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It's been a shoddy start to the year and yesterday didn't help with two runner-ups, a horse missing the places by one and some sloppy jumping by Pozo Emery who went through the fences rather than over them.

Wincanton 12:20 – Casual Observer 6/1 (1pt, Bet365/WilliamHill)

The horses carrying a penalty in this race didn't really catch my attention, and I don't think their form is strong enough to put me off from going for a hurdles debutante.

I am going with Casual Observer for this race as he clearly has ability about him, and it's not a surprise to see Harry Derham and the Fehily Syndicate opt for a hurdles route just after one bumper run. He was a runner-up on his only PTP race which looks like good form with the winner winning nicely on bumper debut for Willie Mullins, beating a subsequent winner. It proved that Casual Observer stays well as it was over 3m on heavy ground, so to see him outpaced in a decent bumper at Market Rasen wouldn't have come as a surprise. The Derham team have evidently thought it would be a waste of a season going in bumpers as he clearly lacks gears in that sphere, and in slowly run affairs, it was never going to work out, but he shaped with promise nevertheless. The step up to 2m 5f on heavy ground should help him with his lack of speed, and receiving weight from the main players in terms of the market, I think he has a nice chance if jumping well.

Wincaton 1:30 – Prince Quali 7/2 (1pt, Bet365)

This race is full of older horses, with 3 of the 5 being 10yo's and the other runner outside of my selection has just turned 9. Other than Mr Grey Sky, the others are falling down the handicap whereas I think Prince Quali could offer something in Britain off his chase mark.

He was a fairly decent horse in France, winning 3 hurdle races and once over fences. He was best effective when running from the front, so it wasn't a surprise to see him held up on his first run for his new stable over hurdles, combined with being very weak in the market. With that run under his belt, they've switched him back to fences, so I'll be hoping for a front running ride by Harry Kimber or sit behind the pace, as it does look quite strong on paper with Fast Buck and Mr Grey Sky both liking to lead.

This horse recorded an RPR of 120 on his sole chase win over slightly further than today's trip, which saw the runner-up go on to win on his next start, so the form looks solid enough. I think you've got to ignore his last start in France as it was in a competitive Listed race and was over 2m 7f which evidently isn't his trip and stretched his stamina, as well as probably being outclassed. Knowing he does stay slightly further than today's trip is a positive as the ground is heavy and it will be a test of stamina at the trip.

Wincanton 3:15 – Don't Rightly Know 11/2 (1pt)

Having such an inexperienced jockey on board isn't my favourite approach to backing a horse, but I do think Don't Rightly Know has more than what she has shown us so far, and she's shown plenty of ability already.

This is her handicap debut and she probably should be 2/2 for this season entering this race, and if she was then you'd probably think she'd be shorter in the market. She clearly has her quirks and she showed that on her two starts this season which saw her idle and drift to the left on both occasions, but at Exeter she got away with it as she was clearly the best horse in the race and was miles clear. She lost the race rather than the winner winning it at Wincanton as she idled more that time and Chloe Emsley didn't get the whip in the left hand to prevent the drift until the winner was level. With that experience, I think Chloe will know better this time and I'm hoping she delivers this horse as late as possible as I think she is a decent handicap mark and the way she travels through her races on soft ground is very telling, so the longer she keeps hold of Don't Rightly Know the better as the quirks shouldn't show.

She stays further than today's trip, as we saw when he scooted clear over 2m 7f at Exeter, and she has the pace for this trip as we saw last time out. I don't think this race is too strong, and I think Polly Gundry believes she is a nice horse as she was well-supported on her return to the track at Exeter on the back of 709 days off, and they smashed her into 8/11F last time out, so I think she has a fair bit up her sleeve still, even at the age of 9 as she has only had 4 runs under rules.

Horse Racing Tips
Casual Observer
Wincanton - 12:20 pm

6/1 @ Bet365

Prince Quali
Wincanton - 1:30 pm

7/2 @ Bet365

Don't Rightly Know
Wincanton - 3:15 pm

11/2 @ Bet365

56 Comments
  1. dazzman1979 6 months ago

    1:57 cork – da capo glory 7/2 now was 5/1 a bit earlier so it’s a all or nothing bet now 😂 (jinxed)

    4
    • dazzman1979 6 months ago

      3:07 cork – baldurs gate 10/3

      2
  2. dazzman1979 6 months ago

    3:42 cork – familiar dreams 4/1

    1
  3. dazzman1979 6 months ago

    12:30 Newcastle/ champ de gane 4/1

  4. dazzman1979 6 months ago

    1:05 Newcastle- gurnesey 13/2

  5. dazzman1979 6 months ago

    5:15 kempton- bowood 15/8

    5:45 kempton – fire demon 11/10

    Short price double

    • dazzman1979 5 months ago

      Useless bowood lets me down ! No doubt it will romp home next time . Ah the torment never ends !

  6. dazzman1979 6 months ago

    I think that’s more than enough winners for one day 😂

    2
  7. dazzman1979 6 months ago

    Foreign muck !

    3:07 pau – dabiradja 6/1

  8. dazzman1979 6 months ago

    Oh also , D art dart 12:12 cork 6/1 😂

    1
    • elvis parsley 6 months ago

      Just the 9 winners today dazzman 🤣👍🏇👀

    • dazzman1979 6 months ago

      If I get 7 I’ll be happy 😂 I think 21 is my record in one day I’m sure it was on a Saturday as well 😂

  9. Gateacre Pete 6 months ago

    Newcastle 1.40
    Lord Denning @ 80s top 3
    30s top 6 ew extra
    GL

    3
  10. Alves 6 months ago

    PP new promo where you can pick your money back race kicking off this wknd. Needs to be 8+ runners, money back as free bet for top 4 places…

    14.05 Wincanton – Fourofakind 9/4

    1
  11. dazzman1979 6 months ago

    No keys ! Push to start is what will be saying next week if that lot comes in 😂 double jinxed now !

  12. dazzman1979 6 months ago

    See if Megan Nichols comes up with any good tips today ive followed them a few times and come out good . Would nt supprise me if she is privy to a bit of inside info she’s allowed to share to make her look more credible on tv at the moment who knows 😂

    1
  13. sb162002 6 months ago

    Fast Buck 1-30 11/4
    Feach Amach 2-05 10/3
    Huelgoat 2-40 5/1
    Don’t Right know 3-15 11/2
    En Meme Temps 2-50 7/1
    Robert D’ores 3.25 9/2
    Singles and lucky 15 last four selections
    Good luck all

    1
  14. double carpet 6 months ago

    Nephin Beg 2.32 cork

    Put him up about 8 days ago but he fell 3 out. Money was down that day and its down again today, obviously looking for their losses back. He opened at 7s last night but is now best price 3/1

    3.07 Weihnachts

    Won the race last year off 105 and now down to 101 having run poorly since.
    Money once again down as he opened up 9/1 and when it’s Green & Gold money it usually means business.

    BOL

  15. azzthewigan 6 months ago

    to auld pals 1.40 individualists 3.15 well done all winners yesterday

  16. azzthewigan 6 months ago

    yougoglencoko 11.55

  17. azzthewigan 6 months ago

    Lord of thunder 12.20

  18. azzthewigan 5 months ago

    gardener 12.30

    • dazzman1979 5 months ago

      I was on gardener last time i lumped big on it I think having Sean Bowen riding last time was the big persuader and what put me off this time around

      1
    • dazzman1979 5 months ago

      Hope you were on call to action 25/1 in the end second place 😂

      1
  19. azzthewigan 5 months ago

    starman 12.47 ew

  20. dazzman1979 5 months ago

    Dart dart 🎯 😂

    2
    • dazzman1979 5 months ago

      Da capo glory 😂 what’s going on 2 Irish winners 😂

      1
  21. elvis parsley 5 months ago

    Icare de sceau 1-50 Pau 🇫🇷
    7-1 ew

  22. dazzman1979 5 months ago

    Bloody hell rachel let me down never mind . If familiar dreams comes in it’s not been to bad a day ! (Jinxed ) 😂

    3
  23. dazzman1979 5 months ago

    What’s going on with having racing 2 Moro night at Wolverhampton? Trying to squeeze every last drop of money out of you 😂

    1
    • spurs55 5 months ago

      never seen racing on a sunday night before dazzman and never that late

      yep suck us dry and all the donkeys as well

      1
    • dazzman1979 5 months ago

      I would nt mind being sucked dry by Megan Nicholls I bet she’s brilliant at taking dirty you can just tell she’s filth ! 😂😂

      3
    • dazzman1979 5 months ago

      Just looked through the card ! Got BENT written all over it I’ll rather do state side than that bender fest mugging people before they got to go to work on a Monday . I hate bookies they are a menace to society 😂

      1
  24. spurs55 5 months ago

    Madge A Chroi
    14/1
    15:42 Cork – 2m INHF

    1
  25. spurs55 5 months ago

    Madge A Chroi
    14/1
    15:42 Cork – 2m INHF

    1
  26. dazzman1979 5 months ago

    Familiar dreams 😂😂 4/1 seems like a lovely price now . Saved by the Irish would you ever believe it 😂 gutted about Rachael letting me down for a nice return but I’ll take what i been given .

    2
  27. dazzman1979 5 months ago

    What did I say yesterday azz about call to action being worth a e/w punt on debut ! Just came in at 25/1 second place ! Lovely ! 💰😂

    3
    • dazzman1979 5 months ago

      It would of win if tudhope was on board 😂

      1
    • dazzman1979 5 months ago

      He won’t be 25/1 next time !

      1
    • azzthewigan 5 months ago

      Yup you did call it mate well done

  28. dazzman1979 5 months ago

    One for 2 Moro

    3:10 naas – pana to Milan – 10/1 e/w 5 places

    1
  29. azzthewigan 5 months ago

    Dr Rio 6.00 ew

  30. azzthewigan 5 months ago

    did have Maidstone utd in a football acca so everything else is gravy

  31. azzthewigan 5 months ago

    Lewis Barnes 6.15 ew

  32. azzthewigan 5 months ago

    Lewis Barnes 6.15 ew

  33. azzthewigan 5 months ago

    and …angel amedia 6.30 ew

  34. azzthewigan 5 months ago

    and.crystal cascue 6.45 ew

  35. dazzman1979 5 months ago

    Always one that lets you down ! Bloody bowood useless 😂

    1
  36. dazzman1979 5 months ago

    Race 6 laurel park – Kentucky reign 9/2 – jump on this one red eye ! 💰💰🥳

    1
  37. dazzman1979 5 months ago

    Gonna show our mate frankie some love stateside he’s on the fav lunar impact @ 5/2 Santa Anita race 7 could think of worse horses to have a punt on !

    • dazzman1979 5 months ago

      Foolish to over look they say 😂

  38. georgie41 5 months ago

    Don’t go near all weather racing most corrupt racing in Britain take heed

    2
    • dazzman1979 5 months ago

      We all know it’s bent . Waste of time spending hours studying form when the best horses usually never win anyway . Take Rizzel flat out studying gets you nowhere 😂 blind fold and a dart board is far more reliable 😂😂⚰️ The more you play the more you lose simple .

      2
  39. recoba 5 months ago

    🇺🇸
    One tip last night won at 9/2 with Dettori being the difference I’d say at Santa Anita. He’s a couple decent shouts tonight but take this ex G1 winner in Brazil who’s only ran twice in the USA. Last run was a good 2nd at the start of December. The form was franked by the winner going out and winning well on his next run in 150k Stakes race.
    This a G3 so reds to improve but so will the rest.

    Aquaduct Race 8…Evidencias 7/2. ***+
    Side bet Ccombo forecast 2 -5-6 *+

    GL and well done any winners today 👍

    • dazzman1979 5 months ago

      Race 5 Santa Anita- uncharted 13/2 💰💰🥇🥇

    • dazzman1979 5 months ago

      Race 9 Santa Anita- Irish prophet 7/2

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