Back Peter Ebdon to beat Graeme Dott 3u @ 2.7
Back Over 16.5 Total Frames 6u @ 1.9
THERE'S always at least one first-round match at The Crucible that fails to finish in time, meaning the players have to come back at the end of the day.
This repeat of the 2006 final looks the likeliest to go that way because it should be close and given the players concerned it will probably be scrappy.
Graham Dott deserves favouritism because he as at least had a couple of good tournaments this season, reaching the final of the Munich PTC and the semis of the Betfair Masters. Apart from that, though, he's only made one quarter-final.
Peter Ebdon played well enough at the start of the season but has been abysmal in 2013, at least until beating dangerous qualifier Kurt Maflin to reach The Crucible for the 22nd consecutive year.
That last piece of form makes me lean towards backing Ebdon at 2.7 in the hope that yet again he's peaking in time for the World Championship. If this is scrappy as expected “The Force” will be in his element, whereas Dott seems to perform better nowadays when the play is quick.
Either way it's hard to see a one-sided contest so let's take 1.9 about the match going to a 17th frame.
Back John Higgins to beat Mark Davis 10-9 1u @ 11.0
Back John Higgins to beat Mark Davis 10-8 1u @ 9.0
Back John Higgins to beat Mark Davis 10-7 1u @ 9.0
THESE two players last met in the UK Championship and produced a classic, with Higgins hitting a 147 before missing a pink off the spot to lose in a decider. Davis was in better form back then and must now rate a long shot to eliminate one of the all-time great match players, but I reckon he'll make Higgins work for the win.
Higgins is hard to call right nowadays. While still world class in the safety and breakbuilding stakes, long potting has become a real struggle and he seems to start tournaments slowly.
My prediction here is for a tight first session before Higgins makes his class tell at the end. This trio of correct scores pays combined odds just above 3.0. This seems like much better value than just 1.33 about the favourite simply winning the match.
Milesey (Betfair)
Resident football tipster at Scotland's most read newspaper, the Daily Record, for over 20 years and proud host of one the best betting communities on the web with daily betting tips.
That’s a good shout milsey on the Higgins match, it will b a close match & if he wins tho I think il b on over 16.5
Graham Dott will win!!
Little in play bet on lisowski at 3-1
Dott -1.5
Does anyone agree that Marco fu is a good bet at 11/10
Eloise, we meet again lol. Fu has every chance of beatin Stevens, very much 50/50. I’m on a dbl, Higgins & Dott matches over 16.5, it’s pays abt 2/1
I think Higgins will be like 10-5 10-6
Dotts playing well. My tips for today look promising
Lisoeski little punt
Dott
Dott -1.5
Dott is playin well so my wee dbl of ovr 16.5 isn’t lookin good bt neva write off ebdon
Back Michael White @ 3.1 (vs Williams) ** WINNER **
Milesey
Where did ya watch the marathon from today Milesey?..good day?
Started at Canary wharf for all the entertainment, and then ended up going to the mall to watch the masses come streaming in, the elite had well finished though, so just saw them come past when we were at the Isle Of Dogs.
Milesey
did it take yonks to get in and out of the city?
We were at Stevenage train station at 5:30am, was shocked by the amount of people i knew that were running. Wasn’t too bad, abit crowded on the docklands train, but that was about it, people were getting there at all different times so was just a steady stream of people, just like when we came away, some had left, some were still there, so wasn’t like one massive rush to all get away at the sametime.
Milesey
Jeeza..5.30am on a Sunday morning!! I’m thinking of going to bed then/never mind getting up!! Did you take yer wee lad? Think I spotted you…were you wearing a “hey Jimmy” hat?? :-)
“” I’ve just come down
From the Isle of Skye
I’m not very big and I’m awful shy
And the lassies shout when I go by
Donald, where’s your troosers “”
Milesey
Let the winds blow high,
Let the winds blow low,
Down the street in my kilt I go
And all the ladies say hello
Milesey where’s your troosers ;-)
aye…indeed..a hellish good piece of lucky to get that bet up right at the death, and not only that but get a whack more back than his original double….should buy a lottery ticket me thinks/hes cert to pick up the jackpot
Did my comments get deleted Mr F
Ellis, admin deleted a load of comments earlier relating to the nonsense started by Grant. If it was related that it would have been deleted.
oh right haha, i though milesy was upset by out banter ;) thats all good then
p.s. milesy yes lisowski lost and thats the first losing one ive called ;)
Ellis, Grant is Badham etc but not Black Snake however. Anyone is welcome to come on with a tip or sensible comment but idiots will not be tolerated.
wow, bloke seems like he’s a bit mental, Black snake is probably one of his mates, for never posted before until then, but badham, enough said, grant, no idea what his problem is whoever they are, just seems alittle unstable and the link last week to a porn site, got to believe this person is a nut nut ;)
Milesey
Milesey, I’m afraid he’s a nutjob. We police comments as best we can but obviously no one is on the site 24/7. Black Snake may be able to answer that but as you say came out of nowhere so not sure of there’s a connection.
Bin Laden ? badham, Grant, enoughsaid aswell ?
Milesey
Milesey, think Bin Laden was just a maddie having a one-off rant but not Badham.
You said WILLIAMS would beat White ;) ;)
That didn’t happen did it ha ha ha ha ;)
Milesey
“”Ellis
19/04/2013
disagree with both of them milesy, i tihkn williams and walden will both edge it””
we’ll call it 1-1 ;) ;)
Milesey
3-1 when dott wins and dott wins -1 :D
why is the dott game 6-2, and the higgins game 6-3 ? i thought they played 9 games in the session ? was the dott game being played too slowly to get the 9th frame in today ?
Milesey
Milesey, it’s Dott v Ebdon so what do you think. Dott was in the Record last week saying he wasn’t a slow player and to blame Ebdon if the match turned out like that.
They resume at 10am and play to a finish, they could be still going at 10pm ;) ;)
Milesey
and when that finishes it makes 3-1 to me milesy :)
snooker just isnt your thing ***queue the aggressive milesy come back ;) ;)
Ellis, you’re a snooker fan so should be able to spell cue.
no need is there mr f ‘_’
You should wait till it’s won or lost before you comment though really, already had one today who got bit on the bum ha ha ha ;) ;)
Milesey