Shots on target betting accumulator

In football betting, a “shot on target” typically refers to any shot directed towards the goal that would have gone in had it not been saved by the goalkeeper or blocked by the last defender.

This betting market involves predicting the total number of shots on target during a match by a team or individual player, often including shots that were saved or blocked but were otherwise on target.

Our shots on target betting picks

Our shots column continues to deliver outstanding results, finishing December with a profit of 13.56 units, equating to an impressive 43% ROI. While January has got off to a slower start, there was a near miss with Van Dijk, who managed a header on target in his last game and came close to scoring, which would have secured a 13.0 winner. Hopefully, the upcoming mid-month action will bring some winning opportunities and get us back on track!

Arsenal vs Tottenham

Arsenal have scored 10 goals from set pieces this season, generating an impressive 10.90 xG from dead-ball situations. They rank first in both set-piece xG and goals scored. Only five teams have managed more shots from set pieces, making this a crucial area of strength for them. In a tight local derby where creating clear-cut chances could be difficult, set pieces might prove decisive.

On the other hand, Spurs have struggled defensively in this department. Only four teams have conceded more goals from set pieces, and they have the fourth-highest xGA from such situations. Defensive injuries have compounded their problems, with Cristian Romero, Micky van de Ven, Rodrigo Bentancur, and Ben Davies all sidelined, leaving them short of players capable of defending or attacking set pieces effectively.

Gabriel has been particularly dangerous in this area, recording 17 shots this season, 14 of which have been headers. Of these, he has managed five on target and scored three times. Against a depleted Spurs backline, he could be a significant threat and cause them plenty of issues.

  • Best Bet: Gabriel 1+ header on target at 3.5 with Skybet

Leicester City vs Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace have been highly effective from set pieces this season, registering a league-high 89 shots from dead-ball situations across 20 games. Only six teams have a higher xG from these opportunities, highlighting their strength in this area.

Leicester, meanwhile, have struggled defensively from set pieces. Only four sides have conceded more goals in these situations, and they rank second highest for xGA from set pieces. They have allowed 100 shots from set pieces and are currently on a five-game losing streak in the Premier League, which will likely impact their confidence.

Palace should be well-positioned to exploit Leicester’s vulnerabilities. Maxence Lacroix has been a key threat from set pieces this season, registering 14 attempts at goal in 17 games. Of those, 11 have been headers, emphasizing his aerial prowess. With Leicester’s defensive frailties, Palace could create plenty of opportunities from set plays.

Mark Guehi is another key threat for Palace in these situations. The centre-half has recorded six headed attempts at goal this season, making both him and Lacroix constant dangers for the Foxes.

Additionally, wing-back Daniel Munoz deserves mention for his strong attacking contributions this season. He has attempted 21 shots, with eight on target, and has managed at least one shot on target in six of his last nine matches. Munoz’s ability to contribute offensively makes him a player worth backing in this game.

  • Best Bet: Maxence Lacroix 1+ header on target at 6.0 with Skybet
  • Best Bet: Mark Guehi 1+ header on target at 7.0 with Skybet
  • Best Bet: Daniel Munoz 1+ shot on target at 2.38 with Skybet

 Manchester Utd vs Southampton

Southampton have been the weakest team in the Premier League when it comes to defending set pieces, conceding the most shots and the highest xGA from these situations. No team has allowed more set-piece goals than Leicester, who are effectively relegated and now just aiming to avoid the league’s lowest points record. In their last Premier League game, they suffered a humiliating 5-0 defeat to Brentford, a team that had not won an away match all season until then.

On the other hand, Manchester United have shown signs of improvement recently. Their set pieces have returned five goals, 68 shots, and an xG of 5.22 so far this term. Harry Maguire’s return to form has been a boost, and under Ruben Amorim, there are finally signs of progress. Against Southampton, United should dominate possession as the Saints are likely to sit deep to avoid another heavy defeat.

Southampton’s season-long struggles in defending set pieces could provide United with several opportunities from dead-ball situations. While it is unclear which three central defenders will start for United, Harry Maguire and Matthijs de Ligt (if he starts) look like strong options to back for a header on target.

Maguire, a consistent threat from set pieces, has had a shot at goal in each of his last three Premier League games, though only one was on target. De Ligt is similarly dangerous in the air, having started 15 matches this season and recorded 10 shots, six of which were on target. Both players are well worth considering as key aerial threats in this matchup.

  • Best Bet: Harry Maguire 1+ headed shot on target at 3.75 with Skybet
  • Best Bet: Matthijs de Ligt to score a header at 3.0 with Skybet

Combining Harry Maguire and Gabriel to have a header on target will give you odds of 13.13 with Skybet.

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