Sky Super 6 challenge

We already see a number of bookmakers offering punters some great prizes for correctly guessing six scores in upcoming Premier League games.

With that in mind, we have decided to take up the Super 6 Challenge.

Here are this week's selections.

Our Super 6 Challenge predictions

Bournemouth vs Liverpool

Bournemouth have been one of the surprise packages of the season, impressing with their recent performances. They secured an away win at Newcastle before dismantling a defensively solid Nottingham Forest at home in their last outing. The Cherries have already beaten Arsenal, Manchester City, Forest, and Everton at the Vitality Stadium this season, with their only home defeats coming against Chelsea and Brighton.

Over the last four matches, they rank fourth for xPTS and XG ratio, while across the season, they sit 6th for home xPTS. However, they now face arguably the best team in Europe right now—Liverpool.

Liverpool’s season has been nothing short of outstanding. Across all competitions, they hold an incredible W27-D5-L3 record, with their defeats coming in a Champions League dead rubber against PSV, a narrow 1-0 League Cup semi-final first-leg loss to Tottenham, and a shock 1-0 home defeat to Nottingham Forest back in September.

The Reds top the league in expected points and rank second for non-penalty xG ratio, further underlining their dominance. Over the last eight matches, they continue to lead in expected points, highlighting their consistency.

While Bournemouth have shown great attacking form and are more than capable of scoring, Liverpool should have the quality to edge this in a hard-fought away victory. Expect a competitive game, but the Reds’ superior firepower should be the difference.

  • Score 1-2 at 8.0 with Skybet

Newcastle vs Fulham

Newcastle have been solid at home this season, with a W6-D2-L3 record at St. James’ Park. Their only defeats have come against Bournemouth, Brighton, and West Ham, and they currently sit fifth in the Premier League. However, based on underlying metrics, I have them eighth in xPTS across the season, and over the last four matches, they rank just 11th in both xPTS x) ratio.

At home, Newcastle have delivered strong performances against top sides, holding Liverpool to a 3-3 draw, beating Arsenal, and drawing with Manchester City. However, they now face a Fulham team that has been one of the league’s most underrated sides this season.

Fulham rank third for xPTS over the season and fourth in xPTS over the last eight matches. Over their last eight games, they have averaged 1.68 xG per match while conceding just 0.92, showing both attacking and defensive strength. Given their form, they should cause Newcastle problems, and both teams to score looks like a strong bet.

That said, with Alexander Isak in excellent form, Newcastle should have enough firepower to secure a narrow home victory in what promises to be an exciting game.

  • Score 2-1 at 7.50 with Skybet

Everton vs Leicester

Everton have managed to pull away from the relegation zone since David Moyes’ return, securing crucial wins over Tottenham and Brighton. However, they face this match with key injuries that could severely limit their attacking threat. Dwight McNeil and Armando Broja remain sidelined, while Dominic Calvert-Lewin is also likely to miss out, meaning Beto is expected to lead the line. Given Everton’s reliance on Calvert-Lewin as their main attacking outlet, his absence could be a major setback.

Everton have struggled for goals this season, managing just 12 at home, with three of those coming in their recent 3-2 win over Spurs at Goodison Park.

Leicester, meanwhile, will be boosted by their victory over Tottenham, which ended a seven-game losing streak in the Premier League. However, they haven’t been much better than Everton in recent weeks—over the last eight matches, these two sides rank 17th and 18th in xPTS, showing their struggles in performance levels.

One positive for Leicester is their record against bottom-half sides. Against team’s 14th and below, they have lost just once, posting a W3-D3-L1 record, proving they can grind out results in crucial games.

With Everton lacking attacking firepower and Moyes likely content with a cautious approach, this match could be a low-scoring affair, with Leicester capable of securing at least a point. A draw or a narrow Leicester win in a tight contest seems the most likely outcome.

  • Score 1-1 at 7.00 with Skybet

Wolves vs Aston Villa

Aston Villa have struggled to pick up results following midweek European fixtures, failing to win any of their games after a Champions League outing this season. However, they make the short trip to Molineux this weekend to face a Wolves side fighting to maintain their Premier League status.

Wolves are in poor form, having lost their last four league matches, scoring just once while conceding 10 goals in that stretch. A managerial change initially brought an uplift, with back-to-back wins and a draw at Tottenham, but since then, it’s been more of the same struggles. Defensively, they have been leaky, conceding an average of 2.26 goals per game, and no team has conceded more goals from set pieces this season.

Despite their defensive issues, Wolves have scored in most of their home matches, making them dangerous in attack, but their fragile defence leaves them vulnerable against a Villa side that, despite European fatigue, has the quality to exploit these weaknesses.

Statistically, there isn’t much separating these two teams in recent performances. Over the last eight matches, Villa sit 14th for xPTS, while Wolves are 16th. Wolves have a slightly better non-penalty xGA record, conceding 1.54 per game compared to Villa’s 1.71.

This game should feature goals, but given Wolves’ defensive issues and Villa’s superior quality, Villa are likely to come out on top despite any post-European fatigue.

  • Score 1-2 at 8.00 with Skybet

Brentford vs Tottenham

Brentford look like a strong bet to get a result against a struggling Tottenham side that has been one of the worst-performing teams in the league over the last four matches. During this period, Spurs rank 18th  for xPTS—only Ipswich and Southampton sit below them. Their non-penalty xG numbers are just as poor, ranking 18th while conceding an average of 2.05 non-penalty xGA per game in this stretch.

In contrast, Brentford have been far more solid. Over the last four matches, they sit 6th for xPTS and 8th in non-penalty xG, averaging 1.69 xG per game while conceding 1.75 npxGA.

Goals should be expected in this fixture, as Brentford’s home matches have averaged 4.33 goals per game. The Bees have failed to keep a single clean sheet in 12 home games, yet they have scored two or more goals in eight of those matches. Only Liverpool and Nottingham Forest have managed to stop them from scoring at home.

Meanwhile, Spurs’ form has been dreadful, with just one win in their last 11 matches, which came against bottom-placed Southampton. With injuries still plaguing the squad, this could be another tough watch for Tottenham fans, as Brentford look well-positioned to capitalize on their struggles.

  • Score 3-2 at 13.0 with Skybet

Arsenal vs Man City

The stakes could not be higher as Arsenal host Manchester City, with neither side able to afford a defeat in the Premier League title race. City have been inconsistent, appearing to have turned a corner with wins over Leicester, West Ham, and Ipswich, only to produce a poor display against PSG in the Champions League. They were strong against Chelsea but rode their luck in Europe against Club Brugge, highlighting their defensive vulnerabilities.

For Arsenal, this is a game of huge significance. By the time they kick off, Liverpool could be nine points ahead if they beat Bournemouth on Saturday, and with Liverpool still having a game in hand, the Gunners cannot afford to lose if they want to keep their title hopes alive.

Defensively, City remain shaky, and Arsenal should be able to exploit their weaknesses in transition. Pep Guardiola’s side has been one of the worst teams without the ball in the Premier League, which could play into Arsenal’s hands. Over the last eight matches, Arsenal rank second in xPTS, while City are down in ninth, further reflecting their recent inconsistencies.

City were fortunate to escape against Chelsea, as Cole Palmer missed a golden chance to put them 2-0 up, which could have put the game to bed. Instead, Chelsea paid the price, ultimately losing 3-1. Arsenal may not be so forgiving if presented with similar opportunities.

Expect a tight, low-scoring match, but with Arsenal’s superior defensive organization and City’s ongoing issues, the Gunners could have just enough to edge this crucial battle.

  • Score 2-1 at 8.00 with Skybet

The total odds for all six games are a massive 349,440 with Skybet, which may be worth a £1 stake for some fun, I am keen to back Brentford to win 3-2 and Everton to draw with Leicester. Combining these two games gives you odds of 91.0 with Skybet.

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