Ebbsfleet vs Rochdale
Rochdale are poised to score at least twice against Ebbsfleet this Saturday, backed by their strong offensive form and recent performances. This season they have gone W7-D2-L3, and I have them fourth on xPTS. Rochdale has been consistently finding the back of the net, averaging over two goals per game in their recent outings with no side scoring more than them this season.
Their attacking unit, led by Kairo Ellis Mitchell and Devante Rodney, has demonstrated excellent chemistry and precision, making them a constant threat in the final third.
Furthermore, Rochdale's proficiency in set pieces has proven effective, with several goals scored from corners and free kicks in recent matches. Ebbsfleet's defence, meanwhile, has shown vulnerabilities with a xGA of 18.39 the second highest the division and no side has conceded more goals this term.
Their inability to cope with sustained pressure further enhances Rochdale's chances of capitalising on defensive lapses.
Ebbsfleet have a record of W1-D2-L9 this season with a home record of W1-D1-L4 with 50% of their visitors scoring at least twice. No side has had fewer shots or shots on target and in their last two home games, they have had a total of just two shots on target.
Their only victory was over Hartlepool was a 1-0 with Ebbsfleet scoring with their only shot on target and generating a xG of 0.62
- Best Bet: Rochdale to score over 1.5 goals at 1.85 with Ladbrokes
Southend vs Maidenhead
The upcoming clash between Southend and Maidenhead is likely to produce at least three goals, given the offensive trends and statistics of both teams this season. Southend averages 1.28 goals per game with a total xG of 13.89, highlighting their ability to create scoring opportunities.
Remarkably, eight of their last nine matches have seen both teams score, and the average goals per game this season stands at 2.88, indicating a propensity for high-scoring encounters. Southend have managed to score in 11 of their 12 games, underlining their consistent offensive threat.
On the other hand, Maidenhead have an average of 1.06 goals per game and an xG of 13.99, suggesting they too can contribute to the scoreline. Their matches average 2.83 goals, and seven out of 12 games have featured at least three goals, demonstrating a trend of open, attacking football.
With Maidenhead keeping just one clean sheet this season and scoring in eight matches, they should be able to challenge Southend's defence effectively. Therefore, both teams’ attacking form and defensive vulnerabilities point towards a high-scoring affair, making three or more goals a strong possibility.
- Best Bet: Over 2.5 match goals at 1.9 with Bet365
Braintree vs Altrincham
The match between Braintree and Altrincham is likely to see fewer than three goals due to both teams’ struggles to score consistently. Braintree have only managed to score in five of their 12 games this season, with an average of just 0.50 goals per 90 minutes. Their games have averaged 1.58 goals, and both teams scoring has occurred in only three matches.
Additionally, Braintree have recorded the fourth-lowest xG figure in the league, indicating their challenges in converting chances.
On the defensive side, Braintree has a solid record, conceding only 3.3 shots on target per 90 minutes, which is impressive for a team near the bottom of the table. At home, they average only 2.12 shots on target conceded, suggesting a tendency to limit their opponents' chances.
Altrincham, while scoring in four of six away games, has only managed to score more than one goal on the road once.
Their low xG and limited touches in the opposition penalty area further emphasize their attacking struggles. Therefore, the combination of both teams’ difficulties in finding the net points toward a low-scoring match.
- Best Bet: Under 2.5 goals at 1.91 with Ladbrokes
