MFT RacingTips Safe 06

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What a lovely, progressive horse Lowry's Bar is. He landed the four-timer at Chepstow yesterday and his jumping was immaculate and quick. He'll stay further than yesterday's trip and he could be a live player for some big handicaps in the spring.

Gowran Park 2:15 – Thedevilscoachman 13/8 (1pt)

This is going to be a very strong stamina test as heavy ground around Gowran Park normally sees horses crawling at the finish, and the horse I felt would deal with that the best is Thedevilscoachman.

I stuck up Thedevilscoachman a couple of weeks ago when I decided to take on Sir Gerhard, which proved to be the wrong decision, but he didn't run poorly and I felt like it was a decent effort with him running over hurdles for the first time since 2022. That race was over 2m 3f on heavy ground, so his finishing position over Ashdale Bob can't be cemented as today's trip over the extended 3m asks different questions, but I do feel like Thedevilscoachman is the better horse between those two and it's worrying if you are a backer of Ashdale Bob as Jack Kennedy is off him, as even though he is the stable jockey for Gordon Elliott, if he felt like Ashdale Bob had the better chance, he'd be riding him.

My selection handles the ground very well and has shown he stays the trip when winning at Limerick in a Grade 3 over fences. He has attempted further in one of the national races but his jumping over fences has let it down on a few occasions, so I think the recent return to hurdles is a positive as he is more efficient with his jumping.

Monkfish is an interesting runner after yet another reasonable layoff. He's now a 10yo, and with him big entries at Cheltenham I really doubt they'll be asking for 100% from him today, and this will more than likely be a stepping stone. With that being said, his form from his novice hurdling and novice chase seasons isn't that good and maybe he has been overhyped over the years?

Gowran Park 2:50 – Glengouly 8/1 (0.5pt EW, WilliamHill 6pl)

Paul Townend did me a favour when giving Carefully Selected a brilliant ride to win this race last year and I'm hoping he knows something that we don't know by choosing Glengouly as his pick for this race.

Glengouly has a lot to prove over today's trip as he has never been over anywhere near this distance, so it's very surprising to see Paul Townend opt to ride him over some of his stablemates in this race and they must have a very strong feeling that this horse is going to run a big race.

This horse is still very lightly raced as a chaser with just 5 runs to his name which has seen him record a nice win at the start of his chasing career when giving away 7lbs to Telmesomethinggirl. His form didn't stay at that level on his next three starts, but his return to racing last time out at Limerick in a Listed handicap chase which saw him finish 2nd off top weight was a nice run and will have put him on a nice path for today's race.

Willie Mullins has won this race 5x in the last 10 years.

Huntingdon 3:10 – Brides Hill 11/8 (2pt, WilliamHill)

Brides Hill won't be trading at a great price, but I think she should win and win this with a bit to spare.

On ratings, she should only have one danger and that comes from Pink Legend, who beat a decent Skelton horse at Newbury two runs ago. However, whenever Gavin Cromwell sends his horses over and gets one of his lads to ride them, he means business. Gavin won this race last year with Jeremys Flame and she won last year's renewal in taking fashion, slamming Pink Legend in the process. Brides Hill is 2lb higher rated than Jeremys Flame, and her form when battering Telmesomethinggirl in a Listed race stands out to me as very good form, and we all know deep down that the Irish horses are just a lot better than the UK lot, shown by when they pull our pants down every year at Cheltenham.

The ground and trip will be fine for Brides Hill and she will be fine for fitness as she won on her comeback last time out when she carries top weight of 11st 12lbs to a handicap win, producing an RPR of 150 in the process, which is higher than anyting Pink Legend has produced from her 25+ chase starts, so she'd have to put in arguably a career best to win this race off top weight.

Horse Racing Tips
Thedevilscoachman
Gowran Park - 2:15 pm

13/8 @ Bet365

Glengouly
Gowran Park - 2:50 pm

8/1 @ William Hill

Brides Hill
Huntingdon - 3:10 pm

11/8 @ William Hill

25 Comments
  1. Avatar of Double carpet
    double carpet 10 months ago

    Rizzle
    Glengouly ran over 3m in Feb last year when pulling up in a grade 2 but I agree with Mullins record in the race and being Townend’s choice has to be considered so have had a saver on him.
    However I’m going to chance Frontal Assault at 14/1 who never runs a bad race and by Presenting who has sired the most winners of the race. He will relish conditions and did beat the fav giving him 7lbs back in 2021 when they met in a grade 3 over hurdles.

    BOL

    3
    • Avatar of Elvis Parsley
      elvis parsley 10 months ago

      I’m on dunboyne with fatty Elliott’s stable jockey, Kennedy on in the 2-50 gowran park 🇮🇪
      2nd in this last year,
      Then 4th in the Kim Muir at Cheltenham, and had a good pipe opener 4th of 20 in the troytown, 6 lengths ahead of frontal assault in 5th.
      Also won here Nov 2022 on heavy ground.

      2
    • Avatar of Elvis Parsley
      elvis parsley 10 months ago

      Dunboyne odds 7-1 ew 6 places

    • Avatar of Double carpet
      double carpet 10 months ago

      Frontal Assault must have lost a leg or something, out to 25/1 now.
      Doesn’t look promising but at least the horse doesn’t know the price.

      2
  2. Avatar of Gateacre Pete
    Gateacre Pete 10 months ago

    Roumoursareflying 1.25 Hunt
    Small stakes ew extra @ 30s top 6
    Pam Sly’s only runner on the card
    GL

    3
    • Avatar of Jayell61
      Jayell61 10 months ago

      100/1 4th. Well done Pete but as usual I missed it

      1
    • Avatar of Gateacre Pete
      Gateacre Pete 10 months ago

      👍

  3. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 10 months ago

    that’s my seat 11.52 France

  4. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 10 months ago

    that’s my seat 11.52 France

  5. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 10 months ago

    ya and tsar bomba 12.10 turfontain

  6. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 10 months ago

    sir busker 1.00 ew well done all winners yesterday

  7. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 10 months ago

    haget 12.27 ew France

    1
  8. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 10 months ago

    Lord Normandy 12.25

  9. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 10 months ago

    non stop 12.50 ew

  10. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 10 months ago

    diamond doller 1.05 ew

  11. Avatar of Elvis Parsley
    elvis parsley 10 months ago

    Farouk d’Alene 2-15 gowran park.
    6-1 ew 2 places.

    Not a great field is it, maybe a return to its form of 2 years ago give this a chance, ran well last time giving lumps away and losing by a neck

    1
    • Avatar of Elvis Parsley
      elvis parsley 10 months ago

      Non runner 🤣

      1
  12. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 10 months ago

    the fairy man 1.40 ew

  13. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 10 months ago

    hard frost 2.00 nap

  14. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 10 months ago

    inexplicable 2.10 nb

  15. Avatar of Gateacre Pete
    Gateacre Pete 10 months ago

    Kapamazov 2.35 Hunt
    30s top 7 ew extra
    GL

    1
    • Avatar of Elvis Parsley
      elvis parsley 10 months ago

      Well done again Pete 6th 👍

      1
    • Avatar of Gateacre Pete
      Gateacre Pete 10 months ago

      👍

  16. Avatar of Gateacre Pete
    Gateacre Pete 10 months ago

    Last one for today
    Exponential 4.45 New
    25s top 5 ew extra
    GL

    1
  17. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 10 months ago

    shabaaby 6.45 ew well done all winners today

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