This Champions League qualifier between Dinamo Minsk and Ludogorets is balanced on a knife edge, with the Bulgarians holding just a 1-0 lead heading into the second leg.
I thought Ludogorets might be a bit rusty last week because it was their first competitive game of the season, while their Belarusian opponents were already up and running in their domestic campaign.
It took the Bulgarians until three minutes before full-time to finally break the deadlock, with two bets landing for me, and they now have a tricky return leg to negotiate.
Had this match been held in Minsk then Dinamo might have been favourites to progress to the next round but they are playing European games in neutral Hungary due to political issues.
Even with that disadvantage, the Belarusians will still be confident of turning this tie around and getting revenge for their exit at the hands of Ludogorets in last season's qualifiers.
Although Dinamo lost 2-1 on aggregate a year ago, they did win 1-0 in the ‘home' leg and a repeat of that performance could be enough to knock the Bulgarians out.
How the bookies view it: Ludogorets favourites again
Ludogorets were heavy favourites for the first leg and BoyleSports still have them at just 8/13 for a win in the return. Dinamo Minsk look overpriced at 16/5 and the draw pays 13/5.
Head to head: Will Minsk even it up?
These sides have now faced off three times in Europe and it's Ludogorets who just have the edge, with two wins to one. But Dinamo Minsk will be out to even up that score by repeating last year's win when they host the Bulgarians.
Players to watch: Basik can pose a few problems
Dusan Basik should lead the line again for Dinamo Minsk and the Montenegro international will be a threat. He's a handful at 6ft 3in and could be worth a punt if a scorer market is finally priced up.
I flagged up Erick Marcus for a Ludogorets goal last week but it was Czech midfielder Filip Kaloc who grabbed their goal. The Brazilian should still be the biggest threat in the second leg and will be a danger with his pace on the break.
Probable line-ups
Midfielder Aguibou Camara was forced off in the first leg last week after just 20 minutes so he's a doubt for Ludogorets. Otherwise, both sides should be along similar lines to the first leg.
Dinamo Minsk: Shpakovskiy, Pigas, Gavrilovich, Ibrahim, Begunov, Myakish, Malashevich, Bakhar, Kalinin, Bakic, Djimet.
Ludogorets: Padt, Nedyalkov, Almeida, Kurtulus, Son, Piotrowski, Nedelev, Kaloc, Tekpetey, Vidal, Marcus.
Anything else catch the eye?
I'm surprised to see Ludogorets as such heavy favourites, given they only just scraped a 1-0 win last week and lost in the away leg against Minsk last year. There could be some value in betting on Dinamo Minsk in the double chance at 23/20 while backing them in the one-goal ahead market, which pays out if they lead at any point, pays 6/4.
With only a one-goal deficit in the tie, this match could be cagey so the half-time draw looks worth a punt at 6/5 with BoyleSports. Backing most goals to come in the second half paid off last week and a repeat in the return pays evens.
GambleAware