In football betting, a “shot on target” typically refers to any shot directed towards the goal that would have gone in had it not been saved by the goalkeeper or blocked by the last defender.
This betting market involves predicting the total number of shots on target during a match by a team or individual player, often including shots that were saved or blocked but were otherwise on target.
Our shots on target betting picks
Botafogo RJ vs Palmeiras
Botafogo have conceded a total of 62 shots across their last three matches, including 23, 16, and 23 respectively. That’s an average of just over 20 per game, pointing to a defence that is struggling to limit pressure or control the final third.
That should suit Joaquin Piquerez, who continues to offer attacking threat from left-back. He has made 10 league starts this season, recording 13 shots, three on target, and scoring twice. He has had at least one shot in nine of his 11 league appearances, showing a consistent willingness to get forward. In the FIFA Club World Cup, he has taken four shots across three matches, again managing at least one effort in each. With Botafogo allowing high shot volume, this looks like another game where Piquerez could easily get into shooting positions.
- Best Bet: Joaquin Piquerez over 1.5 shots at 2.1 with Bet365
Benfica vs Chelsea
Liam Delap moved to Chelsea from Ipswich immediately after the season ended and has quickly found himself playing a key role. Initially named on the bench in their Club Championship opener, where he featured for just 27 minutes, his involvement increased significantly after Nicolas Jackson’s red card. Since then, Delap has started both of Chelsea’s last two matches, playing 63 and 58 minutes respectively.
Despite limited minutes, he has been fairly active in front of goal. He registered two shots in each of those starts, with one on target against Flamengo and two on target in the win over Tunis. He has also opened his account with a goal and looks to be Chelsea’s preferred central option for now.
Looking back at his time with Ipswich, Delap played 40 games and recorded 67 shots, 29 of which were on target. That’s an average of 1.68 shots per game and a shot-on-target rate of about 43%. His early Chelsea form has been broadly in line with that, averaging two shots per game and 0.75 shots on target per 45 minutes across his three appearances so far. With Jackson still suspended, Delap is likely to lead the line again and will have a decent chance of getting efforts away.
- Best Bet: Liam Delap over 1.5 shots on target at 3.25 with Bet365
Flamengo vs Bayern Munich
Leo Ortiz has featured 10 times in the domestic league this season, registering five shots, all of them headers highlighting his consistent threat from set pieces. Across all competitions in 2025, he has made 20 appearances and taken 10 shots, with the majority coming from his head.
He has played in two of the matches in the FIFA Club World Cup so far and registered a shot in each, showing that even at a higher level, he remains a danger when attacking dead-ball deliveries. With Flamengo facing a tough test against Bayern, where chances from open play may be limited, set pieces could play a key role. Ortiz is a regular target at corners and free kicks, and with his aerial presence well-established, he looks a good bet to register a shot.
Given the matchup, backing him for a header on target with a small stake also makes sense, it is a longer shot, but the upside is there, and the way this game could unfold should give him at least one opportunity to attack the ball in a dangerous area.
- Best Bet: Leo Ortiz over 0.5 shots at 2.3 with Paddy
- Best Bet: Leo Ortiz over 0.5 headers on target at 6.0 with Bet365
Backing Leo Ortiz to have an effort at goal, Liam Delap to have at least two shots on target and Joaquin Piquerez to register at least two shots at goal can be backed at 13.63 with Bet365.
GambleAware