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If Wednesday’s bet ran poorly, Thursday’s run was a total shocker. It’s a tough game at times, but the goal remains the same as it always has. We’re looking to identify value based on solid reasoning. Let’s see what Friday brings.
| Uttoxeter - 17:05 |
Bridge Road |
12/1 |
On Friday, I’m off to Uttoxeter in search of a turnaround in fortunes. At the very least, I’m confident that I’ve found plenty of value for money in the form of Bridge Road, a horse available at what I can only describe as a very user-friendly price of 12/1 (at the time of writing on Thursday night).
Having not fired towards the end of last season and having offered little when reappearing at Worcester a month ago, the eight-year-old took a step back in the right direction with a respectable third at Perth just over three weeks ago. I wouldn’t be surprised if he went forward again.
Undoubtedly a horse that is well handicapped
Dropped another 1 lb in the weights, sitting 13 lbs below his last winning mark, 18 lbs below if we factor in William Shanahan’s 5 lb claim, the gelding is clearly well handicapped, there’s no doubting that.
In terms of trip, this is a step back down, and he’s dropping down to the minimum trip for the first time in a while. Positively, his last (and only) victory came over the minimum trip, while that win also came on good-to-soft.
It’s interesting to report that he’s won or placed in four of his last seven runs on good-to-soft ground, while he comes here for a trainer that has had her string in fine fettle recently.
Not only has Jennie Candlish won with a rather chunky 30.77% of her runners in the last fortnight, but she’s won with 33.33% of her runners at Uttoxeter in the last year, winning and placing with 50%. Uttoxeter is also the venue where Candlish has saddled the most winners.
Sure, this horse hasn’t won for a while and he hasn’t seriously knocked on the door for a while either, but he has several pieces of form that suggest he’d be capable of landing a serious blow in a race of this nature, especially as he sits at the foot of the weights.
Ranking very highly on both sets of speed figures that I use, Bridge Road simply ticks too many important boxes for 12/1 to not be taken. Such odds offer plenty of value for money, put it that way.
Based on a £10 level-stakes example, the Nap of the Day running profit is -£10.00 (since switching to being published here (10/09/2024) rather than on the ‘Nap of the Day' page).
Nobody ever wins betting it’s a mugs game . You may get yourself to £200 say then you ll go down then you ll go up then you ll go down then you ll go up round and round in circles when do actually stop to say right that’s enough profit I’ll quit now ? You never do you just go on and on plus doing singles you ll never get a decent amount of money an accumulator is the only way you will stand a chance of hitting the big one and then it will be worth Bowing out . Gambling is just a self imposed tax on your money ? I doubt any of the tippers out there own money down one there daily selections otherwise they would be broke if past performances are anything to go by ha ?
I agree I have gambled 20 plus years been up a few grand been down a few grand in a year it’s a addictive thing as alcohol,smoking,coffee etc is to people . I put 20 quid in a machine in hills once won 500 jackpot and half hour later collected 200 ha why I didn’t take 500 stupid we just get greedy