I THOUGHT bookies over-reacted to Chelsea being held by Swansea as they installed Man City as favourites to win the Premier League.
The Blues were on course for victory until Thibaut Courtois was red carded and while City opened with a superb win at West Brom the three points were expected.
However, there's no doubt Jose Mourinho has been behind the eight ball this week after the way he treated the club's medical staff for going on to the pitch to treat Eden Hazard in that 2-2 draw.
So the focus is on the Portuguese boss and he rolls up at the Etihad on Sunday without banned Courtois with Asmir Begovic between the sticks knowing his side have won just one in their last eight visits.
Manuel Pellegrini will have been relieved to start with a superb win after being handed a new deal and now he has to deliver a trophy.
On the evidence of the first weekend City are in better shape and I don't think they'll lose but we all know how good Mourinho is in battling for a draw when he wants one.
So while City tempt at 23-20 with BetVictor and Betfred the safer bet is City draw no bet but it pays just 1-2 with Betfred.
Pellegrini should have Sergio Aguero available to start after he was benched at The Hawthorns and if he does he's the obvious pick for first scorer at 9-2 at William Hill.
David Silva was the star man against West Brom and has been awarded the opening goal at the expense of Yaya Toure. He is 7-2 at Paddy Power to net at any time.
Apart from Courtois and a doubt over Oscar the Londoners will be at full strength and that means Diego Costa up top on his own. He wasn't at his brilliant best against the Swans but will need to step up to the plate and is 6-1 at bet365 and Ladbrokes to bag the opener.
It's biggest game of the season so far and one I'm struggling to call so I'm going to sit on the fence and back a draw at 28-11 at BetBright.
Today's other Premier League match sees Arsenal travel to Crystal Palace. All those tipping the Gunners to win the title were stunned by their opening-day defeat to West Ham.
It was a shocker and you get the feeling they have to bounce back at Selhurst Park or it's almost game over even this early in the season. Arsenal have a good record against Palace having won their last five but this is a tricky trip to a side who started well with a 3-1 win at Norwich last weekend.
Arsenal are a best 3-4 at Ladbrokes and William Hill with Palace 17-4 at BetVictor and the odds on the way look a tad short.
Palace boss Alan Pardew has some decent attacking option and I like the prospects of both teams to score at 13-15 with 10bet.
Arsene Wenger has to decide to go with Theo Walcott or Olivier Giroud and if it's the former I'd consider him to score at 37-19 to net. Another possibility is Santi Cazorla who is bigger at 4-1 with betfair.
Big game in the Championship is Wolves v Hull and after both sides started with wins I can see another draw here. Hull look to have the stronger squad but with home advantage Wolves should make them work.
Boss Kenny Jackett has lost Bakary Sako to Palace and that's a blow but still Benik Afobe who netted 25 times last season and has netted in the opening league and cup matches of this campaign.
The draw pays 3-1 at bet365 while Afobe is 11-2 at bet365 to score first and 2-1 at bet365 to net.
Recommended Bets
Man City v Chelsea draw (4pm)
(28-11, BetBright)
Crystal Palace v Arsenal btts (1.30pm)
(13-15, 10bet)
Afobe to score (12pm)
(2-1, William Hill)
Anybody a pick for guaranteed profit on the risk free offer on 365 ?
50 quid pre-match then get a 50 quid in-play bet.
Brian
£50 pre match on City, £50 on play draw and £20 pre match with Paddy on Chelsea + £10 in play with their offer.
Afobe (2/1) and Dicko (12/5)
great prices, at least one of them will score, lethal strike force.
I’ll be on my boys to beat a Hull side who had to endure extra time in midweek.
Wolves to win
17/10
Coral
and
Wolves over 1.5TG
7/4
Coral
I tend to use the 365 offer to hit big money. Will go for over 0.5 goals pre match to secure a win and my £50 back then in play go for a Terry, kompany, ivanovic anytime scorer at around 11/1. If your nervous about 0-0 cover it with skybet at 9/1. Hot it 3 times last year and much more fun that trying to guarentee a £30 profit or something near.
Regarding bet 365 offer I go halves with a mate we both put our £50 on over 0.5 match goals then cover no goalscorer then we av the favourites to win 2-1 and 3-1 then split any winnings of our correct score bet we’ve done this bout 5 times and av won twice obviously not gonna win every time but long term don’t think u can go wrong! I like the buzz ov winnin a big amount ov money for no/or very little risk but if u wanna win every time then there r plenty ov ways to guarantee a profit just depends how much ur happy winnin gents were havin city to win 2-1 n 3-1 today will b hopin for the latter cos its 18-1
Cant see Chelsea winning today and Palace could do the Gunners.
Season up and running!! First Acca of season and it came up!! Long may it continue!!!
Man city vs Chelsea.
Todays bet will be on an anytime yellowcard for Chelsea’s Ramires. Skybet currently have it anytime 2/1 or 1st booking at 12/1. Ramires has been booked no less than 7 times in this fixture since 2010 in all competitions.
Tough luck mr. Fixit . City win never in doubt
mr boofle, as you can see from my top tips and write-up I didn’t feature the game. Gut feeling was City would win but their record against Chelsea was so poor.
Mr. Fixit. I put them up as a super single. Just felt that chelsea were there for the taking today. Still, as you know yourself, the premiership is a marathon not a sprint. Keep up your great start to the season. Shame there was not more teams like dunfermline !
Mr. Fixit. Who is your tip for the uspga ? I put a fiver on martin kymer. 16/1. A good price
mr. boofle, antepost it was Day and Rose. There is a new post up.
Mr fixit. What is your take on celtic v malmo ? I know it a bit early but just wondering
mr boofle, I’ll do a Celtic v Malmo preview but not yet.
Ok mr fixit thanks
Greg you seeing my messages***********