After an eventful trip to Rotterdam, Bayern Munich must travel to Freiburg for better results. But the hosts have a worrying home record and the Bavarians should be careful.
Looking at Freiburg's recent games, their form seems shaky. Even more so, their margins are literally on both extremes. At home, they are crushing all opponents and scoring many goals, but away they are losing by huge results.
They've scored three goals in their last three home games and conceded 4+ goals in their last three away games. In this case, we are interested in the home games because Freiburg have only lost once since the start of the season, and that was to a team from the bottom of the table. Their results also include six wins and one draw, with a 17:11 goal difference as hosts.
Bayern Munich have been almost faultless in the Bundesliga, apart from the surprise loss to Mainz and the three draws. They are safe at the top of the table for now, but a loss or two and Bayer Leverkusen could displace them.
But we have to pay attention to Wednesday's Champions League loss. To lose was a perfectly possible scenario, but 3-0 was a complete shock to the whole footballing world. The Bavarians failed to score against Feyenoord, even though they took 30 shots, 12 of them on target. They finished the game with 2.70 xG and a spectacular loss.
How the bookies view it: No one believes in Freiburg
Regardless of the opponent, Bayern Munich are always favourites. As good as Freiburg's home form is, the Bavarians have a huge advantage with 7/20, while the hosts have as much as 13/2. On the other hand, if you think that the match will end in a draw, you can bet at 19/4.
Recent head-to-head: Exclusively one-sided
Over the last few years, Bayern Munich have dominated the rivalry between the two teams, winning seven of the last 10 meetings. Freiburg's last win came in April 2023, when the teams met in the cup competition. In the Bundesliga, their last win dates back nearly 10 years ago in May 2025.
Players to watch: Gnabry loves travelling to Freiburg
Bruno Ogbus is the only confirmed absentee for Freiburg, while Bayern Munich will be without Daniel Peretz, Joao Palhinha, Hiroki Ito, and Konrad Laimer.
Harry Kane is the obvious pick but we would rather direct your attention to Serge Gnabry. He rarely makes the starting line-up but appears in the second half and often makes an impact. He could be a real power-sub against Freiburg, as he had five goal contributions in the last four H2Hs.
Probable line-ups
Freiburg: Atubolu, Gunter, Ginter, Lienhart, Kubler, Eggestein, Osterhage, Grifo, Doan, Dinkci, Holer
Bayern Munich: Neuer, Stanisic, Upamecano, Kim, Guerreiro, Goretzka, Kimmich, Sane, Musiala, Olise, Kane
Anything else catch the eye?
If there's a team capable of ending Freiburg's impressive winning streak, it's Bayern Munich. The Bavarians rarely make any mistakes against this opponent, and right now they are not allowed to make any mistakes.
We expect them to be as efficient as possible in the final third and look for a big win. They need to make it up to their fans for their scandalous performance in the Champions League, after which qualifying directly for the ⅛ finals became almost impossible.
We are definitely expecting goals from both teams, with a pretty big score even possible. Nine of Freiburg's last 10 home games have ended with 3+ goals and the last three with even more.
This German Bundesliga match between Freiburg and Bayern Munich will be played on Jan 25, 2025 and kick off at 14:30. Check below for our tipsters best Freiburg vs Bayern Munich prediction. You may also visit our dedicated betting previews section for the most up to date previews.
