HERE are Milesey's best bets for day four of the Betfair World Championship, focusing on first-round matches including Judd Trump and Ding Junhui.
Judd Trump v Dominic Dale
Back Dominic Dale to win 4u @ 6.0
Place in-running order to lay 8u @ 3.0
Back Dominic Dale to win +4.5 handicap 5u @ 1.85
The head-to-head record between these two Welshmen reads 4-0 to Judd Trump but that doesn't begin to tell the story. Leaving aside a defeat in China, Dominic “The Spaceman” Dale could have won three of them and didn't enjoy the best of luck.
Most recently, Trump came from the dead to win 4-3 in the Welsh Open, having traded at heavily odds-against in-running.
Twelve months ago when meeting at this same stage of the World Championship Dale led for long spells before going down 10-7.
A few months earlier at the UK Championship he unluckily lost 6-4. Moreover, Trump was at the peak of his powers ahead of those two matches and that cannot be said now.
He hasn't reached a final since last November, losing in ranking events to qualifiers such as Jack Lisowski, Anthony Hamilton, Mark Joyce and Alfie Burden. Dale is higher ranked than all of that quartet and beat the last-named 10-5 to reach The Crucible.
History and form may still point towards a Trump win but in terms of trading value, backing Dale is a no-brainer. My plan is to take 6.0 pre-match then cash out, doubling my money if he shortens to 3.0 at any stage in-running. A bet on Dale covering the six frames required to win the handicap is also strongly advised.
Ding Junhui v Alan McManus
Back Ding Junhui to beat McManus 10-4 2u @ 8.0
Back Ding Junhui to beat McManus 10-5 2u @ 7.6
Back Ding Junhui to beat McManus 10-6 2u @ 7.4
This one-sided match looks ideal for correct score purposes. 1.16 favourite Ding Junhui looks certain to win while his experienced opponent has enough about him to avoid total humiliation.
Alan McManus is a pale shadow of the player who once reached the Crucible semis yet retains a competitive ranking thanks to a sound tactical game.
That might give “Angles” the edge in any scrappy frames although it's hard to imagine him keeping pace with Ding's scoring. This combination of scores equates to around 2.5 and looks bound to have a live chance towards the end of the match.
Milesey (Betfair)
Resident football tipster at Scotland's most read newspaper, the Daily Record, for over 20 years and proud host of one the best betting communities on the web with daily betting tips.
SNOOKER
——–
My staking plan is :
£100 on Ronnie @ 7.2
£100 on Robertson @ 7.6
——————————————-
£40 on Allen @ 16.0 **OUT**
£10 on Gould @ 130.0 **OUT**
Stephen Maguire v Dechawat Poomjaeng
Back Dechawat Poomjaeng to win +4.5 frame handicap @ 2.0
** LEADING 5-3, 1 MORE FRAME TO DECHAWAT NEEDED **
Milesey
Well done milesy your tips get better and better. The impressive mark Allen did well didn’t he haha;) ;) im losing track of our battle now
As I said yesterday when he was 6-5 down. “get on mark king in play at evens” ;) ;) ;)
Ben Wollaston in play 10/3
Marco Fu EVS
Alan Mcmanus +5.5 @ 1/1
Mcmanus + 5.5 at evens looks great bet.
Yep :)
What do you mean ” YEP ” hahaha
5-2 to Ding, doesn’t look so great really does it haha
Milesey
Milest stop getting etchy because all you do is pick losers hahah i said jungui for the quarter
JUNGUI ? Is that a new player ? not familiar with him ;) ;) think you mean Junhui.
Milesey
Stephen Maguire v Dechawat Poomjaeng
Back Dechawat Poomjaeng to win +4.5 frame handicap @ 2.0
** W I N N E R ** W I N N E R **
Milesey
Nice to see you get a winner ;) ;) ;) another of my calls going strong. Trumps on fire. Easily quarter winner :)
As long as Ronnie or Robertson win the final, then all is good for me ;) ;)
I’ll still put up the daily tips for it’s nice to have a snooker thread on the go.
Milesey
Just Robertson for me ;) you neeed to employ me. You might actually get some winners. Don’t mind writing some articles if U want them hahaha ;) ;) ;)
Ellis, couldn’t take the gloating to be honest.
Just winding milesy up Mr F. Nothing to be big headed about you win some you lose some. I just do better at sports like snooker and basketball. Basketball being easy to analyse and make easy money. Snooker, like darts i just follow all the time its just difficult to predict
I like to get my tips across haha just hard to convey across the comments section. I appreciate the hard work milesy puts into his tips
Post some regular Basketball tips then,im all for it if you think its ”easy to predict”
Ok mate. Very hard to find one tonight other than the extremely short priced treble
Nets 1/4
Knicks 1/3
Heat 1/28
literally all that’s on tonight
1/28?..F^^^ me. Not worth the bother
Yes but like I say that’s all that’s on for the basketball tonight
Anyone paying attention who fancies a little punt tonight…
Don’t back it big!!! Worth a few quid is Ben woollaston at 100/30 to win against Ali Carter
He’s in fine form and last night this game was finely poised
Good luck !!
Carter A. 10
Woollaston B. 4
Great TIP ! hahahaha ;) ;)
1/28 really ? you putting 28k on that one ?
You couldn’t even get the darts right last thursday, and according to you, you stuck your neck out ? really ? i hit 5/6 compared to your 3/6, and i also hot 2 correct scores, you’ve not put a decent tip up for a correct score in the snooker or the darts, and if your going to tip a 1/28 , why not just give a good handicap bet for that game then ?
Milesey
Got to admit i did do an overnight 8 team accie a couple of weeks ago on Basketball,Ice hockey and Baseball,small sum and not huge odds but to my surprise it came in,only time ive ever tried it so might be a way to go for a while.Be good if there was someone in here that knew a bit about these sports, not sure theyre popular in the outer Hebrides so Mr Fixits knowledge may be limited.
Well yeah like I say that’s a treble I can be confident on just don’t like tipping it because it looks like I literally jumped on the outright favourites
I treble you feel confident with ?
so it was you who tipped the england win at 1/500 when they played san marino, now thats sticking your neck out ;) ;)
Milesey
Doesnt matter ellis after viewing the 1/28 tip i tipped the sofa over and 20p rolled out,thatll do me cheers :)
hahaha..i like that one Sean :-)
I had £200 in play on that Chinese bloke haha
Milesy I genuinely do respect you. Think of a snooker competition and we will see who really is the better man haha
And yeah woolaston was terrible haha a right waste of time. U have a right to rip into me for that
Poomjaeng just couldn’t be bothered to spell it
And I don’t like doing things like this but MIA Heat -14.0 20/23
Poomjaeng 9 – 9,
Just watching the last frame and he’s making a right meal out of it, he’s out of position on every shot.
Milesey
Dreadful isn’t he. Ever since yesterday I thought he was destined for it. Worth a shot at yesterdays odds in play of 3/1
He’s well funny though, he is fluking everything and keeps apologising for it.
Milesey
Thought of a contest yet ;) ;) ;)
Lets do correct scores for :
ROBERTSON V MILKINS
and
BINGHAM V BAIRD
Milesey
it seemed in the air though mate. Haha. Can I just check. I’m not offending you at all am I. I’m enjoying the snooker banter. See that fluke!! Haha
hahahaha i’m not offended by no one on here ;) ;)
ROBERTSON 10 – 4 MILKINS
and
BINGHAM 10 – 6 BAIRD
Milesey
I like that haha U nicked the score I was going to pick for Robertson haha so ill go
Bingham 10 – 5 Baird
Robertson 10 – 3 Milkins
Maguire looks like he’s about to cry!!
hahaha, so funny…. fair play to him. i went safe with the +4.5 @ 2.0 :)
Milesey
Ye I just thought when he was 5-3 up 3/1 seemed too generous a price so jumped on what looked a very downbeat maguire
Milesy, surely Robertson -4.5 at EVS is worth a hit, something we can both agree on
hahahaha, yep just put that up for the snooker thread , ;) ;)
Milesey
Haha let tomorrows antics begin.
Just out of interest who do you think will win out of robbo and o Sullivan, if you had to pick an outright winner
Robbo hopefully