Canadian Open 2026 Betting Tips: Preview, Odds and Expert Predictions

The PGA Tour heads north of the border this week for the 2026 Canadian Open, one of the oldest and most prestigious national championships in world golf.

With the year's second major now firmly in the rear-view mirror and the US Open looming next week at Shinnecock Hills, players face an interesting balancing act between maintaining form and avoiding peaking too early.

This year's event returns to TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley for just the second time, after Ryan Fox edged Sam Burns in a dramatic playoff 12 months ago.

While still relatively new to the schedule, last year's edition gave us a strong indication of the type of player likely to thrive around this modern, scoreable layout.

Canadian Open 2026 key information, prize money and how to watch

First played in 1904, the Canadian Open is Canada's national championship and the second-oldest non-major tournament on the PGA Tour schedule.

TPC Toronto becomes just the 38th venue to host the event in its 121-year history and follows up its successful debut in 2025, where low scoring and aggressive play produced an entertaining leaderboard throughout the week.

The North Course underwent an extensive renovation in 2023 to prepare it for PGA Tour competition, with redesigned green complexes, repositioned bunkers, and additional yardage all added to test the modern professional game.

• Venue: TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley (North Course), Alton, Ontario, Canada
• Dates: Thursday 11th June to Sunday 14th June
• Total Prize Purse: Approximately £7.7 million
• Winner’s Prize Money: Approximately £1.4 million
• TV Channel: Sky Sports Golf, Sky Sports Main Event
• Broadcast Times:
  Thursday and Friday – From 12pm
  Saturday and Sunday – From 12:45pm
• Tee Times: Can be found here

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What does it take to win at TPC Toronto? Key statistics and angles

Although we only have one year of PGA Tour data to work with, several themes emerged immediately from TPC Toronto's debut.

The first is that distance matters.

Despite being a par 70, the course stretches to almost 7,400 yards and features a collection of lengthy par-4s, with six measuring at least 480 yards and five stretching beyond the 500-yard mark.

The fairways are relatively generous, allowing players to attack off the tee without excessive fear of punishment. That naturally gives an advantage to the longer hitters, who can leave themselves shorter clubs into many of the course's demanding approach shots.

However, power alone won't be enough.

With only two par-5s on the scorecard, players must take advantage of scoring opportunities on the par 4s, making approach play and proximity control particularly important. Last year's leaderboard featured several players who excelled both off the tee and with their irons throughout the week.

The weather could also play a role. Wet conditions are forecast throughout parts of the week, potentially softening the course and pushing winning scores beyond the 20-under mark.

Key Statistics to win at TPC Toronto:

• Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee
• Strokes Gained: Approach / Ball Striking
• Proximity: 100-150, 200+ yards
• Par-4 Scoring
• Bentgrass Putting

Correlated Courses to consider:

With only one year of PGA Tour history available, identifying direct correlations remains difficult, but several venues appear to offer useful clues, including but not exclusive to:

• TPC Craig Ranch – CJ Cup Byron Nelson
• Myrtle Beach Golf Club – Myrtle Beach Classic
• Wentworth Club – BMW PGA Championship

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Canadian Open 2026 Betting Tips and Predictions

At the head of the market, Tommy Fleetwood and Sam Burns share favouritism at around 12/1, with Matt Fitzpatrick close behind at 14/1.

Wyndham Clark heads the next wave of contenders at around 18/1, before the market opens up considerably thereafter.

While Fleetwood, Burns and Clark all make obvious appeal on paper, there are enough questions around motivation and preparation ahead of next week's US Open to warrant looking slightly further down the board for value.

Shane Lowry – 30/1 each-way (8 places)

Shane Lowry gets the nod at the top of the staking plan after proving difficult to separate from names such as Clark, Justin Rose and Brooks Koepka in the market.

The Irishman may actually have stronger motivations than several of those players, many of whom could understandably have one eye on Shinnecock next week.

While Lowry has endured a couple of frustrating near misses this season, most notably when leading the Cognizant Classic before our winning selection Nico Echavarria stormed through, there have been plenty of encouraging signs recently.

He closed strongly at Doral with a superb 65 and ranked eighth for SG: Approach when finishing T22 at last week's Memorial Tournament.

Canada also appears to be a regular stop in his preparation schedule. He finished T13 at TPC Toronto last year and owns three top-15 finishes in the Canadian Open, including a runner-up finish in 2019 – the same year as his Open triumph.

A proven performer in difficult weather conditions and a former winner at Wentworth – like Fox – Lowry's profile looks a strong fit if conditions become wet and testing.

Back Lowry to win the Canadian Open at 30/1 each-way with eight places on offer at Betfred

Michael Brennan – 40/1 each-way (7 places)

Michael Brennan is proving popular this week, and it's easy to understand why.

The 24-year-old is one of the biggest hitters on the PGA Tour, ranking third in both SG: OTT and Driving Distance this season.

Already a winner at a similar test, Black Desert in Utah, Brennan's game appears tailor-made for a course where power can create a significant edge.

Encouragingly, the approach play and putting have also begun trending in the right direction. At Colonial two starts ago, he ranked seventh in the field for SG: Putting, a positive sign given the same Bentgrass influences present this week.

Perhaps most importantly, Brennan already has competitive experience at TPC Toronto, having finished third in the Fortinet Cup Championship on PGA Tour Americas in 2024, before the venue joined the PGA Tour schedule.

That familiarity, combined with his statistical profile, makes him one of the more appealing options in the middle of the market.

Back Brennan to win the Canadian Open at 40/1 each-way with seven places on offer at Fitzdares

Johnny Keefer – 80/1 each-way (6 places)

With the early prices on Kristoffer Reitan now gone, Johnny Keefer is another player who immediately fits the prototype for this golf course.

The American ranks 11th on Tour for Driving Distance and 12th for SG: OTT, making him one of the stronger drivers in the field.

His ability to thrive when scoring gets low is also well established. On the Korn Ferry Tour, he won the Veritex Bank Championship at 30-under and the NV5 Invitational at 26-under, proving he can keep the pedal down when birdies are required.

Keefer also arrives with two top-10 finishes already this season and, like Brennan, has positive history at this venue, having finished T3 alongside him in that PGA Tour Americas event two years ago.

Given that several firms have him considerably shorter, the 80/1 available in places looks a generous number.

Back Keefer to win the Canadian Open at 80/1 each-way with six places on offer at Sporting Index

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Steven Fisk – 80/1 each-way (10 places)

Steven Fisk is a slightly different profile, but one who could prove dangerous if this turns into another birdie-fest.

The American has quietly put together an extremely consistent run, missing only two cuts since February and arriving off successive top-20 finishes, one of which came at TPC Craig Ranch, one of the potentially stronger correlated venues this week.

His victory at Jackson CC last autumn also stands out, as closing rounds of 65 and 64 saw him reach 24-under-par and secure his maiden PGA Tour title, demonstrating exactly the type of low-scoring ability that may be required here.

If the putter remains warm, Fisk could easily outperform his odds.

Back Fisk to win the Canadian Open at 80/1 each-way with ten places on offer at BoyleSports

Danny Willett – 225/1 each-way (12 places)

A final speculative play goes to former Masters champion Danny Willett.

There isn't a huge amount required to justify a bet at this sort of price, but there are enough positives to take a punt.

Willett recorded his first DP World Tour top-10 since 2022 when finishing seventh at the wind-affected KLM Open last week, extending his run to three consecutive made cuts.

That suggests his game is moving in the right direction again, and he now returns to a venue where he finished T13 last season.

At 225/1 and with 12 places available, he's worth a small interest for those looking for a deep outsider.

Back Willett to win the Canadian Open at 225/1 each-way with 12 places on offer at Bet365.

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