THE only online bookie that lists SPFL first-scorer prices for every game are McBookie. It’s a fantastic service but of course there is a limited card this weekend.
McBookie‘s Damian Walker gives his first-scorer tips every weekend and challenges punters to pick their own. Last weekend he had two correct out of three.
One winner is picked at random every week to win a £10 free bet and last week out of six winners the person in luck was kingdingaling who went for Peterhead’s Rory McAllister at 31-10.
Leave your tip as a comment and quote player’s club and first-scorer price with McBookie – Scottish games only.
Here is Damian with this week’s selections. He says: I banged in two out of three winners last weekend with Morton’s Denny Johnstone and Peterhead’s Rory McAllister both scoring first so let’s see if we can build on that this weekend with a full programme to go at.
We’re starting this week in League One where the knee-jerk pricing of the bookies continues to amaze. Last weekend we said Dunfermline were hugely overpriced at 5-4 to win at Airdrie and sure enough the Pars were heavily backed into long odds on and won 2-0.
A week later Dunfermline face what in my view is a far tougher trip to Albion Rovers and are currently priced at 8-1.
Although sharing the same points total of 20 I would argue Rovers are probably a good bit better than Ayr based on the fact they have played a game less and had just five home games out of their 13 compared to the Diamonds’ eight home games out of 14.
In fact Albion’s home form is so much better with four wins and one loss and they are the only side to have beaten league leaders Ayr when the Wee Rovers ran out 3-0 winners at Cliftonville.
Albion are priced at 17-5 to beat Dunfermline which looks too big and as a result the first scorer odds are too.
Former Par Andy Barrowman hasn’t quite hit the heights yet this season but has an excellent scoring record throughout his career. The veteran striker who celebrates his 31st birthday next weekend is a tempting 7-1 with McBookie to grab the opening goal against his former club.
In a normal Championship season Falkirk’s current haul of 30 points from 14 games would see them sitting pretty at the top of the table.
This is no ordinary season though with Rangers and Hibs above the Bairns but when looking at Championship match prices for Falkirk against the other seven sides you probably need to think of them league leaders.
And as such I would expect the “leaders” to be odds on for a trip to face a Queen of the South side who have lost eight of their last 13 matches. In that sequence the Doonhamers have won three matches but two of them were by a single goal against the bottom two sides. Hardly good form.
Falkirk, by contrast, have won their last four matches with 14 goals in the for column and just one in the Against.
At the time of writing Falkirk are 13-10 which to these eyes looks massive (and Mr Fixit’s as I believe it’s his Super Single) and I would not be surprised to see them backed into a shade of odds on prior to kick-off on Saturday.
Part of Falkirk’s recent good run has been the goalscoring exploits of John Baird. The striker has scored eight of those 14 goals in a sequence that goes hat-trick, goal, goal, hat-trick.
McBookie quote Baird at a top-priced 9-2 to score the opening goal on Saturday and with the Bairns looking overpriced and boasting a bang-in-form strike you can’t ask for better than those odds. Well, unless someone else goes 5-1!
The other game where I thought the prices were out of line this weekend involves Partick Thistle who have been woeful this season, especially at home. Their form at Firhill in all competitions reads LDLLLWDL and that sole win came against bottom club Dundee Utd following the sacking of Jackie MacNamara.
The Jags’ last home game saw them thrashed 4-0 by Hearts so it is a brave man that takes the 11-8 about them delivering their beleaguered home support a second win of the season against Inverness Caley Thistle this weekend.
ICT have won three of their last four on the road yet are 9-4 outsiders. Sometimes the odds just don’t add up and this looks another case in point.
Striker Miles Storey has been a real success story (apologies) since joining Caley on loan from Swindon Town in September. In nine appearances he has scored five goals and McBookie go 13-2 about him making it six from 10 with the first goal of the game against Partick Thistle on Saturday.
Can you find a winner this weekend?
Barrowman (Albion Rovs) 7-1
Baird (Falkirk) 9-2
Storey (ICT) 13-2