The best 128 women in tennis converge on Paris over the next fortnight, battling it out to determine who will be crowned champion of Roland-Garros.
Can Iga Swiatek claim a third consecutive title? Will a dark horse upset the women’s big four?
Read on for our women’s French Open 2024 predictions, where we breakdown everything you need to know to make the best bets at Roland-Garros this week.
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Who Will Win the Women’s French Open in 2024?
Enough preamble–let’s get into some betting tips. Here’s who we say will win the women’s French Open 2024.
Best Bet – Iga Swiatek @ 1/5
Sorry, not sorry. Any sane punter simply can’t look past Iga Swiatek when it comes to winning the French Open.
Let’s take a moment to go over the Pole’s credentials. The 22-year-old hasn’t lost in Paris for three years, winning each of the last two editions of the French Open. In her last two title runs, she’s been utterly dominant as well, dropping just two sets across 14 matches.
But it’s not just Swiatek’s results in Paris that give us confidence. It’s her recent form as well. What better run into the French Open than by winning back-to-back WTA 1000 titles on clay, defeating your biggest rival twice in a row? That’s exactly what the top seed did, winning Madrid and Rome with consecutive victories over Aryna Sabalenka, plus one over Coco Gauff for good measure.
It may not be the most lucrative bet, but it’s hard to come up with a rational argument against Swiatek winning the French Open in 2024.
Swiatek won her opening match on Monday, powering past Leolia Jeanjean 6-1, 6-2. She then saved a match point in the second round against former No. 1 Naomi Osaka, edged the Japanese 7-6(1), 1-6, 7-5 to make the third round.
Since then, she's been unstoppable, blasting past three more opponents in straight sets to make the semi-finals.
Honourable Mention – Coco Gauff @ 17/2
We actually like Gauff as a title chance here in Paris. Roland-Garros is her second-best Grand Slam outside of the US Open, and she’s a former finalist here.
The American has been on a little bit of a cooler this year, compared to her red-hot run in late 2023. However, her form has been solid, with deep runs in almost every event she’s entered. Her physical ability to defend, play long rallies and grind down opponents on clay is not to be underestimated.
She’s got the Grand Slam monkey off her back already and is able to play free-flowing tennis all the way to the trophy, potentially.
Gauff won her first-round match on Monday in just 52 minutes, eviscerating Julia Avdeeva 6-1, 6-1. She backed that up with another straight sets victory over Tamara Zidansek in the second round, winning 6-3, 6-4.
Since then, she's recorded two more straight set wins, and beat Ons Jabeur in three sets.
Best Dark Horse Bet at Roland-Garros 2024
Rather take more of a risk to extract a bigger return? Then you’re in luck, because we’ve got some great long-shots for you to consider. Here are some of the dark horse predictions we think could be worth a wager for the women’s French Open 2024:
Mirra Andreeva @ 17/2
It’s tough to see someone who’s not named Swiatek, Sabalenka, Gauff or Rybakina winning the women’s French Open this year. However, if you had to bet on a bolter, no-one is looking better than Mirra Andreeva.
Stranger things have happened on the WTA Tour than teenagers of Eastern European origin winning Grand Slams. Andreeva is still only 17 years old, but has shown that she’s got the game to beat the best when it all comes together. The Russian also has an impressive ability to up her level at Grand Slams, with two Round of 16 runs already in her short career.
In the past 12 months since debuting on the main tour, Andreeva has beaten the likes of Jasmine Paolini, Marketa Vondrousova, Ons Jabeur, Liudmila Samsonova and Barbora Krejcikova. It’s not too much of a reach at all for her to add another few big scalps to her resume this fortnight and for it to be enough to lift the silverware in Paris.
She's got off to a good start, defeating Emina Bektas 6-2, 6-3 in her opener. Then, she ousted No. 18 seed Victoria Azarenka in a three-set thriller, winning 6-3, 3-6, 7-5.
Andreeva wasn't done though, as she saved her biggest upset for the quarter-finals, where she knocked out Aryna Sabalenka, the No. 2 seed.
French Open 2024 Predictions and Betting Tips
Picking a winner this far out feel a little intimidating? Don’t worry, there are plenty of other angles you can take when it comes to betting on Roland-Garros. Here are a few of the other women’s French Open 2024 predictions we have this fortnight:
Mirra Andreeva to Reach Quarter-Finals – Complete
This bet doesn’t pay quite as much as backing Andreeva as your dark horse for the title. However, it’s much more realistic, and still generates a healthy return.
Andreeva is in Maria Sakkari’s section of the draw. We had the Greek on upset alert, with her failing to pass the third round of a Grand Slam in the last two years, and exiting first-round in three of her last four majors. She proved us correct, losing her opening match on Monday.
Now, Andreeva has a great shot at making it through to the quarter-finals. Especially now that's she's knocked out Azarenka. She now has no seeds between her and a quarter-final, with Linda Noskova falling as well.
Who Are the Women’s Favourites at Roland-Garros in 2024?
You’ve heard our women’s French Open 2024 predictions, now it’s time to see what bookmakers have to say about the event. Here are the women’s French Open odds from bookmaker bet365 as of Sunday night:
Women’s French Open Odds 2024:
- Iga Swiatek @ 1/5
- Coco Gauff @ 7/1
- Mirra Andreeva @ 17/2
- Jasmine Paolini @ 14/2
Tennis bookmakers agree wholeheartedly that Swiatek is more than likely to win the French Open. She’s returning just 1/5, well ahead of the next closest favourite, Gauff at 7/1.
A big gulf exists between these two and the remaining two contenders. Andreeva returns 17/2, slightly ahead of Paolini at 14/2.
2024 French Open Seeds – Women’s Draw
That’s how the bookmakers rank the contenders this year, but what about the women’s French Open seeding? We’ve gone deep on this in a separate article, but here’s a quick overview of how the top 10 women’s seeding stands at Roland-Garros 2024:
- Iga Swiatek
- Aryna Sabalenka – LOST QF
- Coco Gauff
- Elena Rybakina – LOST QF
- Marketa Vondrousova – LOST QF
- Maria Sakkari – LOST R1
- Qinwen Zheng – LOST Ro16
- Ons Jabeur – LOST QF
- Danielle Collins – LOST R2
- Jelena Ostapenko – LOST R2
With a clear division in the betting odds reflected in the women’s seeding, will this year’s French Open simply unfold according to plan? Chances are, there will be a spanner or two in the works.
Don't forget to check out our analysis of the who will win the men's French Open as well, plus a break down of the top male seeds.
Bren is our resident Kiwi, and has been playing or watching sports down under in New Zealand for the better part of three decades. With 12+ years experience as a professional writer, Bren loves to dive deep into all things sport to bring the best betting analysis and predictions here at Mr Fixits Tips.
