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Having been quite well supported in the betting, Tuesday’s Nap certainly ran with credit, though he took a little too long to warm to the task and by the time he did, the bird had flown, leaving Final Edgar to finish a staying-on third.
| Lingfield - 15:57 |
Suanni |
14/1 (each-way) |
I’m back at it on Friday, and it’s Lingfield’s all-weather card that grabs my attention. Specifically, I’m interested in the 15:57 contest, ahead of which Suanni stands out as a decent bet at odds of 14/1, which are worth taking each way.
It’s fair to say that this lad has knocked on the door of late, placing not once but twice at Wolverhampton, going close in races not dissimilar to this. A repeat of his latest effort now returned to the scene of one of his previous wins would likely see him go much closer than odds of 14/1 suggest he should.
Pleasing runs under this claimer aren’t out of the ordinary
5 lb claimer Liam Wright, who helps the gelding to sit right at the foot of the weights, is in the saddle today and not for the first time. In fact, in recent times, when Wright has taken the ride, the six-year-old tends to go well.
Having raced in the hands of Liam Wright five times since 2023, Suanni has won once, placed twice and finished close-up in fourth and fifth. From this mark or lower, the gelding has only failed to hit the frame once under this jockey, which is interesting.
A previous C&D winner, the Daryll Holland-trained runner wasn’t beaten far when he last raced at this venue. He’s down 1 lb since too, while Wright’s claim leaves him much better off at the weights. Prior to his course-and-distance success in April of last year, he also went close over C&D from a considerably higher mark, so he’s certainly not without relevant form.
The early favourite for this race is Midnightattheoasis, who has won each of his last two, but I’d absolutely argue that he’s far too short. After all, his win last time out was far from convincing, while he’s up in the weights here. Moreover, when the pair last met, Suanni finished in front, so the disparity in pricing here seems a bit inaccurate.
All things considered, we’re talking about a runner that ticks a few too many boxes for odds of 14/1 not to be thought of as generous. Each-way bettors looking for value should get involved at such odds.
Based on a £10 level-stakes example, the Nap of the Day (after 106 Naps) has a running P/L of -£78.00 (since switching to being published here (10/09/2024) rather than on the ‘Nap of the Day' page).
For those interested, here’s a monthly profit and loss breakdown (again based on a £10 level-stakes example):
September 2024 = +£34.00
October 2024 = +£6.00
November 2024 = +£15.00
December 2024 = +£50.00
2024 Overall = +105.00
January 2025 = -£120.00
February 2025 = +£20.00
GambleAware
On this 👀 a great shout ☘️☘️👍
Like many of mine in recent weeks, what began as a great shout on paper ended in a no-show. Onwards and upwards :)