LAST week I focused on the top teams but today I'm looking at the lower end of the Premier League table.
My Boxing Day tips were spot on and bookies would have been bashed with Chelsea, Man City, Arsenal and Man Utd all winning – as well as Liverpool the following day.
Today Burnley v Sunderland and Swansea v Bournemouth are as important as any other games on the card.
Home form is keeping Burnley and Sunderland alive – they have five points between them in 17 games on the road – so you have to give Sean Dyche's men the edge here.
Victory against Middlesbrough on Boxing Day gave them 19 points at home – more than Man City and Man Utd – and Turf Moor has to be a fortress because their only away point came at Old Trafford.
Sunderland boss Davie Moyes has been moaning about being handed back-to-back away fixtures over the holidays while Burnley have two at home.
That's Turf luck Davie and I'm on Burnley to win at 9-5 with Betfair.
Swansea followed Crystal Palace by axing their boss with Bob Bradley lasting just 85 days. The American made the struggling Swans worse not better so had to go and the new manager won't be in place for today's visit of Bournemouth.
Monday's display at home to West Ham was defensively dismal and while caretaker boss Alan Curtis will try to tighten up I'm on Bournemouth at 8-5 with Betfred. Another possibility is over 3.5 goals at 2-1 with McBookie as it was last season.
At the other end of the table big hitters will lump on Chelsea and Man Utd at home to Stoke and Middlesbrough respectively even if it pays no bigger than 4-6 at William Hill. Both should win well and a minus one double is also on at 23-10 with Coral.
Chelsea made it 12 league wins in a row without Diego Costa against Bournemouth and the top scorer will return after a ban. He is 5-2 at Ladbrokes to score first.
Zlatan Ibrahmovic took his tally to 10 in 11 games against Sunderland and is 19-20 at William Hill to score again.
Game of the day is the teatime live show between Liverpool and Man City and while I favour the home win at 11-8 with McBookie goals has to be the way to go.
The last six meetings at Anfield have gone over 2.5 and that pays 7-10 at Marathonbet.
Sergio Aguero is back after a four-match ban and is 16-11 at 888port to net on his return.
Tomorrow sees the New Year brought in by Watford v Spurs followed by Arsenal at home to Sam Allardyce's Crystal Palace. A North London double tempts at 13-10 with Marathonbet and what about all four teams to score at 3-1 with bet365.
In the Championship I like Derby to beat Wigan and Wolves at home to QPR.
Best bets in League One are Southend at home to Charlton and in League Two take Carlisle at Notts County.
Bets to Consider
Burnley
Bournemouth
Chelsea -1/Man Utd -1
Costa to score first
Ibrahimovic to score
Wolves
Southend
Resident football tipster at Scotland's most read newspaper, the Daily Record, for over 20 years and proud host of one the best betting communities on the web with daily betting tips.
