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Firebird didn't seem up to the task on her first start of the season, and it's even more frustrating that Paddy Twomey had a winner in the Listed race just after, as I was also looking at that one.

It's probably best to go with your gut when it comes to racing and having a bet, and I do try and stick to that, but sometimes I second-guess myself. Thankfully, the horse which did win wasn't massive odds, but it's still not great to miss out.

Rizzel's tips

Barefoot Warrior 5/4 – Redcar 3.27

I'm going to give the UK flat racing a crack for Monday's racing. The first horse I like the look of is Barefoot Warrior from the David O'Meara stable.

There are a few older horses who are on attractive marks and can easily return to form, but I think it's best to go with a progressive horse who could be ahead of the handicapper and that's why I decided to opt for Barefoot Warrior.

My selection is two from three and is making his handicap debut off a mark of 87. This handicap mark doesn't make this easy on his seasonal reappearance, but from what we've seen from this horse so far, he looks a nice prospect for David O'Meara and it would not surprise me if we see this lad competing in the big handicaps over a mile during the summers months at the big festivals.

The form of his races to date looks strong in comparison to today's opposition. He was behind Bobby Bennu and Germanic on his debut; both of those horses are rated 97 and 95, and even the horse back in fourth is rated in the mid-90s. Last time out at Newcastle he got up close to the line beating Baraq, and that horse has since won twice and finished as a runner-up on his latest start, now being 11lbs higher than when Barefoot Warrior beat him, and my selection was 7lbs heavier than him that day, so it rates as a smart performance. That day, he was also ahead of Classic Encounte,r who is in today's race and is effectively better off at the weights today, so it's hard to envisage a 3L swing from that horse today unless he really enjoys the ground/track.

Without Burlington 10/1 EW – Redcar 3.57

In theory, this race should be an easy day at the office for the 2/9 odds-on favourite Convergent, and it might be, but I did think Without Burlington offered value in the each-way market, with a place being definitely possible and a small chance of the upset.

What I've just said might sound ludicrous of an upset being on the cards, as my selection ran to an RPR of 45 on his racecourse debut back in December, and when you compare that to the favourite who recorded an RPR of 92, there is night and day between them. However, the favourite won on soft ground, which is extremely different from the conditions he faces today. The pedigree of Without Burlington also suggests he is much better than what he showed last time out.

He is by Without Parole and out of a mare who has produced Sea The Boss, a Group 3 winner on good ground over 10f for Jessica Harrington. He did attract a small amount of market support on his racecourse debut, but he was far too keen to showcase any of his ability, so with that experience under his belt, I think he can definitely show much more this time and on ground and over a trip which is sure to suit.

The rest of this field don't look great, so if he can run into the places at a bare minimum, it will secure a small amount of profit.

Kevin Philipart De Foy has a decent record at this track, which also gives the impression that they think he can run with credit.

Lechuga Lad 5/2 – Redcar 4.27

Though James Fanshawe's record at Redcar in the last five years has seen him record 0 winners, his overall record since he took out his licence reads at a 20% SR, so I thought his sole runner on the card was a good bet.

Kaiya Fraser takes the ride, and it's still daylight robbery that he can claim 3lbs, as he is a wonderful young prospect who is definitely a jockey to keep an eye on when his claim does go. I think he can go right to the top. He takes off 3lbs and puts Lechuga Lad onto a mark of 67, which makes this horse an attractive bet off an attractive mark for his first run on turf.

He should enjoy the step uip in trip, as he recorded a career best RPR of 75 when stepped up to the extended 1m 1f at Wolverhampton last month, and his pedigree would suggest this extra half furlong will be to his liking, as he is by Territories and is out of a mare who stayed 2m, so it is likely he will continue to go up in trip as the season progresses.

Related Topics: Racing Tips Redcar
Horse Racing Tips
Barefoot Warrior
Redcar - 3:27 pm

5/4 @ Bet365

Without Burlington
Redcar - 3:57 pm

10/1 EW @ Bet365

Lechuga Lad
Redcar - 4:27 pm

5/2 @ Bet365

21 Comments
  1. Avatar of Elvis Parsley
    elvis parsley 1 week ago

    File au poteau 12-55 compiegne 🇫🇷
    11-10 top 6 finish.
    Double your dough 😁….

    2
  2. Avatar of michael corkish
    mwc777 1 week ago

    Thanks elvis

    • Avatar of Elvis Parsley
      elvis parsley 1 week ago

      5th mate.
      Backed from 9-1 to 4-1 favourite.
      Glad I didn’t do each way on this occasion as it only paid 4 places.

      UK racing is dire today, typical Monday rubbish, the Redcar meeting particularly poor

      1
  3. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 1 week ago

    good to be alive 1.45 well done all winners yesterday

  4. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 1 week ago

    Peggy boo 1.57 ew

  5. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 1 week ago

    highl

    • Avatar of albert rose
      azzthewigan 1 week ago

      highland dancer 2.15

  6. Avatar of Recoba
    recoba 1 week ago

    🇺🇸
    Races at Keeneland due to rain so Friday and Saturday cards are shuffled giving us Grade 1-2-3 and listed races on a usually poor Monday 👏

    KEENENLAND -Race 2……Mission Of Joy *5/2* Nb
    From my notes/tracker and possibly vulnerable to lesser raced horses (he’s 15 times raced) but Irad Ortiz has won on him 4-5 times when on board
    Race 3…Shoot It True 2/1
    another from notes. The breaks a slight concern but with USA you can check workouts and looks raring to go and jockey Joel Rosario aboard for Wesley Ward looks notable as they never have so it’s probably just because he 6-13 last 30 days in Allowance races
    Race 5…Kapoor 3/1
    Race 8…Mi Bago 5/2 *Nap*
    Keeps getting better and going for 4 in a row after winning by 7-8 lengths last run. Irad Ortiz stays aboard which won’t hurt his chances of getting 4
    Reagents Whit looks most dangerous and Clock Tower @ 12/1 looks an Ew play
    Race 9…La Cara 15/2 Ew
    MAHONING VALLEY -Race 4…Epicurean EVS
    Race 6….Need To Know Basis 2/1

    All Bet365 and some may drift in price so there best used offering best odds 👍

    GL all 🫡 🇺🇸 🧑‍⚖️

    1
  7. Avatar of jon rickards
    a3780cd 1 week ago

    1700 Redcar

    Cuda been a rowlox 11/2

    4
    • Avatar of jon rickards
      a3780cd 1 week ago

      Won ✅

      5
  8. Avatar of jon rickards
    a3780cd 1 week ago

    1705 Wolverhampton

    Star of Jupiter 12/1 ew

    1
  9. Avatar of jon rickards
    a3780cd 1 week ago

    1735 Wolverhampton

    Strategic fortune 5/1

    5
    • Avatar of jon rickards
      a3780cd 1 week ago

      Won ✅

      3
  10. Avatar of Darren Sawyer
    dazzman1979 1 week ago

    6:00 kempton- Mr RIZZ !!! 5/2

    2
    • Avatar of Darren Sawyer
      dazzman1979 1 week ago

      Pooooor old rizzz !!!! 😂

      1
  11. Avatar of jon rickards
    a3780cd 1 week ago

    1810 Wolverhampton

    Radiant angel 9/1 ew 4 places

    2
    • Avatar of jon rickards
      a3780cd 1 week ago

      Placed 2nd ✅

      3
    • Avatar of jon rickards
      a3780cd 1 week ago

      Sp 16/1

      2
  12. Avatar of jon rickards
    a3780cd 1 week ago

    1830 kempton

    Atlantic gamble 8/1 ew

    1
  13. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 1 week ago

    jewel of London 7.30 ew well done all winners today

  14. Avatar of Darren Sawyer
    dazzman1979 1 week ago

    Solanna

    1

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