalscorers need to be forwards.

Andy is tipster who has been calling Golf tournaments for several years across many different platforms. He has covered all tournaments from the Asian Tour to the Masters. He's also a keen football fan and is an expert on European football.

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