Premier League relegation odds and prediction: Wolves price still a massive steal for punters

It was another winless weekend for Wolverhampton Wanderers but they're still just fourth in the betting for the Premier League relegation odds, despite sitting second from bottom.

Best Premier League relegation odds

Promoted trio

The bookies still think all three promoted sides will make a swift return to the Championship, with Southampton and Ipswich Town odds on for the drop.

Despite a win against Everton, Southampton currently sit at 1/3 for the drop, having accrued only four points from their opening ten fixtures.

Saints boss Russell Martin continues to stick by his guns and won't change his policy of playing out from back, which looks naive to say the least. Plenty of other Premier League bosses are under pressure too, but the Saints gaffer looks a decent shout to be next manager sacked in the top flight.

Ipswich's chances of avoiding the drop have also further slipped, with the Tractor Boys now priced at 1/2 to be relegated after a last-gasp equaliser from Jordan Ayew was enough to hand Leicester a share of the points and break Ipswich hearts.

Despite sitting five points above the relegation zone, Leicester are still third favourites to go down, with bookies pricing them at 5/6. A draw secured in the final moments again Ipswich has not helped their chances at avoiding relegation in the eyes of odds providers, as they still appear more likely than Wolves or Everton to return to the Championship.

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Wolves ended last season poorly, and that malaise has continued into a Premier League campaign that is now going into its final October weekend. Gary O'Neil's men have taken just three points from their first ten games.

A lead against Crystal Palace was cut back to 2-2, which resulted in Wolves extending their winless run to ten league games. Wolves are winless in the league since May of last season, which is worrying viewing for fans and the club's hierarchy alike. However, Wolves do have an easy run of fixtures on the horizon. Failure to capitalise on this opportunity could spell real danger for Gary O'Neil and his team, so Wolves are still priced at 6/4 to go down.

Everton

Everton's chances of dropping down a division were shortened over the weekend as they lost 1-0 to Southampton, which ceded a first win to Russell Martin's side. A late goal from Adam Armstrong proved the difference between the two sides and gave Saints a crucial victory over a team that will also be hoping to avoid a relegation scrap. Sean Dyche's team are priced at 5/2 to go down after the result as there appears a mere a four-point gap between them and a relegation spot. The Toffees will be looking to find some goalscoring form if they are to retain the space between themselves and their fellow relegation candidates.

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace did not see a change in their fortunes after last week's victory against Tottenham, instead playing out a 2-2 draw with fellow strugglers Wolves. A late Marc Guehi goal was able to claw back an equaliser for the visitors who risked being reduced to a one-point lead over their relegation rivals. Oliver Glasner's men have really failed to get going this season, and remain with only one win on the board after ten games played. At 11/2 the Eagles are looking better and better value for relegation as they continue to falter against other poor sides. With only a two-point gap between them and the drop zone, Palace fans and Glasner alike have a lot to worry about.

West Ham

West Ham’s relegation worries are also becoming increasingly real after they were trounced 3-0 by Nottingham Forest at the weekend. Julen Lopetegui has failed to establish a tactical identity so far, and West Ham fans have received much criticism concerning the team’s poor form.

The East London side stand at 14/1 to go down – roughly equal with a Forest side that has lost just once in the league so far. So they are still rank outsiders for the drop, given the fact that Ipswich and Wolves both remain winless with over a fifth of the season gone.

Premier League relegation betting trends

Exploring the relegation market isn’t just about backing certain teams for the drop. Recent history can provide useful information about more niche areas, such as who will finish bottom and in what order.

Here, we have the last 30 teams relegated, and the order in which they finished. An asterisk indicates teams promoted from the EFL Championship in the previous campaign.

As seen above, newly promoted teams are well-known for being vulnerable to relegation. So much so that it is considered quite a unique feat when there is a Premier League season that sees none of the newcomers immediately drop back into the second tier, though it last happened only in 2022/23.

In stark contrast, all three promoted sides sank straight back down again last term – though it was the first time since 1997/98 that such a phenomenon had occurred. Current odds imply that the same could easily happen again in 2024/25, though it has never happened in consecutive Premier League seasons.

On another interesting note, three of the last five seasons have also seen a newly-promoted side finish bottom of the table. Noting this trend might prove helpful in both the ‘to finish bottom’ and ‘bottom three exact order’ markets associated with relegation.

And for the benefit of anyone delving into points markets, it’s worth mentioning that no bottom-placed team has tallied more than 25 points in any of the previous six PL campaigns.

Who will be relegated? Here's our prediction

Southampton look doomed already and I had thought Leicester seemed more likely than Ipswich to join them in making an instant return to the second tier. But the Foxes are finding a way to get results and that makes me think the Tractor Boys now look a better shout for the drop.

I had fancied Everton to be the third side relegated but they're on the up while Wolves are in a tailspin, so the Molineux men look worth a punt. Meanwhile, there's also still an outside chance of a nuclear scenario unfolding, where Man City are relegated due to a hefty points deduction.

Premier League relegation FAQ

Who got relegated from the Premier League in 2023/24

Sheffield United finished bottom of the pile with Burnley just above them and Luton Town taking the final relegation place. The three promoted sides all failed to stay up for the first time since 1998.

Have Arsenal ever been relegated?

The Gunners haven't been relegated in the Premier League era but they did take the drop from the top flight in season 1912-13. It took them two seasons to get back and they haven't been relegated since.

Have Everton ever been relegated?

Everton are another team who haven't been relegated since the Premier League rebrand, although they have come mighty close in the last few seasons. They have been relegated just twice in their entire history, the most recent coming in 1951.

When were Manchester City relegated from the Premier League?

Manchester City have won the Premier League in six of the last seven seasons but there was a time when they were battling it out at the other end of the table. They have twice been relegated from the Premier League, in 1996 and 2001, and even fell as low as the third tier in 1998.

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