Sky Super 6 challenge

We already see a number of bookmakers offering punters some great prizes for correctly guessing six scores in upcoming Premier League games.

With that in mind, we have decided to take up the Super 6 Challenge.

Here are this week's selections.

Our Super 6 Challenge predictions

Everton vs Ipswich

Everton and David Moyes have a record of W5-D6-L4 from their 15 matches together, averaging 2.33 goals per game. However, they have managed just three clean sheets in that span—one of which came in a 4-0 win over Leicester. Both teams have scored in eight of those 15 matches, and at Goodison Park, Everton have kept just one clean sheet in eight games under Moyes.

Home matches at Goodison during Moyes’ current stint have averaged 3.0 goals per game, and the upcoming fixture should have a party-like atmosphere given it’s the penultimate game at Goodison Park.

Ipswich's away form stands at W3-D5-L9, scoring in five of those matches while keeping just one clean sheet. Notably, 65% of their away games have gone over 2.5 goals. Against bottom-half sides on the road, Ipswich have scored in seven of eight games, suggesting they are likely to find the net again here—making both teams to score a strong possibility.

Everton have won just twice at home under Moyes, while Ipswich’s record away to teams placed seventh or lower is W3-D4-L4. They will not be pushovers.

  • Score 1-1 at 8.00 with Skybet

Leicester City vs Southampton

The Premier League’s bottom two sides face off, with both enduring dreadful seasons. Southampton have won just twice all campaign, collecting only 11 points. They need just one more point to match the worst points total in Premier League history.

Leicester, meanwhile, are in freefall under Ruud van Nistelrooy, having lost 17 of their 21 matches under his leadership. They have avoided defeat only twice in their last 19 games and have scored just two goals in their last 11 outings—both coming in a 2-2 draw at Brighton.

Southampton are currently without a manager after sacking theirs upon relegation. Their last 20 Premier League games read W2-D3-L15, conceding an average of 2.25 goals per match.

Given the form of both sides and the circumstances, a draw might suit both as they limp toward the end of a disastrous season.

  • Score 1-1 at 6.50 with Skybet

Arsenal vs Bournemouth

Arsenal face a massive midweek clash as they travel to Paris for the second leg of their Champions League semi-final against PSG. Given the stakes, some squad rotation in this league fixture would not be a surprise.

At home, Arsenal have been solid with a record of W10-D6-L1, conceding just 0.88 goals per game. They have kept six clean sheets and have only failed to score twice at the Emirates all season.

Bournemouth have been competitive on the road, with a record of W6-D7-L4. An impressive 77% of their away games have featured over 2.5 goals, and they have only failed to score in three of those matches. Against top-eight opposition away from home, they have recorded W1-D4-L1 and have scored in all but one road match against top-half sides.

A Bournemouth goal at the Emirates would not be a surprise, making both teams to score a strong angle. With Arsenal likely to rest key players and little left to play for in the league—Liverpool having secured the title and a top-five finish already assured—a draw could suit both sides.

  • Score 1-1 at 6.50 with Skybet

Brentford vs Man Utd

Brentford still have an outside shot at European qualification, depending on how domestic and European cup competitions conclude. At home, they hold a record of W8-D4-L5, but have kept just one clean sheet all season. They have failed to score in five home matches—four of those coming against teams currently in the top seven.

Against sides placed ninth or lower, Brentford have been strong at home with a record of W7-D2-L1. Over their last 12 matches, they rank third in the league for xPTS and have averaged 1.53 non-penalty xG. In their past two games, they have beaten Brighton and Nottingham Forest, while also earning draws against both Arsenal and Chelsea.

Manchester United may have looked impressive midweek, but their Premier League form under Ruben Amorim has been underwhelming – W6-D6-L11—averaging 1.52 goals per game. Away from home, they have won just three times, with victories over Leicester, Fulham, and Manchester City (in a lackluster derby). They have managed only two clean sheets on the road, conceding an average of 1.42 goals per game.

Over their last eight matches, United have posted 1.34 non-penalty xG while conceding 1.24 non-penalty xGA. Given those metrics, and with United likely to be focused on their Europa League semi-final second leg in midweek, Brentford look well positioned to take advantage.

Both teams should get on the scoresheet in what could be another high-energy encounter.

  • Score 2-1 at 7.50 with Skybet

Brighton vs Newcastle

Brighton vs Newcastle looks set to deliver goals. Brighton’s matches this season have averaged 3.15 goals, and that figure has risen to 3.6 since the turn of the year. Defensively, they have struggled—conceding 27 goals in their last 15 games, with only the bottom three and Tottenham allowing more in that span.

However, going forward, they remain a major threat. Since January, only Manchester City, Liverpool, and Newcastle have scored more goals than Brighton—and no team has outscored Newcastle in that time.

At home, Brighton have kept just three clean sheets and failed to score in only four matches. Newcastle, still pushing for a Champions League place, have failed to score in just three of their away games this season, while keeping five clean sheets—three of which came against the current bottom four.

Their away record against top-half sides is W1-D1-L5, and they have yet to keep a clean sheet in those matches, conceding two or more goals in five of the seven.

Underlying numbers back the case for goals: over the last eight games, Newcastle have averaged 1.52 non-penalty xG while conceding 1.33. Brighton, over the same stretch, have posted 1.62 non-penalty xG.

All signs point to both teams scoring in a high-scoring encounter.

  • Score 1-2 at 8.50 with Skybet

Chelsea vs Liverpool

Liverpool secured the Premier League title last week, and after a week of celebrations, it would not be surprising to see them ease off slightly in their remaining fixtures.

Chelsea have been strong at home this season, with a record of W10-D5-L2 – one of those defeats coming on the opening day against Manchester City. They have kept clean sheets in four of their last five home games and, over the last eight matches, rank seventh for xPTS and eighth for non-penalty xG ratio.

Motivation will be higher on Chelsea’s side, as they are still chasing Champions League qualification. They currently sit fifth, level on points with sixth-placed Nottingham Forest, and just three points ahead of Aston Villa in seventh.

Liverpool have lost just once on the road all season and have conceded only 19 goals in their away matches. Given the context, Chelsea may be content with a point here to maintain momentum in the race for the top four.

  • Score 1-1 at 7.50 with Skybet

The total odds for all six games are a massive 161,606 with Skybet, which may be worth a £1 stake for some fun, I am keen to back Newcastle and Brentford both to win 2-1. Combining these two games combined gives you odds of 64.0 with Skybet.

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