Who is ready for some Rublev vs Rinderknech betting tips? The No. 6 seed enters this one as a huge favourite, but we’re going to show you why you shouldn’t be so sure that he will win as easily as the odds would have you believe.
Our Rublev vs Rinderkench prediction largely comes down to recent trends with both players. These show a decent margin for the Frenchman to possibly exploit in this rather interesting matchup.
Having a chance to make the third round is a major thing for Rinderknech, and you expect him to be quite motivated to win.
Contents
Player form: Rinderknech enjoying career year
Rinderknech has never played tennis better than he is doing this year. He’s up to 33 wins already this year across the ATP and Challenger events, which is on pace to become his winningest season.
Rublev, on the other hand, hasn’t enjoyed his best season so far, with lots of really shaky performances and rather bad losses. The Russian is a wild card in terms of level, but he’s been more vulnerable this year than last year.
How the bookies view it: Rublev the heavy favourite
To nobody's surprise, Rublev is a massive favourite here. It makes sense; he’s the better player and has beaten Rinderknech in both matches they played, one of which was at last year’s US Open. His win is priced at 3/10.
Rinderknech is a massive underdog, but that just makes him the value play. At 21/5, there is a tremendous amount of value for a play that doesn’t seem unlikely.
Recent head-to-head: Rublev leads 2-0
Rublev and Rinderknech have played two times so far, and both times, Rublev won. Both were close matches, including this year in Washington just a few weeks ago and last year at the US Open.
Rinderknech is having a career year, though, so if there was ever a time he would beat Rublev, it’s in this spot right now.
Anything else catch the eye?
The main arguments for this bet are the players’ style and the court. This year’s US Open seems to be playing rather slowly, possibly slower than last year. That won’t be that great for Rublev, who prefers faster conditions.
Rinderknech comes from clay, so he doesn’t even mind that much. Both matches he lost to Rublev were close ones, with tiebreaks in both, so he can keep close in the matchup. His recent form and the way Rublev struggles against Alexei Popyrin, a player of similar skills, implies this could be a bit complicated.
Rinderknech did spend five sets on the courts in the first round, which is a negative, but we think he can still get this done. He stunned Matteo Berrettini last year, so upsets in New York are not foreign to him.
Rinderknech vs Rublev betting tips & predictions
The play here is Rinderknech to win the match, which seems unlikely, but there is massive value there. He’s a profile that tends to give Rublev some problems, and he’s playing the best he’s ever played, so why not. Those who don’t quite have the stones for this bet can take the overs market in total games.
- Total games over 36.5 @ 4/5
- Rinderknech to beat Rublev @ 9/2
Bren is our resident Kiwi, and has been playing or watching sports down under in New Zealand for the better part of three decades. With 12+ years experience as a professional writer, Bren loves to dive deep into all things sport to bring the best betting analysis and predictions here at Mr Fixits Tips.
In December 2020 we sadly 
