English Football Tips: Finding value on hot faves

FINDING value on tonight's Premier League matches isn't easy with Man City, Chelsea, Arsenal and Liverpool short-priced favourites.

The other games are Bournemouth v Burnley and Everton v West Ham and both have the look of draws.

Let's start with leaders Man City who overcome a tough test at Huddersfield on Saturday to come from behind to win 2-1.

Pep Guardiola was delighted with his side's character and ability to overcome a different type of test.

City have won 12 out of 13 and already look title winners. Victory at home to Southampton will restore their eight-point lead over Man United and Jose Mourinho's side look the only ones capable of mounting a challenge and even then the derby in a couple of weeks is a must-win for them.

At home City's record is played seven, won seven, for 20 and against one. They should yet again cover the -1 handicap and that pays 4-7 at Ladbrokes.

Chelsea have recovered well from losing 3-0 to Roma in the Champions League with wins to nil against Man United. Qarabag and West Brom. Another is possible at 4-5 with Betway at home to Swansea while they should cover the -1 handicap at 8-13 with betfair.

Stoke on a cold midweek night is the kind of game Liverpool could slip up in but Jurgen Klopp's men have lost just in 12 and have won on four of their last five trips to the Potteries.

I can't back them at a best price of just 4-7 with Betway. If he starts on-fire Mo Salah could be worth backing at 4-1 with bet365 to score first.

Arsenal have won all six of their home games, including that fine 2-0 win against Spurs, so again for any sort of price you have to look at the Gunners -1 against Huddersfield who on the road have netted just three goals in six.

Arsenal to win by at least two pays 4-6 at betfair and a -1 treble on City, Chelsea and Arsenal is 31-10 with betfair compared to 4-5.

Everton v West Ham is more interesting than most games between two sides in the bottom four because of the Davie Moyes factor. He returns to Goodison having won his first point in charge of the Hammers at home to Leicester last weekend.

The Toffees have been terrible under David Unsworth and have conceded nine goals in their last two games to Atalanta and Southampton. Neither side defends well and that should lead to goals – back both to score at 4-5 at William Hill and Betfred.

Recommended Bets

• Man City -1
• Man City v Southampton over 3.5 goals
• Chelsea -1
• Chelsea to win to nil
• Salah to score first
• Arsenal -1
• Everton v West Ham btts

🔗 Share on Social Media