THE day started badly but ended OK with a Top Treble winner.
AC Milan failing to score in the early Serie A game was the only loser on the both to score treble while my Louis Moult and Motherwell draw no bet Super Singles went down.
They were the same bets that won last Thursday when Well beat Aberdeen 3-0 in the Betfred Cup but it shows no two games are the same. Dons boss Derek McInnes went with three centre-halves and nullified the threat of Moult in the main.
The Top Treble was Inter, Lazio and Bayer Leverkusen and over 2.5 goals at Bayer kept the Betting Club effort alive. In the fight to go from £10 to £1000 I'm up to £140.
Well done to Greg for his over 2.5 goals nap at St Mirren v Queen of the South and to all the other winners.
It's a much quieter tonight ahead of the Champions League games with Arsenal v West Brom the main even. The Gunners are 1-3 to win so I'll need to see if there's better value.
Real Betis, fresh from their win at Real Madrid last week, entertain Levante in La Liga and there are other games dotted about the Continent.
I've picked out a Top Treble and if I hadn't reduced the acca losses from around 20pts a week or so ago to almost evens I wouldn't bother.
I was impressed with Arsenal in holding Chelsea and the way they came to beat Cologne and Arsene Wenger's men should beat West Brom. They've won six in a row against the Baggies and conceded just one goal against a side who don't score many.
Arsenal to win to nil could be the call but I'm going Arsenal -1AH which is around 1-2.
Add over 2.5 goals at Malmo v Elfsborg and Jong Ajax v Telstar – both of which good based on stats.
Remember to check welovebetting for their tips and video chat over the weekend.
2pts Top Treble
- Malmo v Elfsborg over 2.5 goals (6pm)
- Jong Ajax v Telstar over 2.5 goals (7pm)
- Arsenal -1AH (8pm)
- (17-10, Unibet)
Mr Fixit's September Super Singles Total
- Profit: +11.9pts (26 bets, 12 winners)
Mr Fixit's September Advised Accas Total
- Profit: -1.2pts (39 bets, 11 winners)
This month's football partner at MrFixitsTips is Unibet. They're making a big splash in the UK betting scene and if you join them today you can claim up to £30 in Welcome Bonuses when you deposit and place your first bet.
Resident football tipster at Scotland's most read newspaper, the Daily Record, for over 20 years and proud host of one the best betting communities on the web with daily betting tips.
Morning gents,
Only one bet I fancy tonight in the EPL:
JAKE LIVERMORE BOOKING…5/2
???
(33/1 for a red!)
Best of luck ?
Two small stakes
AGF Aarhus BTTS, Ajax > 2.5 MGS 1.1/1
Sanchez ATGS, Arsenal RT5 1.3/1
Clermont foot to win
Odds•••7/5•••
Certainly been impressed with 32redsport odds,yesterday had Xamax 4/5,most bookies had em@3/4
May be value on backing Dundalk on the win market/over 1.5tgs market tonight away to Cork city.
Won last 9 all comps,winning 8/9 to nil plus scoring at least 3 in 9/9 all comps. Cork have lost 3/4 league games.Dundalk have lost last 4 meetings with Cork but im willing to overlook this stat given the form of both teams.
Dundalk win @ 6/4 paddypower
Dundalk over 1.5 tgs @ 6/5 paddypower
Good Luck.
How close are Cork to winning the title now?
A Cork win tonight puts them 14 pts clear with 4 games remaining so gives them the title. Cant see Dundalk being too happy to let them seal it against them. I remember putting it up here at the seasons start to back Cork to win title with Dundalk finishing 2nd, cant remember the price but it was good odds.
OK cheers, I knew they were close. Massive game tonight then and I remember you tipping Cork so well done.
Monday goals tip
Jong Ajax o1.5 tgs
Union Berlin v Kaiserslautern o1.5 mgs
Betis v levante o1.5mgs
Wba ncs
6/5 bet 365
Sept total + 5.8pts
Kolasiniac to assist a goal arsenal v w brom 11/4 skybet NAP
My Norwegian lower league picks for today. Kolstad vs. Rosenborg II double probably the main one, just not sure whether to go for one more corner for 5/4.
————————————————————————-
Kolstad vs. Rosenborg II – 6pm
Corners and goals stats both very favourable for these two, although not great odds for the goals alone, a double with corners is worth backing:
Double pays 77/100 : **** (Bet365) :
Over 9.0 Alternative Corners (or o10.5 asian corners for double paying 5/4)
Over 2.5 mgls
Over 5 fh Asian corners @ 17/20 – ** (Bet365)
Over 10.5 asian total corners @ 33/40 – ** (Bet365)
In play look for:
Over 1.5 fhgls – **
Over 3.5 mgls – **
————————————————————————–
Eidsvold vs. Raufoss II – 5pm
Eidsvold HT/FT @ 5/6 **** (they have won 7 out of last 10 homes and have been ahead at half time in all of those victories. Eidsvold won the last 3 H2H. Raufoss II have lost their last 5 aways.)
Eidsvold win @2/7 ***** (for accumulators)
————————————————————————
Brann II vs. Os – 6pm
Brann 2 win @ 8/11 : *** (Betstars)
Brann 2 are decent at home, whereas Os have lost 4/5 aways. The teams are relatively close in the table but Brann 2 have + 9 GD v -9 for Os.
————————————————————————–
May put up some more small stakes punts later for fun. Good luck all!
All right Liam, how good are Kolstad and Rosenberg on the corner front? I find the lower leagues hit and miss on these, is the O2.5 more likely? Just wanting to but a safe one into an acca? Cheers mate
Hi Phillis, the lower leagues can be very variable but I also think that sometimes the bookies don’t put as much time into getting the correct lines so there can be value.
As an indication, Kolstad in their last 5 games have had – with team corners first, total match corners in brackets:
6 (11) – 9 (16) – 7 (14) – 8 (15) – 8 (12)
For Rosenborg 2 the same stats are (can’t get stats for all games, but these are the last 5 I can find):
8 (8) – 4 (10) – 7 (16) – 9 (12) 8 (10)
So as you can see only one of those ten fixtures has gone under the 9 corners used in the double, with 7/10 over 10.5. From the team corners, it’d be unusual if each team didn’t get 5 or more corners each. If the 10.0 corner lie appears in play after a few minutes, I’ll be on that.
Over 2.5 mgls should be safe but it’s reflected in the poor odds – 2/9 I think. Good luck whatever you decide!
Thanks Liam, great insight you have given and like to follow you so thanks for that, sounds like you know the lower leagues which is good as seem to be more value with loads of goals. I’m off work at the moment so this is giving me something to do! But I have gone proper safety bets as you have given tips on -1 and -2, I have gone for double chance on them but proper crap odds
The corners can be covered – under 10 @ 9/2 and under 11 @ 9/4. Think I’ll let it run though.
Unlucky mate I done it in a acca so left, plenty of goals though so not such a bad day, I’ll keep my eye on the next lot. Keep it up some good wins tonight for you
Cheers mate, aye with 6 corners at half time I thought the corners bets would be fine. Never-mind though, a very good day overall, 2 corners away from a better one. Hopefully the picks were of some use anyway.
I am sticking with my penalty trixies tonight. Arsenal v West Brom /Betis v Levante / Setubal v Boavista.
Pays 119/1 for all three WilliamHill
West Brom are 40/1 to miss a penalty. This is not a tip just a suggestion.
No joy on the leicester front on saturday well say no joy we got the win so it evens it out in my eyes.
Some champions league tips i will be on
Besiktas v RB Leipzig
Besiktas to win at 11/5 NAP
Monaco v Porto
Monaco to win at 11/10
Anderlecht v Celtic
Anderlecht to win at 11/10
Psg v Bayern Munich
Psg to win -1 asian handicap at 2.500 NAP
Taken as singles and a small 34/1 accumulater.
good luck folks
Back to Turkey for one pick today.
The last time Balikesirspor played in the league I hopped on their game to see goals after noticing an astonishing trend of consecutive matches that they had played resulting in BTTS. Since then, they have played a cup game against a side 3 tiers below them in the Turkish footballing pyramid. BTTS landed again (1-1).
That means that Balikesirspor have now seen the BTTS market land in their last 16 fixtures – friendlies included. In fact, it has landed in 20 of the last 22 games stretching back to last season. Of those 20, 17 saw the BTTS and Overs market land. It has landed in all five league games this season and did so too in their two recorded pre-season fixtures.
Those 5 league games have averaged 4.2 goals per game, and today’s visitors are the only side in the league with a higher goals per game average so far. Rizespor’s 5 games have seen an average of 4.6 goals – 4 of them seeing BTTS and Overs. The single anomaly is that Erzurum BB failed to net in a 2-0 defeat to Rizespor – and have gone on to fail to net in all their 3 away games.
The only two previous meetings between the sides saw two 2-2 draws a few years back and I would not be surprised to see the same sort of scoreline again today.
A range of markets appealed, but I’ve just gone for the following:
Balikesirspor v Rizespor BTTS and O2.5 Match Goals @ 9/10 (Bet365)
___________________________________________________________
As with last time, I’ll stress that my knowledge of second tier Turkish football is virtually non-existent. But at that price, I won’t be baulking at those stats.
Good luck!
A big thank you to Hull and Leroy for the weekend insight brought me back out of my hole lol well done all winners some great work on here lately, if we could all pick the right 10/15 from a mixture of the tipsters here we could fleece the bookies every week with big accas! Keep up the good work all it’s a great site Mr F
I’d missed one of the Norwegian lower league groups, where I think there is some very good value:
Lillestrøm II vs. Alta II (2pm)
Lillestrom 2 have won 5/6 homes, Alta II have lost 5/6 aways.There have been over 3.5 mgls in Lillestroms last 6 homes, and 4/6 Alta aways. Mjølner are the league leaders and play 12th placed Tromso II, they have won their last 6 homes and this should be comfortable.
Over 3.5 mgls @ 33/40 – ***** – (Bet 365) NAP
Over 1.5 fhgls @ 39/40 – ***
Lillestrom -1 AH @ 17/20 – ***
Treble pays 61/50 – *** – Bet365
Mjølner (Mjølner v Tromsø 2)
Lillestrøm 2 (Lillestrøm 2 v Alta 2)
Eidsvold TF (Eidsvold TF v Raufoss 2)
Other options:
Mjolner -2 @ 11/8 – *
Mjolner HT/FT @ 8/13 – *** (may wait for better odds in play if I take this one)
Lillestrom 2 odds have shortened from 4/9 to 1/3, with the -1AH no longer available – -1.0, 1.5 is 3/4, not so good.
WH have Lillestrom win and overs @ 7/10, was 4/5 then went to 6/10m jumping around all over.
Lillestrom over 2.5 tgls is evens.
Over 1.5 fhgls @ 2/1 – small stake
3-0 before half and the 1st half bets all safely in – cover available on the nap, under 3.5 is 13/2 @ WH
I’ve thought that before mate, as often its a matter of avoiding that one selection that goes against all form / stats / reasoning etc.
Feyenoord on Saturday did me for what looked a stonewall acca, only needed them to score (added it at half time so odds better than before KO). They missed a pen aswell ?. Not sure whats going on with them at the moment but theyre probably best leaving out of the time being ?
Arsenal win
Turkey League 1
Balikesir v Caykur Rizespor
Last week C.Rizespor bombed 1:4 at home by Ankaragucu , which was defeated by Balikesirspor the week before this game. Tonight, its gonna be Balikesir v C.Rizespor duel and the away side is clearly favourite for the bookies but home team is tough enough to cause troubles and expecting them getting points. Risky but worths it.
Balikesir +0/0.5 @ 2.08 188bet
Other game in the same league is Adana derby,
Adanademirspor v Adanaspor
The rivalry between these two teams is volcanic. Adanaspor stands pretty strong this season at home with 3 games 3 wins and this game can’t be called as away where used to be their ex home. They are close to win and not to lose.
Adanaspor +0/0.5 @ 1.84 188bet
Clermont foot odds shortening quite a lot
hi all, still keeping an eye on the blog, but keeping my distance with any betting or tipping.
Czech U21 league has been amazing for goals today – all games have gone over 1.5 first half goals (many have been Over 2.5FHGls) and all 5 so far have gone over 2.5 mgls.
Looking like a gold-mine league once again (went flat towards end of last season) – worth keeping an eye on.
Hope all is well Alex pal
Hi Alex, yeah noticed the goals flying in but no time to research them, was looking elsewhere! Hope all well, miss yer day time picks. Cheers.
Doing well thanks chaps, managed to reel things in a little.
Perhaps i’ll put up the odd tip again, but certainly not with anywhere near the same frequency. Cheers.
Poland Ekstraklasa 17:00
Cracovia Krakow vs Wisla Plock – over 4.5 first half Asian corners
Sweden Allsvenskan 18:00
AFC Eskilstuna vs IFK Goteborg – over 1.5 second half goals
AFC Eskilstuna vs IFK Goteborg – over 5.0 first half Asian corners
Treble 5.31/1 Bet365 **NAP**
—————————————————————————————–
Holland Reserve League 17:30
Roda JC Reserves vs Dordrecht Reserves – over 1.0, 1.5 first half goal line
League of Ireland Premier Division 19:20
Cork City vs Dundalk – over 4.5 first half Asian corners
Spain Primera Liga 20:00
Real Betis vs Levante – Real Betis over 5.5 team corners
England Premier League 20:00
Arsenal vs West Brom – Arsenal corner match bet
4-Fold 5.7/1 Bet365 **NB**
Good luck all
Clermont foot win
Palermo -1 goal
Agf Aahus vs midtylland btts
Betis vs levante over 2.5 goals
Vitoria setubal vs boavista btts
37/1
Sun is out today hopefully cork can bring home the title tonight but playing poorly at the moment and dundalk look too be a decent bet tonight there playing top stuff but hope the massive crowd can get behind us rebels tonight
Yesterdays bets LOST should of went o3.5 in paisley rather than QOS tgs………..
Tonite
Cork btts 4/6
Add arsenal overs 8/5
GL all with a bet on……… oops need to go waiters here “creveca senior por fa vor, gracias” see if ye kin translate hull yan auld goose………
My Northern Hungarian isn’t what it should be but I’m pretty sure that translates as:
“I have a burning sensation around my crotch – please give me some soothing cream.”
Couple of wee punts for today
Malmo
Balikesirspor
Over 2.5mgs Double Returns 6/5
Botosani over 2.5mgs 11/10
Good luck all
Afternoon gents
Monday’s so it’s Belguim Reserve league action
Going with the tried and tested – or to put it another way, back them every week
Waaslands v Sint Truiden KO 6.30
Not much to say really, Sint Truiden are turning into the Parnu of Belguim football, they play a side who are equally as good for a goal having seems 5 of their last 6 go over 3.5. Should see both sides contributing to that cause this evening
Back over 3.5 match goals 11/10 (Skybet) (NAP)
All bets up on the Lillestrom 2 match, 5-0 after 63 mins. Bookies were a million miles off with this one, illustrates the value in Nordic lower leagues. With 20 minutes gone and 8 shots to 1, 70% possession and 4-0 corners, a track record showing 5 wins on the trot and over 3.5 goals in each, yet you could get Lillestrom win and over 2.5 at 4/5, HT/FT at evens, over 2.5 tgls @ 11/10.
Repost:
I’d missed one of the Norwegian lower league groups, where I think there is some very good value:
Lillestrøm II vs. Alta II (2pm)
Lillestrom 2 have won 5/6 homes, Alta II have lost 5/6 aways.There have been over 3.5 mgls in Lillestroms last 6 homes, and 4/6 Alta aways. Mjølner are the league leaders and play 12th placed Tromso II, they have won their last 6 homes and this should be comfortable.
Over 3.5 mgls @ 33/40 – ***** – (Bet 365) NAP ** WON **
Over 1.5 fhgls @ 39/40 – *** ** WON **
Lillestrom -1 AH @ 17/20 – *** ** WON **
Same match, recommended in play picks posted above:
WH have Lillestrom win and overs @ 7/10 * WON *
Lillestrom over 2.5 tgls is evens. * WON *
Over 1.5 fhgls @ 2/1 – small stake * WON *
Well in, Liam!
quality stuff
Superb Liam. Well done
?
Cheers lads!
BLACKBURN U23 v FULHAM U23
Two sides that like a goal or 2
Over 4.5 goals @ 11/4
4pm (in-play) treble:
Hradec Kralove
Botasani
Manama Club
Above 3 games over 2.5mgls pays 11/2……
anyone on corners in arsenal match?????
probably Ozil :)
And the ball
Manama game over 1.5fhg 3/1 £200
Napoli -2 asian looks like a good bet tomorrow. Feyenoord missing striker Jorgensen and central defender Botteghin.
I think we will see another big win like Man City did in Rotterdam.
Looking like all bets down today will another one
Betis btts
Union Berlin to score
Clermont over 1.5mgs
Treble returns 7/4
Good luck
€50 astra giurgiu game over 1.5 fhg returns €100
Best day I’ve had in a while…for the remaining bets Rosenberg II game just needs 5 corners in the 2nd half. Mjølner game has disappeared, just need them to win @ 1/5 for the win treble.
* WON *
Eidsvold HT/FT @ 5/6 **** (they have won 7 out of last 10 homes and have been ahead at half time in all of those victories. Eidsvold won the last 3 H2H. Raufoss II have lost their last 5 aways.)
Kolstad vs. Rosenborg II – 6pm
Over 5 fh Asian corners @ 17/20 – ** (Bet365) * WON *
In play look for:
Over 1.5 fhgls * WON *
Over 3.5 mgls * WON *
No luck in Turkey where the 17th consecutive game seeing BTTS landed but unfortunately no third goal.
Well done all winners!
Well done Greg
Top man ?
Manama game over 1.5fhg 3/1 £200
⚡️Winner⚡️
The win treble came in at odds against so a good day – 11 won including NAP, 4 lost, 1 don’t know yet….the Rosenberg corners double finished 1 bleedin corner short! I mentioned the cover at 4/1 above but didn’t bother taking it as well up for the day, stupid really. And Brann 2 lost on the final pick.
Treble pays 61/50 – *** – Bet365 – * WON *
Mjølner (Mjølner v Tromsø 2)
Lillestrøm 2 (Lillestrøm 2 v Alta 2)
Eidsvold TF (Eidsvold TF v Raufoss 2)
Mjolner HT/FT @ 8/13 – ***– not sure bout this, didn’t put it on pre match and couldn’t find the game in play. They won 4-2 so there’s a good chance it came in, just can’t find the HT score!
Mjolner -2 @ 11/8 – * LOST
Brann 2 win – LOST
Rosenberg 2 corners double – LOST
kolasinac atgs 8/1 betvictor
16/1 WH
Hearts v Motherwell
Hearts next goal 23/10 £250
Some going that, nice bet
BLACKBURN v FULHAM U23….Over 4.5 goals
LOST
Final score 4-0 with a missed penalty right at the end that actually hit the crossbar
Monday goals tip
Jong Ajax o1.5 tgs
Union Berlin v Kaiserslautern o1.5 mgs
Betis v levante o1.5mgs
Wba ncs
6/5 bet 365
LOST ❌✅✅✅
Mitre 10 Cup ??
Northland v Otago
Was just perusing the next game and just had to take up this price on Otago on Betfair. Both battling for a playoff place, fortunes are going in opposite directions. Northland on a two match losing run, while Otago have gone from strength to strength recently, especially with their unearthed winger Nareki who has scored 6 tries from 5 games.
Otago ML
2.00 @ betfair
Bet365 have Otago at 1.72!!
GL if you follow
Livermore subbed – just when the yellows started to flow as well ?
Well done all winners
Game just kicking off could be worth a look for goals:
LLANEROS VS. BOYACÁ CHICÓ:
OVER 2.5 MGS…11/10
???
Clermont foot to win
Odds•••7/5•••won
Pompey Boom, cheers mate
I’m down in Pompey tomorrow and Wednesday so may take a trip to Fratton for the Bristol Rovers game
Busy card tomorrow gents
Initial view:
Oldham v Peterborugh over 2.5 goals
Wycombe to beat Crewe
Will post in the morning
Hearts v Motherwell
Hearts next goal 23/10 £250
⚡️Winner⚡️
Poland Ekstraklasa 17:00
Cracovia Krakow vs Wisla Plock – over 4.5 first half Asian corners (won)
Sweden Allsvenskan 18:00
AFC Eskilstuna vs IFK Goteborg – over 1.5 second half goals (lost)
AFC Eskilstuna vs IFK Goteborg – over 5.0 first half Asian corners (push)
Treble 5.31/1 Bet365 **NAP**
—————————————————————————————–
Holland Reserve League 17:30
Roda JC Reserves vs Dordrecht Reserves – over 1.0, 1.5 first half goal line (won)
League of Ireland Premier Division 19:20
Cork City vs Dundalk – over 4.5 first half Asian corners (lost)
Spain Primera Liga 20:00
Real Betis vs Levante – Real Betis over 5.5 team corners (won)
England Premier League 20:00
Arsenal vs West Brom – Arsenal corner match bet (won)
4-Fold 5.7/1 Bet365 **NB** LOST
Goteborg missed an open goal costing me a reduced payout win for the NAP and I was two corners short at Cork from the NB, onwards, welll done all winners
Hi all, speculative bet for tonight
Sol Bamba Cardiffs Ivorian CB was captain of Leeds for a season, he went of the boil there,
but he is something of a cult figure at Cardiff. He has been solid as a rock at the back for us,
and scores the odd important goal too.
Worth a punt at 28/1 first goal scorer or 11/1 anytime.
Warnock rested him on Saturday so he will be fresh for tonight,
good luck with your selections tonight people