MFT RacingTips Safe 03

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Another couple of runner-ups from Saturday and a third-place horse who belted one heavily before turning for home, which cost her the chance of getting closer. 

Casual Observer was as big as 22/1 just a few minutes before the start of his race, but he ran better than the eventual 16/1 odds he was sent off at. Prince Quali was well-supported, was keen to post, jumped the best in the race but didn't stay on strong enough to reel the winner in. As I mentioned at the start, Don't Rightly So belted a hurdle which costed her plenty of lengths and was a big check to the momentum. She rallied late on, but probably would've finished 2nd if it wasn't for that mistake, as I don't think the winner was for beating.

Plumpton 2:15 – Eldorado Allen 11/4 (1pt, PaddyPower)

It's strange to see 10yo Eldorado Allen over hurdles, as he's been kept to fences since 2020 and you can't really question that decision as he has run some cracking races and won some nice pots along the way. However, it's a no brainer to come here with him as the prize of £39,023 to the winner is a great pot to land and despite being a 10yo, he still has the ability and I think he is an interesting runner back over hurdles.

Towards the bottom the weights you have horses who have to prove they can race at this level, so the likes of Transmission and Ramo are a no for me. Mario De Pail is a strange one. I thought he was bound to win a race soon, but his run at Ffos Las was appalling and you cannot be backing him on the back of that. Hititi is probably the danger horse as he is still unexposed at this trip, has won three of the last five and ran nicely at Ascot last time out behind a low weighted rival. But, for me, Eldorado Allen is the class horse in the race and he proved that when finishing 4th in the Coral gold Cup at the start of December, finishing behind some younger and progressive staying chasers.

It is evident that he isn't the horse he once was from a couple of years ago, but that recent effort at Newbury and the 3rd placed effort at Ascot in a Grade 3 showed he is still fighting at a decent level and this is definitely a drop in class. He was a decent hurdler from back in the day and those runs came over 2m which in hindsight was never going to be his ideal trip as he stays very well. But he was 152 rated at his peak, so his mark of 143 which is 138 as Freddie Gingell takes off 5lbs makes him a decent bet for Sunday.

Plumpton 2:50 – Gold Clermont 7/1 (0.5pt EW, WilliamHill 4pl)

There are quite a few horses in this race that I've tipped up over recent years and a couple who I've tipped up in recent months, but I landed on Gold Clermont to land the Sussex National.

This is a cracking race, but I felt like going for the unexposed horse at the trip which Gold Clermont is. He probably was in the grips of the handicapper when running over 3m as he struggled to win a race before his most recent win, but he ran well in defeat. He ran a good race on seasonal debut, before romping home at Fakenham on his first attempt at 3m 5f and on that performance, this type of race looks a great race for him. I like the Fakenham form, not the horses he's beaten, but more of the track as we already know he likes Plumpton, but to stay 3m 5f at Fakenham which is a very similar track to Plumpton was an ideal prep for today's race. He was cruising around Fakenham, glided through the soft ground like it wasn't testing and then stayed on when Sean Bowen asked him to win his race, so I believe there's more to come from him and he should have a decent chance now upped in class.

Sean Bowen is injured so Philip Armson takes the ride and takes off a further 3lbs from the already low racing weight of 10st 5lbs, meaning he is running off bottom weight, which is a help on soft ground in staying contests.

Rose Of Arcadia was the one who I think will end up going off as favourite due to the recent 3rd at Listed level in a Mares race. I tipped her up the time before over 3m 3f at Cheltenham and I thought she had a great chance, but she ran a stinker, so I do question whether she can cut it against the male horses, or whether she's just meant to be racing against the mares.

Related Topic: Racing Tips
Horse Racing Tips
Eldorado Allen
- 2:15 pm

11/4 @ PaddyPower

Gold Clermont
- 2:50 pm

7/1 @ William Hill

49 Comments
  1. Avatar of Darren Sawyer
    dazzman1979 11 months ago

    1:45 plumpton walks like the man 4/1

    3:10 naas pana to Milan 10/1 e/w 5 places to bail you out should it all go wrong 😂

    2
    • Avatar of Darren Sawyer
      dazzman1979 11 months ago

      1:30 naas – by the same token 15/2 e/w

    • Avatar of Darren Sawyer
      dazzman1979 10 months ago

      12:45 plumpton- nachtgeist 7/2

    • Avatar of Darren Sawyer
      dazzman1979 10 months ago

      Walks like the man does the business ! 🥇🥇🥇

  2. Avatar of Darren Sawyer
    dazzman1979 10 months ago

    3:40 naas – shuttle diplomacy 5/2 – these silks / trainer won for me yesterday at cork with d art dart at a decent price . Decent jockey on board might be worth mixing into an accumulator if there on a roll probably jiiiinxed it now 😂 never mind it’s only money !

    1
  3. Avatar of Darren Sawyer
    dazzman1979 10 months ago

    Why is it all the regular punters at the bookies got filthy disgusting trainers 😂 obviously can’t be doing that well by the looks of things 😂 they think there up because they been given 4 free cups of dragon breath dog shit coffee when in reality those coffees have cost them a few hundred quid 😂😂 get down the whore house and blow your money wisely 😂

    2
    • Avatar of Recoba
      recoba 10 months ago

      You sound like your a regular in there Dazzman to be noticing all that? 😂
      Is a bit true with some of ours,think I was in a handful of times in 2023 but auld boys and others bread and butter.

  4. Avatar of Recoba
    recoba 10 months ago

    That last bit rhymes ⬆️ admit it!

    • Avatar of Darren Sawyer
      dazzman1979 10 months ago

      I like going into betting shops as long as nobody starts trying to talk to me 😂 soon as you become chatty they do your head in every time you go in or you got those loud idiots who think they are commentators or your watching your race and want to chew your ear off vile scum 😂

      1
    • Avatar of Darren Sawyer
      dazzman1979 10 months ago

      RECOBA IS IN A COMA FROM SMOKING TO MUCH CRACK AROUND THE BACK OF THE BOOKIES WHERE HE LIVES WITH NO RELATIVES TO LOVE AND PROTECT HIM AND STOP HIM FROM BETTING AND THROWING HIS LIFE AWAY AND SELLING HIS ASS TO A GAY !!! Now that rhymes 😂😂💰

      1
  5. Avatar of Double carpet
    double carpet 10 months ago

    Verdant Place 1.30 Naas

    Price shortening all the time. This horse is thrown in. Won’t go into too much detail but he finished ahead of Genois last Oct off levels and gets a stone off him today.
    Previous wins though did come over further so not too sure how he will get on back at 2m but he opened 14/1 and is now as low as 7/2 so plenty of money down.

    In the Lawlors of Naas I haven’t had a bet yet but if I do I think I’ll go for An Tobar at the prices. Will relish the step up in trip and the form of the Royal Bond is looking strong form now.
    Well done to all winners yesterday

    BOL

    3
  6. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 10 months ago

    firefox 2.00 well done all winners yesterday

  7. Avatar of Gateacre Pete
    Gateacre Pete 10 months ago

    Irish Impulse 2.35
    33s ew extra for top 10
    GL

    2
  8. Avatar of Double carpet
    double carpet 10 months ago

    3.10 Circus Act 14/1 ew 5 places

  9. Avatar of Elvis Parsley
    elvis parsley 10 months ago

    Oxygen 1-15 plumpton 5-2 NAP 🏇

    • Avatar of Darren Sawyer
      dazzman1979 10 months ago

      I’ve taken a chance on scar face in this one . Top film 😂🤞

      2
    • Avatar of Darren Sawyer
      dazzman1979 10 months ago

      Easy 💰🥇😂

      2
    • Avatar of Darren Sawyer
      dazzman1979 10 months ago

      Ran out of oxygen I reckon 😂

      2
  10. Avatar of Darren Sawyer
    dazzman1979 10 months ago

    1/4 shot gets beaten 10 lengths ! Only In Ireland 😂 who the hell would bet on 1/4 on a animal and bent jockey god only knows 😂

  11. Avatar of Super Wilf
    Super Wilf 10 months ago

    Naas abandoned

    • Avatar of Darren Sawyer
      dazzman1979 10 months ago

      That’s ok more money to chuck away at Wolverhampton later 😂😂

  12. Avatar of Darren Sawyer
    dazzman1979 10 months ago

    2:15 plumpton- hi titi 4/1 💰🎯🥊🥇

    • Avatar of Darren Sawyer
      dazzman1979 10 months ago

      Well at least it placed I suppose 😂

  13. Avatar of Darren Sawyer
    dazzman1979 10 months ago

    Walks like the man 😂💰💰💰🍻 got on at 4/1 lovely !

  14. Avatar of Darren Sawyer
    dazzman1979 10 months ago

    Probably jinxing it now but I’ve also done zacony rebel at 3:55 plumpton 9/1 so quite backable at a each price fingers crossed 🤞 will no doubt end up with egg on my face but it’s what I’ve done so to late now 😂

  15. Avatar of Darren Sawyer
    dazzman1979 10 months ago

    2:50 plumpton- iceo Madrik 20/1 e/w

    • Avatar of Darren Sawyer
      dazzman1979 10 months ago

      Pretty much what you would expect from a 20/1 shot haha 😂

      1
  16. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 10 months ago

    shaws cross 3.25 ew

  17. Avatar of Darren Sawyer
    dazzman1979 10 months ago

    10p lucky 31 Wolverhampton

    5:00 – further measure 17/2

    5:30 – wind crack 6/1

    6:00 – simyann 10/1

    7:30 – moon flight 15/2

    8:30 – della mare 9/2

    Let’s see how much of a return £3.10 will get me if any at all 😂

    1
    • Avatar of SPURS55
      spurs55 10 months ago

      Not ew dazzman?

      Already on the first one so good luck 🤞

      1
    • Avatar of Darren Sawyer
      dazzman1979 10 months ago

      Na I’ve only invested 3:10 so it don’t matter how things play out but yeah e/w would of been wiser ! Got my eyes on 2 Moro now ! 😂💰🥇

      2
  18. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 10 months ago

    hail the flag 5.30 ew from the family of stradivarius not that will make any difference on the carpet racing

    2
  19. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 10 months ago

    probs entered it by mistake pmsl

  20. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 10 months ago

    award dancer 6.00 ew well done all winners today

    1
  21. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 10 months ago

    Ernie’s Valentine 6.30 ew

    • Avatar of Darren Sawyer
      dazzman1979 10 months ago

      That trainer jockey combo seem to be doing ok lately ! Good luck 👍

      1
    • Avatar of albert rose
      azzthewigan 10 months ago

      yup cheers dazzman 1979

  22. Avatar of Darren Sawyer
    dazzman1979 10 months ago

    Hayley turner please retire and stop embarrassing yourself 😂

    1
  23. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 10 months ago

    Wasn’t stradivarius but did place

    • Avatar of Darren Sawyer
      dazzman1979 10 months ago

      Archie Watson Hollie Doyle parntnership always worth keeping an eye on . Nice place money for your selection

      2
    • Avatar of albert rose
      azzthewigan 10 months ago

      yup cheers dazzman 1979

  24. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 10 months ago

    yup see what you mean aboute moideres in the bookies this said to have you any tips so I said yes don’t eat yellow snow im out of here for fook sake

    • Avatar of Darren Sawyer
      dazzman1979 10 months ago

      There are some really annoying people In bookies ! I hate the ones that come in and don’t place any bets and just stand there barking at the screens and the results like they have been putting money down . To be fair the William hill tippers they use aren’t to bad they seem to know there stuff ! Yeah what you see some folk slap down on the counter they could buy some new shoes ! 😂 and the dickheads who win a few hundred stand in the middle of the bookies counting it so everyone can. See like it’s something that always happens we all know it’s back in the bookies hands a few days later 😂

      1
    • Avatar of albert rose
      azzthewigan 10 months ago

      ya and you get some and they seem to have backed every winner the hells that aboute it’s like one flew over the cookoos nest in there pmsl

  25. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 10 months ago

    chap

    • Avatar of Darren Sawyer
      dazzman1979 10 months ago

      Yeah that’s why sometimes betting on the apps is better . Interesting watching those mugs on the one armed bandits now that’s even worse than grey hounds !!! At least with horse they can’t stop you from winning when you hit a bit of form

      1
  26. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 10 months ago

    the bloke still looking what race it’s in pmsl

  27. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 10 months ago

    al marmar 7.00 ew

  28. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 10 months ago

    savahnna smiles 8.00 ew was only out a few days ago as come back out a bit rapid

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