With two months of the Premier League season to go, we are in danger of the season merely petering out with the title race a foregone conclusion and the battle to beat the drop verging on one.
The only thing that appears to still be in the balance is qualification for European football and matches involving teams in that race are the primary focus of our spread betting tips this week.
The standout fixture in this regard is Nottingham Forest vs Man City with the two clubs currently occupying third and fourth position respectively. Can Forest continue their fairytale campaign or will the champions leapfrog them this weekend?
That match and four others make up this week's spread betting tips. Check them all out below.
Football spread betting tips this weekend: Our picks
Nottingham Forest vs Man City |
Winning margin |
✅ 0.5 |
0.7 |
Brentford vs Aston Villa |
Total goals |
3.25 |
✅ 3.45 |
Man Utd vs Arsenal |
Shirt numbers |
49 |
✅ 53 |
Tottenham vs Bournemouth |
Scrabbled shirts |
✅ 74 |
79 |
West Ham vs Newcastle |
Bookings |
38 |
✅ 42 |
Winning margin: Count out Forest at your peril
The clash between Nottingham Forest and Manchester City is a huge one in the race for the top four and the bookies are understandably leaning towards the visitors. Man City are Champions League veterans at this point and it seems unthinkable that they'll miss out but Forest just aren't going away.
For profit in this market, we just need Forest not to lose the match which doesn't seem like a huge ask when you consider both clubs' recent form. Nuno Espirito Santo's men have lost just two home league matches all season while Man City have won just three of their last ten Premier League away matches.
In fact, City's last away win against a team in the top half of the Premier League was against Chelsea on the opening day of the season.
Total goals: Bees and Villains to go toe-to-toe
One of the most exciting matches for the neutral this weekend should be Brentford vs Aston Villa. Both of these sides are blessed with exciting and fast forwards which naturally means the game could become stretched throughout.
Brentford have scored more home goals than any other team in the Premier League this season while they have also conceded the fifth-highest number of home goals. In other words, matches at the Gtech Community Stadium consistently produce goals at both ends of the pitch.
That will suit Aston Villa who are frequently involved in high-scoring matches away from Villa Park. Three of their last five matches on the road in all competitions have produced four goals or more. The same again here = profit.
Shirt numbers: Youth numbers to come up trumps at Old Trafford
It's Man Utd vs Arsenal on Sunday and while the match doesn't look like one that will produce a bag full of goals, we might not need them to in order to record a win on the shirt numbers buy price of 53. There are a few young players expected to play at Old Trafford this weekend, all of whom have high squad numbers.
Arsenal's Ethan Nwaneri is the main reason we are backing this market as he wears the number 53 shirt, meaning any goal for him on Sunday results in an instant win. The 17-year-old is a brilliant finisher and he has scored three goals in his last six appearances so another one on Sunday is on the cards.
For Man Utd, Chido Obi could be in line for his first start for the club. The former Arsenal academy player impressed off the bench against Fulham last weekend and he wears the number 56 on his back. Obi scored 32 goals in 18 appearances for Arsenal u18s last season.
Scrabbled shirts: Potential high-scorers are missing at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
On Sunday, it's Tottenham vs Bournemouth in a match that on paper, looks like one that could produce plenty of goals. While that may end up happening, the buy price of 79 on scrabbled shirts is just too high when you consider who is missing.
Tottenham's ace in the pack when it comes to this mark is Dejan Kulusevski whose goals are worth 34 points but the winger is missing through injury on Sunday. Another high-scoring forward for Tottenham is Dominic Solanke (23 points per goal) but he is also expected to miss out.
As far as Bournemouth are concerned, their two most likely goalscorers this weekend are Evanilson (12 points per goal) and Justin Kluivert (28 points per goal). A brace or more for the Dutchman would be a concern but that feels like the only way we lose out here and we'll take that.
Bookings: A timid affair at the London Stadium
On Monday night, it's West Ham vs Newcastle in a match that could be quite a forgettable one if truth be told. The hosts are in that unfortunate position of having absolutely nothing to play for from here on out while Newcastle will have more than one eye on the Carabao Cup final next weekend.
Nobody in black and white stripes is going to want to join Anthony Gordon on the suspension list for the final so Newcastle will be on their best behaviour on the night. West Ham are typically well-behaved too, averaging just 25 booking points per game.