Racing tips: 5lb rise in the weights won’t be able to stop the progressive Arizona Cardinal

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I thought it was very strange to see Whydah Gally drifting in the market all day, as I thought his form looked solid compared to the others in the race. He didn't win, but ran with plenty of credit and did little wrong in defeat. The winner did it nicely on the step up in trip and the runner-up made improvements for the longer distance as well. 

Ludlow 4:15 – Arizona Cardinal 2/1 (2pt)

With Duke Of Deception likely to be a NR as he finished 2nd in the North Wales National at Bangor yesterday, this race looks set up for Arizona Cardinal.

It appears that Arizona Cardinal is either hit or miss, with no in between as he has won twice and been pulled up twice so far this season, so he is a risky bet, but given the way he has progressed over fences and the manner of his wins, if he turns up in the same level of form as last time out at Leicester, he's going to take some stopping. He was strong at the finish on soft ground over 2m 7f at Leicester, beating an in-form rival in the shape of O'Connell, and a well-handicapped The Wolf back in third. Considering soft conditions at Leicester can be very tough and make it a grinding finish, it looked effortless for Arizona Cardinal who had to carry 11st 7lbs around, and it seemed a walk in the park for him. The handicapper hasn't gone overboard with that win and has only put him up 5lbs, which seems fair and off a mark of 128 he looks more than capable of winning, especially in races like today where I have doubts about every other horse in the race.

I tipped up Hardy Fella earlier this season. He did us a favour when winning, but was then quite soft in the finish at today's track over 3m, and based on that performance, there's no chance he stayed the trip out, and with the ground being even softer today, I think you can write his name out. Midnight Mary might actually be the horse to give us the most problems, but she has gone up 5lbs for finishing 3rd in a Listed Mares race. On paper, that sounds like good form, but in hindsight, it has made her life much tougher in races like today as she wasn't even winning races off her previous marks, so now she is even higher in the handicap, she can be looked past. Magic Dancer is on a good mark, but they're trying 3m for the first time as a 12yo, seems like a put him in and hope he gets the trip. Special Acceptance is 11 and has been going up for handicap for placed efforts, he should find this too hard for him.

Stuart Edmunds is on fire at the minute with 5 winners from 7 runners in the last 14 days, including his mare, Marsh Wren going over to Ireland and getting a win.

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