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A no-show in every way yesterday as Mojo Ego drifted in the betting, before tamely folding. That’s often the way it goes. On we move to Thursday’s racing.
| Pontefract - 16:20 |
Yippee |
14/1 |
I’m getting in early with this one (Wednesday evening) as I feel that we could be looking at something of a positive market mover here. Of course, I could be wrong. Let's see.
The less-than-full-exposed Yippee is clearly priced as an outsider in the early betting, but if we scratch beneath the surface, the three-year-old ticks more than enough boxes to be given a better chance than odds of 14/1 suggest.
Charlie Johnston’s runner ran no sort of race at Newcastle last time out, and the early price here looks very much a reaction to that effort, though I wouldn’t be hugely surprised if the return to Pontefract sparked an improved effort.
Returns to the scene of his only crime to date
Prior to his latest ten-furlong effort at Newcastle, the gelding finished third (over 11 furlongs) at Southwell, plugging on late in the day having raced widely throughout, doing so from 3 lbs higher than today’s mark.
If we look back to his effort a few weeks earlier, we can see that he finished sixth (of 7) over course and distance, though he wasn’t beaten far. That was a Class 4 affair. This is a Class 5.
Back in May, he scored with ease over ten furlongs at this venue, winning as if he’d have more than enough in the tank for a Class 5 race over Thursday’s extra two furlongs. He’s now 1 lb lower in the weights.
It's worth mentioning that the form of that course win has worked out very well. The horse finishing third that day won just yesterday, while three of the first five in behind have since won, with a couple placing at Class 4 level too.
Still lightly raced, a mark of 66 looks a little generous, while his course form is not to be ignored. Throw into the mix that Charlie Johnston and Connor Beasley have a decent strike rate when teaming up in the last year, considering also that he’s right up there in this field for speed ratings, and odds of 14/1 really do start to look generous.
Based on a £10 level-stakes example, the Nap of the Day running profit is +£14 (since switching to being published here (10/09/2024) rather than on the ‘Nap of the Day' page).
22/1 right this moment at hills mate
The bigger the drift the better I say
Makes it more appealing for ew
What happened to the race?
The drift may well have been significant, as is sometimes the case, though we’ll never know. Onto tomorrow.