ACE looking at four winners in five weeks when Kiradech Aphibarnrat started his final round with four birdies but he couldn’t sustain it and the 40-1 shot had to settle for third place as Victor Dubuisson too the spoils with a late birdie blitz.
That 10-1 winner meant it was a 5pt loss over the weekend – his first for some time. The European Tour's Final Series is in China this week at the Sheshan GC with the likes of Jordan Spieth, Dustin Johnson, Bubba Watson and quite a few others from the PGA Tour taking part so it looks like it’s going to be some tournament.
Ace writes: Just been looking at the betting and can’t believe Matthew Fitzpatrick is way out at around 50-1. Yes, he putted badly at the Turkish Airlines last week but also hit a 63 in the second round.
He’s one of the straightest hitters off the tee which is needed in China but even if he wasn’t, with the form he’s been in recently I would still back him. Last three tournaments averages are driving accuracy 74.8, GIR of 76.8 and putts per round of 29.1
With T9 his worst finish in the last four tournaments Chris Wood is another who is inn form. In fact in his last 16 rounds he’s been over 70 only three times. In those four tournaments his average driving accuracy was 67.9, with GIR 74.25 and putts per round of 28.9 which is impressive stuff.
It’s hard to believe Henrik Stenson hasn’t won this year. He’s had five seconds worldwide but that first win is still eluding him. His driving accuracy is just under 67% with GIR 79%, but with putts per round at about 31 that seems to be his main problem.
The big Swede has been a favourite of my for a number of years but his last win was at the DP World Tour Championship in Dubai in November last year so it would great to see him get back in the winner’s circle again. Worth a wee nibble.
In his four final tournaments of last season’s PGA Tour, Rickie Fowler had three seconds. His putting is not that great, just under 30 per round, but his other stats more than make up for it. His driving accuracy last season on the PGA Tour was 69.9% and GIR of 73.5% so if he can sink some putts he will be there or thereabouts.
Over the pond the Tour moves to the Country Club of Jackson where they host the Sanderson Farms Championship for the second time. There have been two rookie winners in the first three tournaments (Emiliano Grillo and Smylie Kaufman) and there could be another this week.
Two weeks ago at the Shriners I had a good look a Patton Kizzire. He was about 70-1 but I didn’t think two rookies would win on the trot so left him out – he finished second! He ended the Web.com season more than $200,000 ahead of second place and is one who could do something this weekend.
Please not Paddy Power are offering seven places on both tournaments.
Recommended bets
Matthew Fitzpatrick 1pt ew (50-1, Paddy Power)
Chris Wood 1pt ew (66-1, Betfred, William Hill)
Henrik Stenson 1.5pts ew (22-1, Skybet)
Rickie Fowler 1.5pts ew (20-1, Paddy Power, William Hill)
Patton Kizzire 2.5pts ew (20-1, Betfred)
Ace Venturer
CIMB..Fitzy..Grillo..Grace..Piercy
INDIA..Munson ..Ganjee..Groom.
Sandersons…Wilcox..Stanley..Kaufman..Stegmaier
Challenge Tour Final..Fox to win..Murray Sogaard Mcleary.
how do you get fitzpatrick 66-1 ew at 888sport? i can only see place at 12-1?
upswing, firstly every bookie offers win and place bets.
Secondly, on oddschecker Fitzpatrick is still quoted at 66-1 with 888sport, Unibet and 32Red.
Ace, Steve Palmer managed to tip Dubisson at 33/1. Hes hot right now and Im gonna take 2 of your selections along with one of his.
Best of luck!
or straight win
In Sanderson I fancy M Thompson and Andrew Loupe
Cooldude who is steve palmer tipping
J Spieth 8/1
first round leader 12/1.
bet 365.
Had a nice touch on Justin Thomas last week, so re investing some of that on..
Ian Poulter 40/1 Skybet….Not a huge fan of Poulter (barring ryder cups) but very solid record here and seems to play his best golf around now for some reason.
Like the look of Shane Lowry 33/1 Skybet been there or there abouts over the past month and if he can hole some putts he will be bang there.
Will Wilcox 25/1 Skybet & William Mcgirt 22/1 for me in the Sanderson
Wilcox a winner in the waiting in my opinion and Mcgirt playing some good stuff right now.
I cant seem to post this week?
Ace I wouldnt worry about Fowler’s putting, he led the field in Strokes Gained Putting last time out at Shriners.
He also won on the Duetsche Bank on his 3rd last finish of 2015 season.
Summary of Bets
WGC HSBC Champions
Rickie Fowler – 1.5pt ew @ 20/1
Louis Oosthuizen – 1pt ew @ 40/1
Marc Leishman – 0.5pt ew 125/1
Sanderson Farms Championship
Kevin Streelman – 1pt ew @ 33/1
KJ Choi – 0.5pt ew @ 80/1
Michael Thompson – 0.5pt ew @ 125/1
3×3 0.15pts* ew (Fowler, Oosthuizen, Leishman x Streelman, Choi, Thompson ) *lower than usual stakes
1.3pts on a place double – Paul Casey Top 10 HSBC + Jason Bohn Top 10 Sanderson Farms @ 17/2
@thegreek82 for full preview
Good luck all
Can you actually do e/w golf bets on 888Sport? I think that’s what Upswing is saying.
Geoff, that wasn’t his question. I don’t have an 888sport account – Ace is simply quoting best odds available.
I’d be surprised by any bookie not doing ew on golf outrights.
It doesn’t look like 888Sport offer each way on golf – a bit odd!
As you have already highlighted MrF other bookies have that price so will just use them instead.
Had a fiver on bubba Watson 16-1
You have to put 2 bets on with 888. 1 stake on ‘winner’ and then another stake on ‘(1-5)’
I have accounts with 888, coarl, 365 and sky and found the 888 odds to be best or equal best for all the selections…
ok guys not much into golf but feeling lucky after 2 footy bets up tonite who does everyone fancy for first round leader. cheers guys
peterb, that’s a tough market and I rarely do it but what about Fitzpatrick.
Backing An and Bubba on the outrights this week and might do Fitpatrick too.
ye sounds good to me will have a flutter lol cheers mrf
Evening Ace, can’t disagree with Matty Fitz and Kizzire…will be having a rather outlandish pop at Bo Van Pelt for an e/w first round lead at Sandersons…66/1.
Cheers, good luck and enjoy the golf lads.
Gonna try few golf bets like the markets- Patrick reed -wgc HSBC champions, kyle Stanley- sanderson, double e/w 505/1- 1 pt.
Km, Ace’s players hovering about the -3, -4 mark. One of Steve Palmer’s tips is leading (Brandon Grace).
Maybe Ace has inspired him to step up his game!
Just backed T.Pieters 50/1 Skybet after a 67.
Smiley high lighted in the metro @ 40/1 with Coral for the Sanderson.
Mrfixit only come across Steve palmer recently, interesting guy,like Aces tips too though so on them and also Bubba Watson, lets hope they both win! Was just wandering Mrfixit could u help me, tried to post off my phone on few occasions over last few days and it wont let me, much appreciated.
MRfixit,Seems to only be struggle to post when I use my mobile data, strange.
Spieth decent price 9-2 going into last round.
Barnsleylad, not bad – 3 back and 4 people in front of him.
Ace has a couple of players with a place chance but don’t think he’ll get a winner this week.