In football betting, a “shot on target” typically refers to any shot directed towards the goal that would have gone in had it not been saved by the goalkeeper or blocked by the last defender.
This betting market involves predicting the total number of shots on target during a match by a team or individual player, often including shots that were saved or blocked but were otherwise on target.
With the domestic leagues now over we have turned our attention to International football.
Our shots on target betting picks
Andorra vs England
Trent Alexander-Arnold is expected to play a pivotal role against Andorra, with the tactical setup heavily favouring his strengths. With England set to dominate possession and Andorra defending deep in a compact 5-4-1, Trent will have the freedom to push high up the pitch and operate more as a playmaker than a traditional right-back. He will benefit from minimal pressing and ample time on the ball, allowing him to dictate play from advanced areas and frequently combine with Saka or Gordon.
His ability to drift into central pockets or overlap on the right will create multiple crossing and shooting opportunities. Additionally, he is likely to be on set-piece duty, offering further chances to threaten goal. This season, across all competitions for both club and country, Trent has played 49 games and registered 61 shots—evidence of his attacking intent and consistent involvement in final-third play. Given the space, time, and attacking license he will have, as well as England’s likely recycling of possession around Andorra’s box, Trent should comfortably register at least two shots—either from open play or dead-ball situations.
Remarkably, Unibet are offering odds of 2.9 for this bet, while Bet365 are as low as 1.53, highlighting significant value in the Unibet price for a player who is expected to see a lot of the ball and play an advanced role.
- Best Bet: Trent Alexander-Arnold over 1.5 shots at 2.9 with Unibet
Finland vs Netherlands
Tijjani Reijnders has been a consistent performer for AC Milan during the 2024–25 Serie A season, registering 10 goals and four assists across 37 appearances. He attempted 77 shots, with 28 on target, resulting in a solid shooting accuracy of approximately 36%.
For the Netherlands, Reijnders has earned 22 caps and scored four goals. In the UEFA Nations League specifically, he has featured in seven matches, recording 19 shots with nine on target. Impressively, in every game where he played more than 45 minutes, he registered at least one shot on target.
Finland, meanwhile, have shown defensive vulnerability early in the qualifying campaign. They conceded two goals and allowed 11 shots (six on target) against Lithuania, and while they beat Malta, they still allowed 19 shots, six on target, with a xGA of 1.85. Overall, Finland have kept just two clean sheets in their last 17 matches across all competitions and friendlies, conceding an average of 1.96 goals per game and 5.74 shots on target.
Given Reijnders’ consistent ability to test the goalkeeper when playing 45+ minutes and Finland’s ongoing defensive frailties, he looks a strong candidate to register a shot on target in this match — provided he starts or features significantly.
- Best Bet: Tijjani Reijnders over 0.5 shots on target at 1.91 with Ladbrokes
Spain vs Portugal
Portugal face Spain in the UEFA Nations League final on Sunday, and Cristiano Ronaldo looks well-positioned to deliver another big performance—particularly in terms of shots on target. The veteran forward has played eight Nations League matches this campaign, registering 37 shots and 14 on target, with at least three shots in seven of those eight games and 2+ shots on target in four.
He remains Portugal’s focal point in attack, and crucially, he is also on penalties and direct free-kicks—adding valuable high-quality shot opportunities. In the semi-final win over Germany, Ronaldo had seven shots (two on target) and scored the winner. Spain, meanwhile, edged out France in a chaotic 5-4 semi-final, but showed major defensive vulnerabilities—conceding 24 shots, nine on target, and 17 from inside the box, with an xGA of 2.74. If they allow the same volume and space to Portugal, especially to someone as clinical as Ronaldo, he will almost certainly take advantage. Backing him for over 1.5 shots on target looks like a strong and well-supported angle.
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- Best Bet: Ronaldo over 1.5 shots on target at 2.9 with William Hill
Backing Trent Alexander Arnold to have two or more shots, Ronaldo to have over 1.5 shots on target and Tijjani Reijnders to register at least one effort on target a shot can be backed at 12.07 with Unibet.
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