Monday’s Racing Tips – Mark Winn can spark Young Fire back to life in Class 6 company at Ayr

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We were left with three selections on Sunday as one of Rizzel's tips was announced as a non-runner. Ultimately it was a losing day as neither of the remaining selections were able to get the job done. 

Songo was ridden prominently by Harry Cobden throughout the race but found very little when push came to shove and he plugged on to finish fourth. Fever Dream I thought was a winner in waiting, and he traded as short as 1/4 in running. The eventual winner came out of nowhere and stormed home to win comfortably in the end. Rizzel's only selection of the day finished second. I thought Celandine looked the most likely winner when approaching the 2 pole but the eventual winner battled back and outstayed his selection in the final stages.

Cairnzy's Tips

Alfa Kellenic 2/1 – Ayr 3.28

My first selection for Monday's racing comes in the shape of the Craig Lidster trained Alfa Kellenic. She faces her hardest task to date when contesting in this class 3 event, but arrives in the form of her life and there's no reason why she can't take this step up in class in her stride.

Alfa Kellenic started of her racing career on the AW and was stuck to the artificial surface for her first three runs. She showed signs of ability on her first two outings before getting off the mark at the third attempt of asking when impressively winning at Newcastle by 4L. My selection was then given a break of 142 days before making her return to the track last month at Thirsk. She made a successful return at Thirsk, winning again with the minimum of fuss by two and a quarter lengths.

Alfa Kellenic continued her form on the turf, most recently when landing a decent look handicap at York by two and a quarter lengths. She beat home a recent losing tip on my end in Flaccianello, Flaccianello is rated in the high 80s and went down by three and a quarter lengths that day to the Kevin Ryan trained Room Service. I was initially disappointed in the run by Flaccianello, but looking back now, it wasn't a bad effort considering Room Service is rated much higher and had been competing with credit in higher grades in recent times. I'd say the form reads not too badly for a race of this nature.

Alka Kellenic has been raised 9lb for that recent York success but still looks ahead of her mark in my opinion. There still looks more to come from my selection and there's every reason to believe she can take this step up in class in her stride.

Mezzo Soprano 2/1 – Windsor 7.20

You can find yourself coming back to old selections in this game quite regularly, sometimes it pays off and sometimes it doesn't. I tipped up Mezzo Soprano last month on her reappearance at Thirsk, to which she let me down by finishing second, half a length of the eventual winner Mereside Diva. Looking back, It was a risk to tip up a horse after a 249-day break, but I was confident that the layoff would be no issue and the horse had shown great form prior when arriving there unbeaten after three runs.

My selection is now a four-year-old but remains a lightly raced filly having only started her racing career as a three-year-old. She only made three appearances last year but showed ability on all three outings which resulted in her winning three on the bounce. I mentioned in my previous write-up that her most recent victory was the one that caught my eye the most. It was on handicap debut at Kempton last October and she showed a nice turn of foot to go clear within the final furlong. I thought she hit the line hard that day and looked like she had more left in the tank. The form of that run has also worked out well, with the second, third and fifth all winning races since.

She was raised 6lb for that Kempton success but was unable to follow up on her reappearance at Thirsk. I'll not blabber on about the Thirsk run as I've already touched on it, but I feel she's worth another roll of the dice in this race. She should arrive here much sharper after a recent outing and in the grand scheme of things, going down by half a length that day to Mereside Diva wasn't the worst effort, considering that one was in decent nick and also race fit.

Rizzel's Tips

Young Fire 5/1 – Ayr 2.53

Young Fire was once a very good handicapper for David O'Meara, but at the age of nine, his ability isn't anywhere near as good as it used to be. However, he has been running consistently well over the last month or so and he looks on the verge of winning a race, so now he has been dropped back into a Class 6 it looks like the right time to catch him.

David O'Meara's horse is versatile with the ground but has always been better on the slower surfaces, so his run fourth-placed effort the time before last on good to firm behind Jumeira Vision is a good indicator of the form he is in. The horse I've just mentioned is in today's race and is carrying a 5lb penalty for winning on the weekend, which means that Young Fire is 3lb lower than him in the weights as Mark Winn takes off 3lbs. When they previously met, Young Fire had to concede 11lbs to Jumiera, so the 14lbs swing in the weights put my selection firmly in the driver's seat to beat him and win this race. The ground isn't as quick as when that pair met, which will suit my fancy a lot more, and given how well Young Fire ran in a Class 5 race last time out, which saw him produce an RPR of 72 (+9lbs to his official rating), he surely is the one to beat.

He seems to handle the track with no problems, as we saw when he finished second to a very well-handicapped Irish raider who has since finished second in a Class 3 at today's venue off an 11lb higher mark than when they met. My main concern is the style of ride that this horse tends to get, as he is normally held up at the rear of the field, but he normally gets that type of ride when David Noonan is in the saddle, so hopefully, Mark gets a prominent position and gets us a clear run.

Global Humor 11/2 – Ayr 4.35

I think there are reasons to take on the in form horses in this race at Ayr, and the one I thought could run well was Global Humor.

At the top of the market, you have Code Purple and Makalu. The former won last time out at Musselburgh and has since gone up 6lbs in the handicap, which will make life a lot tougher for him this time around. He wasn't deemed to be the strongest of the Haslam pair at Musselburgh, with Code Purple sporting the second silks for the owner and went off close to double the price of his stablemate, so sprung a bit of a surprise. I think he got an easy lead in his race last time out and got a lot in his favour, but off a higher mark, he might struggle. Makalu has some good form, with the run behind Garden Oasis being the stand-out piece of form in this race, but I don't think the drop to 7f will be suited, as he finishes off his races strongly over further.

I latched onto Global Humor who has some horrific numbers next to his form, but off a mark of 50 back at his favourite track, I thought he deserved a chance and was more than enticing at his odds. Most of his best form has come over 7f and at this track, so it's a positive that he is running over this trip again after not seen at this trip on turf since going off 11/8F back in May. The blindfold came off very late in that race, he had an awkward start and the race was chalked from the get-go. However, the time before at Ayr over 6f, that reads well in this level of race. The winner went on to win three more times on the bounce after that win over Global Humor is now rated 75 (18lbs higher than when they met). Once again, it was a poor start by my selection that day and he managed to get rolling too late into the race, where he got second and was running down for the first spot.

I'm not Paul Mulrennan's biggest fan, but he has been on board this horse for all six of this horse's turf wins, so having him in the saddle is a huge plus.

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