Thanks to Cairnzy for filling in for me on the Lucky 15 thread on Saturday.
More Thunder was sadly the only winner on yesterday's Lucky 15. He was tipped up at a nice price of 11/4, considering he won at 6/4F. He is a nice horse, who was a winning tip for me when winning the Bunbury Cup the time before last.
Sunday's Lucky 15 bet is advised as a straight win.
Reigning Profit – Pontefract 4.12
I've been tempted to back Reigning Profit the last couple of runs, and I'm glad I didn't because he hasn't been able to showcase his talents. He has excuses for his last two runs, either breaking slowly from the gates or being drawn on the wrong side of the track. On that basis, and when you see his run at Ascot three runs ago, he deserves more chances before we totally write him off.
The Ascot run was a very good performance, finishing second in a £52K race. He showed that he can be competitive off a mark of 80, so being 1lb higher in today's race isn't going to change anything.
I think he'll appreciate the smaller field, as if he does break slowly, it should allow him to get back into the race. Hopefully, he'll break well, as I think he can run from the front in this race.
Kentucky River – Pontefract 4.42
Ollie Sangster isn't having a vintage season based on his last couple of years, where he has showcased his talents as a young trainer. However, he is still very good when his horses travel far, especially up north.
Kentucky River ran well at Doncaster last time out and was only touched off by Belgravian, who was an impressive winner for me last Sunday. This race isn't a fantastic race, and it's filled to the brim with exposed horses. If there was a horse in the lineup who could improve, it's Kentucky River.
Consent – Deauville 12.58
I was a big fan of Consent's win last time out at Newbury a month ago. She improved plenty from her two-year-old campaign to win a Class 2 fillies race in impressive style.
We all know how well Sir Mark Prescott is with his handicappers, but he is also a very good trainer with horses in Class 1 races. He has trained some lovely fillies, especially in the last few years, which include the Arc Winner Alpinista. I'm not saying this horse is going to reach the heights of being a Group 1 winner, but I think she can definitely win a Listed race like today's race. They are going up in trip, which looks to suit.
Divot – Southwell 4.52
Right at the bottom of the weights is Divot, and seeing Saffie Osbourne making 8st 2lbs is very interesting. Saffie's lowest riding weight in the last twelve months has been 8st 4lbs, so the fact she is willing to lose the weight to ride a horse this lowly rated in a Class 4 gives a very good impression.
She knows the horse well, as she rode him last time out, which makes me think that she knows that this horse has a very good chance of winning this.
GambleAware