daily racing tips 3

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I was meant to be doing Saturday's Lucky 15 thread but something has popped up for Cairnzy and that means I've been given the role for the main thread.

In term's of Cairnzy's Friday's selection, I didn't get to watch it as I've been busy throughout the day but he did message me to say that the jockey was riding the horse very confidently, arguably too confidently. A couple of late mistakes scuppered the chance of getting the win and Cairnzy said he wished the jockey didn't mess around and went for home when the horse was evidently cruising.

There is some good racing up at Kelso, and there is probably some value to be found, but it looks a very competitive card up in Scotland and I've decided to avoid that and focus on Newbury's card.

Rizzel's tips

Credo 11/4 – Newbury 1.20

I am a sucker for the Veteran races, and this race has drawn me into having a bet on Saturday. I am fairly certain that I wasn't on tipping duties when Credo last ran, but I had a look at the racing on that day and I expected her to win, and sure enough, she did, so that was a kick in the nuts, but that's the way things go. I am backing her for today's race, even though this race is tougher than her run at Exeter last time around and she is on a high enough mark at the age of ten, but I think that run shows she is in good form and can go in again.

There are some horses to be wary of, which is so often the case for Veteran chases as horses are very well handicapepd on older pieces of form, but ten-year-olds often have very good strike rates in these types of contests as they are the fresher horses and aren't completely washed, so I think Credo is a safe bet for this renewal.

It's going to be testing conditions out there at Newbury, so having confidence in Credo and knowing that she stays the trip is a huge plus. It is hard for me to go against an old selection of mine in Sam Brown who gets 10lbs off him again with Chad Bament in the saddle, but Credo's recent form actually looks solid, and not just from his Exeter win. She was a decent fourth at Wincanton over today's distance and the runner-up has since hosed up in a valuable Grade 3, and even the time before at Haydock where she was fourth again, the winner was running into the places in the Eider chase last weekend (plus the horses in 2nd and 3rd have run well or won since), so there is definite substance.

Nap Hand 4/1 – Newbury 1.55

A horse I tipped up last month, who probably should've won or was very unlucky not to win was Nap Hand and I think he deserves another chance on this thread as a selection now he goes handicapping.

There are questions to be answered for Nap Hand as we don't know if he is well-handicapped or not, but based on his two runs over hurdles to date I think there has to be room off a mark of 118. I thought Tom Cannon was very weak on him last time out, being out muscled by Nico De Stonehands is never a good look, but that is what happened at Huntingdon when the front two pulled 14L clear of the third. His hurdling debut performance was a decent effort at Kempton and he wasn't exactly asked for a maximum effort that day when pitched out the back, but he ‘ran on' if you want to say that to finish third that day.

The ground should not be an issue for this ex-flat horse who is by Fast Company who is arguably one of the best soft ground sires in the flat world. Nap Hand was a useful flat handicapper, reaching a peak rating of 86 before transitioning to jumps. His best performance came at this track on the flat on heavy ground when producing an RPR of 94 over 10f, so if he can transfer that level of performance to today's race, I think he will be too good for this decent field.

Phillip Armson takes the ride in this conditional jockey's race, knocking off a handy 3lbs.

Moroder 20/1 EW (4pl) – Doncaster 3.15

My ‘stab in the dark' selection for Saturday is Moroder who has everything to prove with some horrendous form on his recent profile, but at the prices I'll take the risk.

He won this race a fair few years ago off a higher mark, so we know he handles the track and we know he is well-handicapped off his current mark. I think I tipped him up for his last effort in a Veterans race where he ran such a strange race. He was off the bridle, then he was up with the pace and was trading quite short in running, before he eventually got tired and went backwards very quickly.

He hasn't been seen since November, so they've either put him away whilst the ground has not been the best as he likes good ground and that is the ground he gets for today's race.

Seamus Mullins isn't one for sending horses out of the southern area tracks, but when he does, he tends to do quite well. He is 2/7 at Doncaster in the last five years, so at a big price I thought it was worth a punt on the eleven-year-old doing the business in this big prize handicap.

Horse Racing Tips
Credo
Newbury - 1:20 pm

11/4 @ Bet365

Nap Hand
Newbury - 1:55 pm

4/1 @ Bet365

Moroder
Doncaster - 3:15 pm

20/1 EW @ Bet365

35 Comments
  1. Avatar of Double carpet
    double carpet 2 months ago

    I’ll try 2 today at ew prices

    Kandoo Kid 8/1 5 places. Newbury 3.45
    Barring accidents looks a safe ew bet. Won well over C&D lto following an absence of 232 days.

    Florida Dreams 14/1 ew 5 places
    Was coming to challenge lto before a bad mistake 2 out ruined any chance he had. Been dropped a pound which always helps.

    BOL

    3
    • Avatar of Double carpet
      double carpet 2 months ago

      Kelso 3.30 ⬆️

    • Avatar of theplug
      theplug 2 months ago

      Florida Dreams did well to finish 5th thanks for that DC

      1
    • Avatar of Double carpet
      double carpet 2 months ago

      Florida Dreams places but Kandoo Kid was disappointing.
      The fav Billytherealbigred hasn’t done much to Frank the form of Jagwar.

      No more bets from me until the festival.
      I will put up the handicap trends once the 4 day decks come out and will have write ups ready to post for each race.
      Well done again Rizzle and all other winners

      1
  2. Avatar of theplug
    theplug 2 months ago

    Good morning DC
    Good to see you back .I have not been on for a while but its good to be back for the big one.Lsooking forward to looking at your right ups as all ways.
    Only one from me today and that’s at Navan
    Theonewedreamof 4.20
    best price 4/1

    1
    • Avatar of Double carpet
      double carpet 2 months ago

      Hi plug
      Nice to see you on. I see Busstop and Duncan were on yesterday. Let’s hope that continues as the thread needs and misses their input.
      I’ve done plenty of write ups already, not sure if you will have access but there will be plenty more to come over the coming days.
      Can’t wait to hear the Cheltenham roar which will be 10mins earlier than usual this year.
      Good luck today👍

      2
  3. Avatar of Matthew Harrold
    titchmh 2 months ago

    Great to see some of the old regulars back! Just in time for the big week!
    Thanks for you write up again the other DC, I’ve noted all of them!
    Question for the Plug, I wondered if you’ve got any anti post selections this year, you’ve had some great shouts in the past, clash of clans and sky pirate spring to mind!

    1
    • Avatar of theplug
      theplug 2 months ago

      titchmh

      I have back a couple ante post but the prices are gone now .
      one is Dancing City 10/1 now 11/4 but if the ground is good i don’t think he will win .Its Ballyburn’s to lose .
      Backed GDC 3/1 for the gold cup just can not see him get beaten.
      Their is a lot of money on shots again this year looks like everyone will put them in accumulators .
      National Hunt Chase Now is the hour 3/1
      Brown Advisory
      I have backed Dancing City but for a ew bet i would fancy Stellar Story at 12/1.
      Cross Country Busselton at 10/1 ew
      Ryanair Mares Novice Hurdle Sixandahalf 5/2.
      Ryanair Chase Protekorat 5/1.
      Trustatrader Plate H cap Chase Crebilly 8/1.
      Iwill put more up next week .

  4. Avatar of Ewthief
    ew thief 2 months ago

    Morning all
    Good boy Bobby 1.20n 7-1
    Bold light 2.20k 8-1
    Roadlesstravelled 2.55k 14-1
    Under supervision 3.15d 25-1
    Old Gregorian 3.30k 20-1
    Scarface 3.45n 11-1
    Ew singles & ew lucky63☘️☘️gl all

    1
  5. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 2 months ago

    wilful 3.30 well done all winners yesterday

    1
  6. Avatar of Darren Sawyer
    dazzman1979 2 months ago

    Poor old credo

    1
    • Avatar of Darren Sawyer
      dazzman1979 2 months ago

      Nap hand 😂

      1
    • Avatar of Rizzel Tips
      Rizzel Tips 2 months ago

      Moroder 😂😂😂

      Only tipped up at 20/1 and won at 33/1 😂😂😂

      Dazz mate knock it on the head with your constant barrage of sarcastic comments.

      Hope you was on Moroder that big priced winner 😬

      13
    • Avatar of Double carpet
      double carpet 2 months ago

      Take a bow Rizz 👏

      3
    • Avatar of Darren Sawyer
      dazzman1979 2 months ago

      About bloody time you landed something 😂

      1
    • Avatar of Rizzel Tips
      Rizzel Tips 2 months ago

      Magma Sam 9/1 won at 10/1
      Cousin Aodha 6/1 won at 12/1

      Just a couple to name from February at decent odds, as well as 6/4, 7/2, 7/1 (won at 17/2) and 2/1.

      Late last month was burdened with abandoned racing, so a fairly solid month. Cairnzy also landed his fair share of winners. So don’t come with that rubbish.

      Don’t need negativity in the comments. If it’s down to poor form, that’s fine, call it out, but not with your petulant sarcastic comments.

      10
    • Avatar of Darren Sawyer
      dazzman1979 2 months ago

      We have called it out in the past and you both get all funny about it 😂😂 don’t be so touchy it’s just a bit of needle . You take the praise you got to take the criticism as well . Even if today was a 100/1 winner over all your still at a loss just like everyone else . Enjoy your day in the sun , you ll be back to form 2 Moro 😂

    • Avatar of Rizzel Tips
      Rizzel Tips 2 months ago

      I’m not after praise, never have been.

      Negativity in the comments the way you do it is just childish and given you were born in 1979 (going off your username), it’s probably best if you grow up.

      When you think about it, you’re 45 or 46 and typing sarcastic comments on an online forum. Madness 😅

      Anyway, enough of my time wasted…I’ve got to pick some more 20/1 losers.

      6
    • Avatar of Darren Sawyer
      dazzman1979 2 months ago

      Ok I’m sorry from now on I will really try and behave more like an adult on here ! It’s going to be tough but I like a challenge 😂 its bad enough trying to be recognized as a human login in let alone be mature 😂

      0
    • Avatar of Darren Sawyer
      dazzman1979 2 months ago

      More like a 11/8 loser 😂

      0
  7. Avatar of Matthew Harrold
    titchmh 2 months ago

    Thanks plug!!!
    I’ll add these to my extensive list! lol
    Fingers crossed I land on some of the right ones!

  8. Avatar of Sore point
    Sore point 2 months ago

    dont know if others are having same problem as me Maybe why people have disappeared but its murder log on to this site recently .And cant see peoples tips if you dont log on .

    Kelso 3.30 Favour and fortune

    Doncaster 3.55 Patriotik

    Newbury 4.15 Eaton Anne

    3 wins and a trixie

    5
  9. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 2 months ago

    Eaton Annie 4.15 well done all winners today

    1
  10. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 2 months ago

    theonewedreamof 4.20 nap

  11. Avatar of Deb2000
    Deb2000 2 months ago

    Nice winner Rizzel 👏👏

    5
  12. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 2 months ago

    walk on quest 4.39 NB well done rizzel

    3
  13. Avatar of asif
    mint 2 months ago

    Rizzel.

    Brilliant pick, Well done!

    Mint…

    5
  14. Avatar of Elvis Parsley
    elvis parsley 2 months ago

    Nice winner there today rizzell.
    It’s prices like that every so often that keep us interested isn’t it 🏇

    5
  15. Avatar of Darren Sawyer
    dazzman1979 2 months ago

    6:20 meydan – odai 150/1 e/w

  16. Avatar of Elvis Parsley
    elvis parsley 2 months ago

    Naughty corner for dazzman ➡️➡️➡️➡️➡️➡️

    3
    • Avatar of Darren Sawyer
      dazzman1979 2 months ago

      It’s only banter nothing personal. If your a paid expert you going to get a bit of stick . Bloody hell I got nothing on data base haha . Who would of thought a little imoji would create such drama 😂😂

  17. Avatar of Ewthief
    ew thief 2 months ago

    Lucky last may remain ☘️☘️gl all

  18. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 2 months ago

    ustath 8.30 ew

  19. Avatar of Recoba
    recoba 2 months ago

    🇺🇸
    Gulfstream -Race 11. Counter Spy 33/1 Ew Skybet

    Sorry late shout but if you can manage it’s worth a bet ⬆️

  20. Avatar of jim begley
    jimba 2 months ago

    Big Well done 👏 Rizz with Moroder💥👍

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