In this week's Non-League betting tips, we preview the top-of-the-table clash between Forest Green Rovers and York City and the encounter between Gateshead and Aldershot.
We then back goals in London as Dagenham welcome Barnet.
Forest Green Rovers vs York City
Forest Green and York City both come into this game with strong offensive records, setting up a likely scenario where both teams will find the net. Forest Green, unbeaten at home (W5-D1-L0), have scored in 14 of their 17 games this season, and in all six at home.
They average 2.17 goals per home match but have conceded in four, keeping only two clean sheets against Fylde and Hartlepool. Despite their second-place standing, Forest Green have shown a tendency to concede, especially against lower-ranked teams, conceding in all three home games against teams in the bottom five.
York, sitting at the top of the table, have scored in 15 of 17 games and conceded in eight. With a strong away record (W4-D4-L0), they’ve scored 13 times on the road but have kept clean sheets against lower-ranked opponents. York’s defence, while solid, has been tested, as seen in their last away game, where they allowed Halifax 15 shots, seven of which were on target.
Both sides' consistent scoring and occasional defensive lapses make it likely that each will find the net in this match.
- Best Bet: Both teams to score at 1.75 with Bet365
Gateshead vs Aldershot
Gateshead boasts an impressive home record, with seven wins and just one loss, conceding only five goals at home this season—two of which came in a 2-0 defeat to second-place Forest Green.
They have kept a clean sheet in four of their last five home games, after conceding in each of their first three home outings against Yeovil, Ebbsfleet and Eastleigh. Overall, Gateshead has W11-D3-L4, scoring 28 goals while allowing 22. They currently sit fourth in the league standings, with their only home loss against Forest Green.
Only Barnet and York have earned more home points, though Gateshead has played one fewer home game than these two sides. Based on points per game, Gateshead would sit second behind Forest Green. They rank sixth on xPTS and sit high for home shots on target, with 10 of their 11 wins featuring fewer than five goals.
Their opponents, currently 17th in the league, have shown mixed away results. They drew 1-1 with Yeovil (seventh) and recently edged out Halifax 1-0 (eighth), though they’ve drawn with the bottom two teams and lost four of their eight away fixtures.
With only two clean sheets on the road—one against the last-placed Ebbsfleet—the visitors have struggled offensively, scoring fewer away goals than all but two teams. They sit twenty-second for xPTS, having scored 21 goals from an xG of 16 (sixth lowest in the league) and conceding 27 goals from an xGA of 25.1, allowing one of the highest shots-on-target rates in away games.
- Best Bet: Gateshead to win and under 4.5 goals at 2.1 with Skybet
Dagenham & Redbridge vs Barnet
Dagenham & Redbridge welcome Barnet in what promises to be a thrilling National League game, with both teams bringing potent attacks to the field.
The Daggers enter with a record of W5-D7-L5, scoring 27 goals and conceding 18 this season. At home, they’ve established a solid form, boasting W4-D3-L1 and finding the net in seven of eight matches for a total of 13 goals. Their attacking edge is underscored by ranking third in the league for xG and fourth for shots on target taken at home, averaging 2.5 goals per game with an xG of 1.94.
Barnet, meanwhile, hold a slightly stronger record at W11-D1-L5 and have racked up 34 goals. On the road, they have been inconsistent with W3-D0-L5, scoring in seven of their eight away games.
Despite their prolific attack, Barnet struggles defensively, conceding 1.88 goals per away game, with clean sheets only against lower-ranked sides, Aldershot (17th) and Wealdstone (22nd). Their league-leading xG highlights an offensive strength, though only six teams have conceded more goals on the road.
With both teams showing strong scoring records and defensive vulnerabilities, the stage is set for a high-scoring match with both sides likely to find the net in an eagerly anticipated showdown.
- Best Bet: Over 2.5 goals both teams to score at 1.91 with Bet365
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