Day 14 of the Australian Open is the women’s final day, so we have only one match, but we were able to find some interesting value at Boylesports nonetheless. Read on for the best tennis betting tips this Saturday as Aryna Sabalenka takes on Madison Keys in Melbourne.
Best Australian Open betting tips for day 14
Sabalenka vs Keys under 2.5 sets @ 3/6
As you can see by the odds, the market expects this to happen. It’s very likely because Sabalenka is the far better player than Keys. They are both aggressive baseliners, but Sabalenka has far more control in her game compared to Keys.
The American is still very prone to spraying many unforced errors, and the serve is what bailed her out against Swiatek. She was well on her way to losing that match, and we don’t think that she’ll have enough for the final.
Sabalenka has won this event two years in a row, and it doesn’t seem like Keys is strong enough at the moment to stop her from winning a third one, or even take a set off her.
Sabalenka vs Keys under 20.5 games @ 5/6
This is a bet that is very much similar to the one above and for obvious reasons. All we mentioned above applies here as well; it’s just that this one is a bit more risky and has better odds. It’s still widely assumed that Sabalenka will be able to win the match.
She has played better and dominated players more easily than Keys, who lost a couple of sets already at the event. Sabalenka lost only one set, and it was in the worst match she played. All the other matches were easy wins under this kind of total games line.
Sabalenka vs Keys first set under 9.5 @ 4/6
We expect Sabalenka will get off to a fast start in the Australian Open women’s final. You don’t want to give Keys any type of confidence, and we think that will make Sabalenka take this one very seriously from the start.
There is also the nugget that it’s the first Grand Slam final for Keys in eight years, which might produce a bit of nerves for the American. If that happens, she’s very likely to bomb the first set before stabilising in the second one, and that’s what this play is all about. As always, risky but likely.
Bren is our resident Kiwi, and has been playing or watching sports down under in New Zealand for the better part of three decades. With 12+ years experience as a professional writer, Bren loves to dive deep into all things sport to bring the best betting analysis and predictions here at Mr Fixits Tips.
