THE OPEN will be a straight shoot-out between Henrik Stenson and Phil Mickelson on the final day at Royal Troon.
Stenson, one of Ace Venturer's antepost picks, is now 8-11 favourite with McBookie and William Hill. If you backed him at 30-1 as Ace advised cover on Mickelson at 6-4 with William Hill or Paddy Power if you haven't done so.
While the Swede is the odds-on favourite he's yet to win a Major while Mickelson is a former Open champion so I wouldn't write off the American who is just one shot off the pace on 11 under.
Bill Haas in third looks too far behind on six under as it's unlikely both Stenson and Mickelson will collapse.
Anyone outside the top two is going to have to shoot 65 or 66 in difficult conditions to even be in contention. The best score on Saturday was 68 which shows how tough it was. One of the 68s came from Hayden Porteous who was out first on his own – picking up just three shots moved him from 81st and last to joint 25th.
That's why Haas is is 40-1 at Betfred and England's Andrew Johnston, in fourth on five under, is 80-1 with Stan James.
I was getting to like “Beef” but he beat my twoball treble with Jason Day a winner and Rory McIlroy void.
Sunday's treble starts with defending champion Zach Johnson to finish well and outscore senior star Miguel Angel Jimenez. Add Dustin Johnson to beat Kevin Na. Dustin would be there or thereabouts if he hadn't lost about four balls. One hole – the dreaded 11th – prevented him from shooting another low score yesterday.
And finally take big-hitting Tony Finau who has made a massive impression in his first Open. He goes out near the end of the day and is up against Soren Kjeldsen who played well yesterday but couldn't buy a putt in a round of 75.
All of mine and Ace's outright bets made the cut and he still has Stenson for the win and Sergio Garcia and Patrick Reed fighting for places. They are joint ninth on two under.
Twoballs Treble
Z Johnson (1.05pm)
D Johnson (1.25pm)
Finau (2.05pm)
(11-2, McBookie, BetVictor)
Mr Fixit's Outright Bets
2.5pts win D Johnson
(9-1, McBookie, William Hill)
1.5pts ew Garcia
(28-1, McBookie)
1.5pts ew Scott
(25-1, Betfred)
1pt Westwood top English
(13-2, Stan James)
1pt Montgomerie top Scottish
(13-2, Betfred)
Ace Venturer's Outright Bets
3pts win Dustin Johnson (William Hill, 9-1)
1.5pts ew Sergio Garcia (Betway, 25-1)
1.5pts ew Henrik Stenson (Coral, 30-1)
1.5pts ew Patrick Reed (888Sport, 70-1)
1.5pts ew Russell Knox (Betfred, 100-1)
Resident football tipster at Scotland's most read newspaper, the Daily Record, for over 20 years and proud host of one the best betting communities on the web with daily betting tips.
Let’s watch my bets fall apart
Stenson e/w 28/1
Mickelson top 10 9/2
Garcia e/w 25/1
Matsuyama e/w 66/1
Stenson is a swede not a dane
Ah Potato – patato
Just Like Ace and Mr Fixit all my tips made the cut even my 150/1 shot Chappell although a top 20 looks highly unlikely. My NAP was downed the weather didn’t help as my selections were playing in the worst conditions.
My NB was Garcia to make top 20, I gave you the reasoning’s behind the tip and he is in good shape, a top 8 place would be a lovely bonus. I also tipped Stenson E/W and he is in good position to at least grab place money. I have advised my followers
to take the 6/4 on Mickleson just like ACE, how much you stake is down to how much of your potential winnings your willing to risk.
Kaymar is another tip who if he shoots low could grab a place as he sits at level par. All in all its going to be a great Sunday and hopefully a profitable one for me and Ace and anyone who followed.
Open E/W tips
Fowler 28/1
Scott 20/1
Kaymer 50/1
Stenson 30/1
Garcia 25/1
Chappell 125/1
(8 places Paddy Power)
Top 20 Finish
Garcia 6/5 Coral (NB 10PTS)
GL
Steven, was thinking about Kjeldsen. They even finished The Open coverage today with Sweet Dreams Are Made of This.
on stenson and a few other but not the big lefty fella,
so for cover bet doing a double
phil mickelson the open 6/4
jhonattan vegas barbasol championship 6/5
(some ^ name)
hopefully another good swede to add to the list??
long shot for the 4th round 2 balls
matt kuchar
rory mcllroy
Zach Johnson
dustin Johnson
Rafael Cabrera-bello
Sergio Garcia
tony finau
40/1
g l a
Evening one n all, Your man Max as tipped a 6/5, 25/1 and 30/1 Winner on a quite Sunday no such thing. I’m just back from the boozer.
I spoke of Sergio Garcia record at the open and made him my NB which landed at 6/5 and he landed my 25/1 E/W tip to go with Stenson at 30/1. Congrats to Ace who also had Stenson and I believe he tipped DJ in the last Major so that is quite some feat.
#bookiesbashed #bookiesfearmax
:-)
Max, myself and Ace tipped Garcia ew too but it’s not a 25-1 winner unfortunately.
Mine paid one quarter the odds.
that will do ace – got on the Henrik magnificent, and the Sergio ew
Well done to anyone who picked stenson.
Pleased I got ew with mickleson 40/1 and Hatton 125/1.
Let’s go for next week
Thanks guys and I agree with Craig well done to all of you who had Stenson, and even each way winners. The USPGA is in ten days time so I’m going for three Majors in a row.