There’s MLS action at Subaru Park this weekend as Philadelphia Union bid to extend a strong run of home results against New York Red Bulls.
Union are unbeaten in eight games at home and have only lost once in front of their own fans this season. That was against Nashville way back in March, but they’ve been scoring for fun since then, with at least two goals netted in each of their last six home fixtures.
They’ve a 10-point advantage on opponents New York Red Bulls heading into this match, and look sure to secure a play-off place. Victory here could see them move top of the Eastern Conference if other results go their way.
The Red Bulls have drawn their last three matches and have only lost one out of seven overall. However, their record is much bleaker when only their away results are taken into account, and they’ve won just one MLS match outside of New York in 2025. They failed to make a one-man advantage count last weekend, as they drew 1-1 away to San Jose who had DeJuan Jones sent off in the 64th minute.
How the bookies view it: Hosts favoured in Philly
Boylesports make Philadelphia Union the 3/4 favourites to win this game, and they look pretty good value for that given their excellent home form and superior head-to-head record. The draw is priced at 13/5, while you can back New York Red Bulls to end their away-day blues and record just a second road win of the campaign at 14/5.
Recent head-to-head: Union the dominant force
This fixture has tended to favour Philadelphia in recent years. They’ve not lost any of the last 10 meetings between the clubs and were 2-0 victors when the sides last met in September 2024 in New York. There is also a history of Red Bulls red cards in this fixture, with the visitors reduced to 10 men in three of the last five MLS meetings in Philadelphia.
Players to watch: Baribo on fire
The home team’s main goal threat is likely to come from Tai Baribo. The forward is having a sensational season with his 13 MLS goals coming at a rate of one every 89 minutes. He has scored twice in each of his last two home matches and will fancy his chances of getting back on the scoresheet here after a run of three successive road games where he has failed to net. You can back Baribo to score anytime at 31/20 with UniBet.
Predicted Lineups
The hosts are missing Ian Glavinovich to a knee injury, while they have doubts over Jesus Bueno, Mikael Uhre and Francis Westfield.
Raheem Edwards is suspended for NYRB after he received a red card on the touchline last time out. They are also missing Cameron Harper, Lewis Morgan and Roald Mitchell to injuries.
Philadelphia: Blake, Wagner, Glesnes, Makhanya, Harriel, Vassilev, Jacques, Lukic, Sullivan, Baribo, Damiani.
NY Red Bulls: Coronel, Eile, Hack, Nealis, Edelman, Stroud, Valencia, Sofo, Carmona, Forsberg, Choupo-Moting.
Anything else catch the eye?
While there is a dependence on Baribo in the final third, Philadelphia do have a number of other players who can chip in with goals, with seven other players having netted at least twice this term. They’ve scored three in four of their last six home games, and you can back over 2.5 home goals at 12/5 with Boylesports in this game.
GambleAware