If you are looking for NFL betting tips for week 11, including best spread, total, touchdown and player props, look no further, we've got you covered.
The AFC takes centre stage on the NFL slate this weekend with some important matchups throughout the day. The early window has the 7-2 Steelers hosting the 7-3 Ravens in a match which could already settle who takes that division.
The later window has the unbeaten Chiefs travelling to New York State to take on the 8-2 Bills, with both teams at the top of their games this season. Even the Sunday Night Football game will have relevance come the end of the season, with the Chargers and Bengals both chasing a wildcard spot on that side of the league.
We'll be looking to take one step forward on a successful 75% week last weekend with just the total letting us down as the Rams could not convert drives into Touchdowns, and that game went way under the total. The Bills got the job done easily, Jalen Hurts scored again, and Darnell Mooney flew over his receiving line to bring us a healthy profit.
NFL betting tips week 11 best spread bet: Chiefs +2.5 @ Bills
A team who are currently sitting at 9-0, who have won 15 games in a row, who haven't allowed an opponent to score 28 points for 30 straight games are underdogs…can someone make that make sense to me?!
There haven't been many games where the Chiefs have been underdogs since Patrick Mahomes came into the team and started dominating the league, but in the instances that have happened, the elite QB has a record of 11-3 straight up and 12-1-1 against the spread.
This statistic is made even more remarkable because other quarterbacks have a record of 1 in 3 in the same spot. The Chiefs haven't had it all their own way but always find a way to get things done as highlighted by the game-winning field goal block last week against Denver.
They haven't stood still in their dominance either having added Deandre Hopkins and Josh Uche on either side of the ball to strengthen themselves ready for another Super Bowl run.
On the other side of the ball here the Bills have been walking over sub-par opponents all season but have struggled when coming up against good teams, their two losses this year having come to the Ravens and Texans, both have winning records.
Josh Allen has been brilliant this season with the Bills notching up 30 points in each of their last four games so they're definitely not a bad team by any means but with the five games ahead in division and suffering a number of injuries (Coleman, Kindcaid) leading up to their bye week they don't NEED to win this game to make the post-season.
The Chiefs win and don't need the points. They'll win outright.
NFL betting tips week 11 best total bet – Bengals vs Chargers o48
Sunday Night Football sees the Cincinnati Bengals visit the home of the NFL with the Los Angeles Chargers hosting them in a game which could prove vital in both teams chases for the wildcard spot.
The Bengals offense has been one of the best in the league this year with Joe Burrow and Ja'marr Chase leading in a host of categories, including TDs and yards, making them the most potent duo this season. They have been putting up points against most teams and with a defense so incredibly porous it's been essential in them keeping games close even if they've not been closing them out against the best teams.
Basically you're getting points for both teams when the Bengals play.
The Chargers defense on paper looks like one of the better units in the league, however, they've not played any real opponent so far this season so I think that's a bit of a false image and one I expect the Bengals to take advantage of. The Chargers offense on the other hand has looked better by the week, they've got a strong running game and have allowed Justin Herbert more freedom recently as one of the most naturally talented QBs in the league looks back to full health as they really get clicking on that side of the ball.
Should be a fun game to close out the Sunday slate on a fast pitch at SoFi stadium.
NFL betting tips week 11 best TD scorer – Tyreek Hill @ 7/5
We're too late to just settle with Jalen Hurts again after he scored once more on Thursday Night Football in their win over the Commanders so we're having to look a touch deeper this weekend.
I'm not pushing the boat out too much on this one, though, going with one of the quickest receivers in the league against one of the worst teams as the Dolphins host the Raiders.
The Dolphins have had a rough season but look better with Tua Tagovailoa back at the helm and the connection between him and Hill seems to be getting stronger each week, he only got 16 yards last Monday but one of those was a 1-yard score and I expect him to find the endzone again while putting up good yardage here.
NFL betting tips week 11 best player prop – DJ Moore o40.5 receiving yards
The Chicago Bears have hit a rut in recent weeks with their offense looking particularly inept as Caleb Williams' debut season has come grinding to a halt so they've taken steps to remedy that by firing their OC and bringing in Thomas Brown, who hails from the Sean McVay coaching tree.
He doesn't even need to be very good to be better than the 27 points they've scored over the last three games combined. The easiest thing for a new OC to do, though, is to target your most talented player, and in this team, it's DJ Moore who should be peppered throughout the game tonight.
Meanwhile, if you are looking for tips on racing and football, we have you covered there too!
Upcoming match previews & tips
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- Sun 17:00 Finland vs Greece
- Sun 19:45 Italy vs France
- Sun 19:45 Israel vs Belgium
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Racing Tips
The action continues at Cheltenham today and Rizzel is on hand to pick out a horse to watch.
Jets v Colts – Under 43.5
Patriots v Rams – Rams -4.0
Good luck today.
Tyreek in
Player prop in
Rams in for Asotos…
Good evening so far