THE only online bookie that lists SPFL first-scorer prices for every game are McBookie. It’s a fantastic service but of course there is a limited card this weekend.
McBookie‘s Damian Walker gives his first-scorer tips every weekend and challenges punters to pick their own. Last weekend two his three bets were void and 11 call-offs meant there were only two winners who both tipped Aberdeen’s Adam Rooney.
Leave your tip as a comment and quote player’s club and first-scorer price with McBookie – Scottish games only. Here is Damian with this week’s selections.
He says: Storm Desmond did for two of my elections last weekend and the other was a loser, so let’s hope the weather doesn’t get in the way again this Saturday.
Regular reader/s of this column will know I try to blind price the matches and then look at the real odds the bookies have put out before making my selections.
Maybe I need some fresh air or something as I had the Forfar v Cowdenbeath match down as a 6-4 Loons, 6-4 Blue Brazil sort of game.
Forfar’s last 10 League One results read: LLDDLLLDDL and yet the bookies (McBookie included) all have them at odds on!
I’ll write that again – Forfar are odds on. That is a bet that really should come with both a health and wealth warning.
Now I know Cowdenbeath suffered a 7-0 thrashing at Peterhead last month but in the same period as Forfar’s winless league run Cowdenbeath have three wins, three draws and four defeats.
McBookie g0 10-11 Forfar and 5-2 Cowdenbeath and it’s pretty much the same as all the other firms.
You don’t have to Albert Einstein to work out I believe the value lies with a Cowdenbeath first scorer so step forward Greig Spence.
The striker has scored eight goals in his last 15 matches and has scored more than a third of Cowdenbeath’s league goals this season. He is 11-2 with McBookie to score the first goal and go some way to prove I am not losing my marbles.
The other main game where my prices were a good way off was the Montrose v Stirling Albion match in League Two. The Binos along with Clyde were my pre-season picks for this league so you can imagine how delighted I was when they lost five of their first six matches in all competitions, drawing the other.
However, there are signs their season and my ante-post slip might not be the write-offs they once looked a few months ago. Stirling have turned things around and won eight of their last 14 matches including five of their last six.
Montrose, on the other hand, have lost four of their last five, including an extra-time defeat in the Cup at home to Lothian Thistle. That home defeat was followed by 3-1 losses to Clyde and East Stirling with a 6-1 thrashing to Queen’s Park in between.
Added to this Montrose haven’t played a game for two weeks, whereas Stirling beat Elgin 3-1 last Saturday and should have a slight fitness edge.
So given this background you’d expect the Binos to be strong favourites, right? Not a bit of it. McBookie go 11-8 Montrose and 7-4 Stirling.
It doesn’t take too long to find an in-form striker for the first goal as Stirling’s Steven Doris has scored six goals in his last six games and netted in five of them. McBookie make Doris 5-1 to be the game’s first scorer.
Finally, in the Championship Livingston look a penalty kick at home to an Alloa side without a manager and who are in freefall after eight straight defeats. In fact, the Wasps’ sole win in the league all season came over three months ago.
To rub salt into their wounds my final selection is former Alloa striker Liam Buchanan whose goals did as much as anyone to keep them in the Championship last season. He moved to Livi in the summer and Buchanan is 5-1 with McBookie to score the opening goal.
Can you find a winner this weekend?
Spence (Cowdenbeath) 11-2
Doris (Stirling) 5-1
Buchanan (Alloa) 5-1