I could’ve run that race on foot yesterday (as could anyone reading this) and done no worse, such was the level of effort delivered by Antiphon. Back to the drawing board.
Windsor - 15:35 |
Hardy Du Seuil |
33/1 (each-way) |
On Friday, there’s a nice little card at Windsor, and it’s the 15:35 contest that has grabbed my attention.
I’ll start by saying that this is of course a competitive event, thus it doesn’t take much to work out that there are several holding reasonable claims. At big odds, I like the look of Hardy Du Seuil, who could quite easily outrun what is a sizable price tag.
At odds of 33/1, with four places on offer too, I’m going to put this one up as an each-way bet. Let’s see what happens.
Arrives for a trainer in fine form
Let’s be honest, Jamie Snowden has clearly been running an impressive operation of late, winning with four of his last six runners, while he’s also used the claim of William Featherstone to rather devastating effect too, making that particular booking look like a good one.
Sure, this horse has clearly had his issues, and those problems have prevented him from getting overly involved in a racing sense over the last couple of seasons, though he showed plenty of positive signs when returning from a 237-day break to finish second at Carlisle last time out.
It’s not as if he’s poorly handicapped either. Featherstone’s 7 lb claim leaves this horse essentially sitting 1 lb below the mark that he won from when landing a Class 2 prize at Sandown over this trip back in early 2023, so he has positive form in races of this nature.
If we look at his latest effort at Carlisle, then it’s not ridiculous to suggest that he could be a bigger player here than the early odds suggest. Let’s face it, that race has already produced a subsequent Class 2 winner, while it’s reasonable to expect Snowden’s runner to improve for that reappearance.
It’s also worth mentioning that most of this lad’s best efforts have come around this time of year, with his best ever performance coming in January. He has ideal underfoot conditions to tackle too.
Am I slightly crazy for napping a 33/1 shot? Quite possibly, but as anyone who has read this page a couple of times will know, I’m not here to write about horses that are already well fancied. Nobody needs that. Anyway, 33/1 looks too big as far as I’m concerned, so anyone looking for a decent value each-way poke is encouraged to get involved at such a price.
Based on a £10 level-stakes example, the Nap of the Day (after 83 Naps) has a running P/L of +£45.00 (since switching to being published here (10/09/2024) rather than on the ‘Nap of the Day' page).
For those interested, here’s a monthly profit and loss breakdown (again based on a £10 level-stakes example):
September 2024 = +£34.00
October 2024 = +£6.00
November 2024 = +£15.00
December 2024 = +£50.00
2024 Overall = +105.00