WITH a full day of darts, we are looking to find a few winning bets on today’s coupon. We looked at the Norris match with Murnan and nothing much appealed in general. A credit to Norris for making it this far and is odds on favourite to progress. His run will only help his order of merit placing.
The second game of the day is between Terry Jenkins and Mark Webster. Compilers have Webby the marginal favourite for the game with the bull at evens in places. The head to head has Jenkins leading 8-3. The last two went Jenkins way, but the pair have not faced one another in other 3 years, so compilers may have made the head to head redundant over the fact that recent form is the bigger factor.
Jenkins has been inconsistent for the latter months of 2015, whereas Webster has been on the contrary. We have been impressed with Webster’s turnaround in the latter part of the year. We will expect this game to be inundated with the fierce throw of Jenkins. We are concerned with the style of Webster’s throw, as the effects of Dartitus has taken its toll. Again, we do think Webby has been excellent in places this year and knows how to grind games out. I cannot overlook the evens on Jenkins to see the game through.
I do see this game going some distance, so over 5.5 sets appeals at 4/6 with Winner. In addition, over 24.5 match legs at evens general also. If for example the game ends in five sets and all five sets goes the distance this wins. Essentially the danger of this market compared to sets is, a 3-0 set or two will set this bet back and you will then be reliant on the game going the full seven sets.
Another game I do like is the Peter Wright/Ronny Huybrechts game on Monday evening and am willing to back Wright to win the 180 tally by two or more at Betfair’s 7/10. I initially looked at the -2 handicap and one firm was offering just 10/11 for three or more to win this. -1.5 means by two or more you take a slightly lower price. I do think Wright has the darts. Snakebite took four maximums in eleven legs in round one, whereas Ronny in his marathon game struggled to hit three in the match.
I think Painter will have a good opportunity to take the power out later on Monday evening, if the artist can turn up like he did in round one. Taylor had a comfortable first round, so was not tested. Painter put in a professional display as he pocketed four maximums in eleven legs. If you fancied a bet in this game, winner is acceptable just about for five or more Painter maximums at 5/6, although any other price is not acceptable.
Adrian Lewis and Andrew Gilding should be an entertaining bout despite Lewis heading the market at 1/6 and is best 3/4 minus 2.5 sets to beat gold finger. Gilding is 5/4 to win two or more sets. Those wanting a similar bet think Lewis will win this are better off taking Stan James at 11/8 for six or more sets. Bet365 are 1/2 the game heads five sets. You could ARB this with a Lewis 4-0 win at 5/2, which could produce you a 4.76% return with slight rounding to not detect ARBING via the online system.
Recommendations
- Jenkins to beat Webster – 1/1 William Hill 1.5pts
- Wright -1.5 180s Vs Huybrechts – 7/10 Betfair 5pts
World Championhip darts afternoon session
Singles:
Norris vs Murnan, over 5.5 180’s Norris 8/11 **NAP**
Suljovic vs Pallett, over 4.5 180’s Suljovic 11/8
Treble:
Webster vs Jenkins, Webster +2.5
Suljovic vs Pallett, Suljovic +1.5
Norris vs Murnan, Norris most 180’s
1/1 **NB**
Alan “Chuck ” Norris made light work of Thornton in round one sending him home in a 3-0 straight sets victory after he hit numerous big scores and posted a 96.88 average. Since the former Lakeside finalist moved from the BDO to the PDC he has been quite impressive. He has already won a tour event but more importantly he has continued his power scoring that faired so well for him in the past. Norris acquires many 140’s and 180’s in matches due to the excellent grouping on his darts so there is nearly always ample space remaining in the treble 20 bed to complete a 180. In this first to four sets format he is very likely to break his 180 line.
Suljovic is the player that nobody on the circuit wants to play right now. He has a unique ability of taking away his opponents game plan, slowing down the match with his methodical approach and even choosing to checkout on unfavoured doubles like double 14 with great success. He is not known for being a prolific 180 scorer, however he does get them in matches and even threatened a nine darter at the European Championship. I think the bookies are offering a good price on a relatively low line for him. He has hit five 180’s in matches equal or slightly above the minimum twelve legs to win before. Also Suljovic did atually drop a set to Wattimena in round one before winning 3-1 and posting a 99.44 average so if he was to drop a set to Pallet, which is quite likely, it would give him even more opportunities to achieve his line.
Webster vs Jenkins is too close to call. Webster’s form has been much improved this year. Jenkins is a quality player however there are a lot of inconsistancies in his game at the minute. There are too many stray darts being thrown into the 5’s and 1’s and his checking out under pressure can be questionable. I think giving webster a two set handicap lead is enough to see him win in this.
Suljovic is favourite to win against Pallet who just edged past Kim Huybrechts in a final set. Giving Suljovic a set lead on the handicap is again good to see him win.
Norris has always been a prolific 180 scorer where as the bulk of Murnan’s big scores are in the 140 braket so Norris should win the 180 contest quite comfortably.
Prices with Bet365
Good luck all
Singles:
Norris vs Murnan, over 5.5 180’s Norris 8/11 **NAP** WON
Suljovic vs Pallett, over 4.5 180’s Suljovic 11/8 LOST
Treble:
Webster vs Jenkins, Webster +2.5
Suljovic vs Pallett, Suljovic +1.5
Norris vs Murnan, Norris most 180’s
1/1 **NB** WON
@bullseye – you’ve been on fire mate. Anything for the evening session tonight?
World Championship darts evening session
Singles:
Lewis vs Gilding, highest checkout score over 131.5 **NB**
Taylor vs Painter, Taylor over 5.5 180’s 11/10
Double:
Wright vs Huybrechts, Wright most 180’s
Lewis vs Gilding, Gilding +3.5
10/11 **NAP**
Lewis vs Gilding will be a match where there will be opportunities to check out big finishes due to heavy scoring, which could potentially arrive at any moment throughout a leg. Lewis took out a brilliant 164 against Jan Dekker in round one and of the two players he would probably be the more likely to take out a big shot. Lewis is very good all around the board on trebles and has checked out scores above 131 numerous times before on the pro tour and on TV.
Taylor has changed his darts so not many people are sure what to expect from him against Painter. He apparently has been putting in a lot of practice with them so if he does feel settled with them I would fancy him to break his 180 line, something which he usually can be relied on to do.
There is no question Peter Wright has become one of the most consistant players on the circuit. Its also notable that his 180 scoring has increased dramatically throughout the year. Ronny Huybrechts has never been prolific on 180’s so will not threaten Wright in this area.
Gilding put in a very solid performance against Price in round one. He hit four 180’s and many 140’s which enabled him to run away as 3-0 winner. Lewis was level at 2 sets all with Jan Dekker and its likely that had Lewis not taken out the 164 finish, Dekker would have won the third set. I think Gilding will win at least one set especially if he defends his throw with tons, 140’s and 180’s which he demonstrated in the previous round. Its well documented that Lewis can go to sleep in legs at times so all things considered its probable Gilding will win the minimum required set to bring in the double.
Prices with Bet365
Good luck all
Sorry should read
Lewis vs Gilding, highest checkout score over 131.5 **NB** 5/6
World Championship darts evening session
Singles:
Lewis vs Gilding, highest checkout score over 131.5 **NB** LOST
Taylor vs Painter, Taylor over 5.5 180’s 11/10 WON
Double:
Wright vs Huybrechts, Wright most 180’s
Lewis vs Gilding, Gilding +3.5
10/11 **NAP** LOST